Donintello

@Donintello

#60,17147

0x1d38541906e1f4e23774f27d2b82b41552d12078

~175d· 125 markets · 3603 tradesVol: $320,8192026-08-04 16:21:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (49/79)16/20
1.06x (win $3,155 / loss $2,981)3.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2725.1/15
Sortino 0.3783.8/10
$+0.0089 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 504 (79 markets)10/10
40/62 profitable days (65%)8.6/10
Max DD 207% of peak ($1,395 / $675)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+1,908
Lottery Player
78% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 11.4 entries/market
Consistent
40/62 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#33,865$334Vol: $138,470
💰 FINANCE#3,611$1,240Vol: $101,873
SPORTS#138,294$76Vol: $71,627
💻 TECH#252,637$-188Vol: $5,955
🎭 CULTURE#18,281$124Vol: $2,893

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,648
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$320,819
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
125
total markets
Trades
2720B / 883S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~175d

Periods

#2
Today
$-151
Vol: $414
Week
$334
Vol: $35,758
Month
$519
Vol: $38,718
All Time
$1,648
Vol: $320,819

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
49W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$1,908
Win Rate
62%
49W / 30L
Profit Factor
1.06x
Avg Win
$64
Avg Loss
$-103

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,635 (0.8569811142735835% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?$732
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$573
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$331
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$245
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$211
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$153
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$120
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$90
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?$78
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$62

Top Losers

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-898
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-386
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?$-325
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$-177
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$-168
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$-158
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$-132
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-116
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $-112
Will Google have the best AI model for math on March 31?$-97

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.014
Sortino
0.014
HHI
106
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.018
Kelly %
8.8%
Half-Kelly
4.4%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
19.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 380s — normal for humanCV 3.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active0.4 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.37
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)78%
Mid (20-55c)14.4%
High (>55c)7.5%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 8:35:22 PM24 trades$1,2187 min
1/9/2026, 8:47:34 AM11 trades$1,1119 min
7/31/2026, 1:33:29 PM9 trades$5711 min
7/23/2026, 11:04:09 PM25 trades$5422 min
7/30/2026, 10:28:30 AM16 trades$51711 min
1/14/2026, 3:05:16 PM2 trades$4204 min
5/6/2026, 2:42:57 PM8 trades$4110 min
1/29/2026, 11:27:30 PM5 trades$3735 min
12/14/2025, 12:22:25 PM7 trades$3705 min
1/18/2026, 10:24:16 PM1 trades$3620 min
7/16/2026, 1:04:43 PM5 trades$3610 min
1/3/2026, 3:09:59 PM4 trades$3506 min
7/28/2026, 8:25:22 PM5 trades$3500 min
7/29/2026, 5:09:12 PM9 trades$3373 min
8/2/2026, 3:24:59 PM3 trades$3300 min
1/13/2026, 1:22:35 AM9 trades$3222 min
1/8/2026, 12:58:33 AM1 trades$3070 min
1/19/2026, 10:26:14 AM2 trades$3011 min
11/12/2025, 11:37:16 PM1 trades$3000 min
12/15/2025, 10:27:39 PM1 trades$3000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-14
01-04
01-17
01-29
02-17
03-26
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.37/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L78 / M14.4 / H7.5