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@Dramatic-Sheep

#1,64243

0x5739ddf8672627ce076eff5f444610a250075f1a

590d· 200 markets · 9190 tradesVol: $9,157,0492026-06-17T00:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 54%12/20
Profit Factor 1.14x4/15
Sharpe 0.0681/15
Sortino 0.0791/10
EV $+0.1759/10
HHI 35310/10
Profit Days 52%6/10
DD/Peak 77%0/10

Summary

Dramatic-Sheep is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with nearly 9,200 trades executed across 200 different markets over a span of 789 days. Ranked #1642 on the global PnL leaderboard, this trader has accrued a net profit of approximately $101,590. Despite the sizable portfolio value of $216,125, their overall performance metrics, including a Sharpe ratio of 0.07 and a profit factor of 0.19, suggest limited risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Dramatic-Sheep appears to involve a high volume of trades with a relatively low win rate of 33.6%, indicating a high-risk approach that may rely on occasional large payouts rather than consistent small gains. Their preference across markets is broad, with no apparent focus on weather-related markets, and a sell rate of 24% suggests some willingness to exit positions proactively. The equity trend is currently downward, reflecting recent challenges in maintaining profitability.

Dramatic-Sheep’s key strength lies in their experience and trading scale, marked by a whale badge and a high roller status, which demonstrates the capacity to influence or capitalize on market movements. However, the low profit factor and declining equity trend highlight risks related to strategy sustainability and drawdown management. The average Smart Score and bot detection rating suggest a human trader with moderate skill, but the data points to potential vulnerability in volatile market conditions.

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+101,591
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Whale
$3,717,013
High Roller
$4,711/day

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#588$85,083Vol: $8,859,891
🎭 CULTURE#550$14,265Vol: $217,843
📈 ECONOMICS#1,570$2,243Vol: $79,315

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$101,591
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,157,049
Total Redeem
$515,459
Portfolio
$216,125
Predictions
200
total markets
Trades
6942B / 2248S
Daily Volume
$4,711
Account Age
590d
since Nov 12, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-16,421
Vol: $118,939
Week
$-97,210
Vol: $512,322
Month
$-319,051
Vol: $883,057
All Time
$101,591
Vol: $9,157,049

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
62%
79W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$422,973
Win Rate
34%
52W / 102L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$6,960
Avg Loss
$-18,895

Top Winners

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$104,102
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$42,804
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$41,437
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$25,725
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2$19,075
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$17,985
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$14,024
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, $12,900
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$11,989
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$11,781

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$-214,293
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-191,642
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$-181,334
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$-163,861
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?$-92,625
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?$-73,688
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$-72,303
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$-67,949
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$-66,509
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$-65,442

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.068
Sortino
0.079
HHI
353
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.175
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.2%
Top-5 markets
33.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 266s — typical for humanSize CV 3.34 — diverse, typical for human15% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.96 — human randomness16 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
34.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
28 entries
<=2
42 entries
<=5
69 entries
<=10
98 entries
<=20
135 entries
<=50
162 entries
>50
38 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10%
Mid (20-55c)38.9%
High (>55c)51.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 11.9%

Other$-1,565,394

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
130

Single bracket

<=1
107 brackets
<=2
115 brackets
<=3
121 brackets
<=4
125 brackets
<=5
126 brackets
<=8
128 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/13/2024, 3:00:58 PM2 trades$51 min
11/13/2024, 3:14:44 PM1 trades$350 min
11/13/2024, 3:25:58 PM75 trades$7942 min
11/13/2024, 3:59:18 PM2 trades$421 min
11/13/2024, 4:20:31 PM1 trades$110 min
11/13/2024, 4:32:59 PM2 trades$81 min
11/13/2024, 4:40:13 PM4 trades$167 min
11/13/2024, 4:56:25 PM2 trades$5444 min
11/13/2024, 5:05:29 PM1 trades$40 min
11/13/2024, 5:14:07 PM1 trades$210 min
11/13/2024, 5:19:41 PM8 trades$7985 min
11/28/2024, 3:51:00 AM1 trades$1,1370 min
12/2/2024, 6:02:20 PM1 trades$2,5520 min
12/8/2024, 1:56:46 AM2 trades$6053 min
12/8/2024, 2:33:13 AM1 trades$830 min
12/8/2024, 2:47:31 AM1 trades$550 min
12/8/2024, 3:05:38 AM5 trades$1,35313 min
12/8/2024, 3:35:25 AM1 trades$4130 min
12/8/2024, 3:41:03 AM2 trades$321 min
12/8/2024, 4:53:51 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
07-31
01-31
04-22
06-03
06-21
08-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 34.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event