DumplingBMF

@DumplingBMF

#69177

0x8f69269039b9a401de28a38c2f1c3001364b7df1

~793d· 2600 markets · 53996 tradesVol: $21,756,1042026-08-01 13:34:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (1794/2524)20/20
1.22x (win $1,141,992 / loss $934,732)5.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.25215/15
Sortino 1.62410/10
$+0.0274 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 188 (2524 markets)10/10
347/500 profitable days (69%)9.8/10
Max DD 44% of peak ($143,579 / $325,338)5.2/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+303,122
DCA Master
Avg 20.2 entries/market
Whale
$7,561,288 invested
Consistent
347/500 profitable days
High Roller
$9,034/day
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#695$72,446Vol: $13,289,577
SPORTS#1,693$38,286Vol: $1,410,416
🎭 CULTURE#525$15,516Vol: $1,034,838
CRYPTO#39,483$601Vol: $265,497
💻 TECH#825$2,035Vol: $91,331
📈 ECONOMICS#672,086$-335Vol: $91,233
💰 FINANCE#653,779$-1,346Vol: $44,371
📢 MENTIONS#162,627$-93Vol: $20,008
🌤️ WEATHER#3,792$303Vol: $3,028

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$295,530
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,756,104
Total Redeem
$477,235
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2600
total markets
Trades
38478B / 15518S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~793d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4,811
Vol: $31,317
Week
$2,407
Vol: $345,663
Month
$-4,811
Vol: $31,317
All Time
$295,530
Vol: $21,756,104

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
71%
1794W / 730L events
Realized PnL
$303,122
Win Rate
71%
1794W / 730L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$637
Avg Loss
$-1,349

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $81,261 (0.2680786331783594% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$43,472
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$19,500
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$18,289
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$16,301
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage$14,627
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$14,500
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$14,123
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$14,116
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?$13,941
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$13,076

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-48,512
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3)$-36,553
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-30,246
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$-29,947
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$-25,951
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?$-19,787
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-17,524
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner$-16,835
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$-13,700
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?$-13,305

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.066
Sortino
0.051
HHI
119
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
19.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
64.5
Very active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.9m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 204s — normal for humanCV 3.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock65 trades/day — mass trading3.1 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.16
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)29.9%
High (>55c)63.9%

Sessions

#12
3/22/2025, 1:23:49 PM16 trades$56,96027 min
7/4/2026, 5:15:34 AM5 trades$53,7573 min
3/11/2025, 6:01:49 PM4 trades$53,6032 min
4/1/2025, 9:41:30 AM15 trades$52,85328 min
2/25/2025, 11:59:10 PM2 trades$43,2470 min
5/10/2025, 10:42:35 PM32 trades$42,69814 min
2/15/2025, 9:34:30 PM13 trades$40,74223 min
3/1/2025, 1:45:01 AM1 trades$40,1710 min
2/18/2026, 2:40:20 PM21 trades$39,70811 min
4/2/2025, 11:39:57 AM2 trades$37,4325 min
4/29/2026, 5:20:22 PM5 trades$35,2234 min
5/25/2025, 7:17:47 AM2 trades$35,1103 min
2/5/2026, 6:37:31 PM6 trades$34,9491 min
2/28/2025, 7:58:50 PM20 trades$34,19022 min
6/11/2025, 4:22:27 PM1 trades$33,2340 min
3/15/2025, 7:33:03 PM1 trades$33,0300 min
3/27/2025, 6:19:24 PM1 trades$32,2260 min
3/18/2025, 5:21:27 PM11 trades$32,03614 min
11/30/2025, 11:29:16 PM1 trades$31,7880 min
8/6/2025, 12:17:12 PM10 trades$30,6377 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-30
02-03
05-15
09-22
12-28
04-01
07-31
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M29.9 / H63.9