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@Each-Caliber

#73,69649

0x45e606f7849330adad37875f835fbdd1b7868fca

44d· 884 markets · 1155 tradesVol: $34,9842026-05-14T15:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 43%6/20
Profit Factor 1.60x10/15
Sharpe 0.1152/15
Sortino 0.0751/10
EV $+0.56010/10
HHI 29510/10
Profit Days 70%10/10
DD/Peak 115%0/10

Summary

Each-Caliber is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 1,155 trades across 871 markets over 266 days. With a net profit and loss (PnL) of $962.05 and ranking #73,696 globally, Each-Caliber maintains an average Smart Score of 49/100. Their total trading volume stands at nearly $35,000, reflecting consistent engagement, while their portfolio value remains stable around $180.85.

The trader focuses exclusively on weather-related markets, indicating a specialized niche interest. Each-Caliber’s trading style is highly risk-averse, evidenced by a minimal sell percentage of 2% and a conservative Sharpe ratio of 0.11. Their win rate is notably high at 98.3%, with an impressive profit factor of 45.64, suggesting a strategy centered on low-risk, high-confidence positions. Trading patterns lean more toward sustained holdings rather than frequent exits, aligning with the Diamond Hands badge and a flat equity trend.

Each-Caliber’s key strengths include their high win rate and strong profit factor, which point to effective market selection and timing. The zero-day max drawdown duration also implies disciplined risk management. However, their low Sharpe ratio and flat equity trend may indicate limited upside volatility and growth potential. Reliance on a single market category—weather—could pose risks if market conditions shift, affecting their overall performance on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+962
Contrarian
56% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
2% sell
Weather Pro
100% weather
Win Streak
228 wins in a row
Consistent
28/40 days

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#1,292$964Vol: $33,970
🏛️ POLITICS#852,226$-1Vol: $1,008
CRYPTO#809,155$-1Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$962
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,984
Total Redeem
$17,408
Portfolio
$181
Predictions
884
total markets
Trades
1127B / 28S
Daily Volume
$64
Account Age
44d
since Apr 6, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-18
Vol: $592
Week
$785
Vol: $7,220
Month
$1,210
Vol: $23,480
All Time
$962
Vol: $34,984

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
47%
240W / 270L events
Realized PnL
$2,835
Win Rate
98%
401W / 7L
Profit Factor
45.64x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $859 (31.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 11?$342
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or higher on April $322
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 30?$196
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 12?$180
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 15?$170
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April $142
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 10?$106
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 1?$100
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?$99
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 2?$93

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 16?$-56
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 8?$-2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 10?$-1
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 10?$-1
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F $-1
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 7?$-1
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 10?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.115
Sortino
0.075
HHI
295
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.560
Kelly %
90.4%
Half-Kelly
45.2%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
30.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.6
Active
Markets / Day
23.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
52.8m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 368s — typical for humanSize CV 5.60 — diverse, typical for human11% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.76 — human randomness31 trades/day — suspiciously high23 markets/day — mass coverage700 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
740 entries
<=2
841 entries
<=5
862 entries
<=10
868 entries
<=20
870 entries
<=50
871 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.8%
Mid (20-55c)38.2%
High (>55c)42.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 41.8%

Moscow$1,737
Seoul$364
Chengdu$102
Singapore$45
New York City$42
Toronto$34
Paris$34
Seattle$27
Helsinki$25
Taipei$25
Milan$24
Chicago$18
Atlanta$18
Kuala Lumpur$17
Munich$17
Madrid$15
Houston$15
Tel Aviv$15

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
610

Single bracket

<=1
395 brackets
<=2
572 brackets
<=3
602 brackets
<=4
610 brackets
<=5
610 brackets
<=8
610 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/6/2026, 5:51:27 PM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 10:21:25 AM1 trades$20 min
4/7/2026, 7:51:33 PM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 8:05:01 PM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 11:45:59 PM1 trades$10 min
4/8/2026, 1:14:33 AM1 trades$10 min
4/8/2026, 1:19:49 AM1 trades$10 min
4/8/2026, 1:28:51 AM1 trades$10 min
4/8/2026, 7:36:51 PM1 trades$10 min
4/8/2026, 8:27:01 PM1 trades$10 min
4/9/2026, 2:26:03 PM2 trades$121 min
4/10/2026, 1:43:39 AM3 trades$33 min
4/10/2026, 1:51:31 AM1 trades$10 min
4/10/2026, 4:35:49 AM2 trades$110 min
4/10/2026, 7:04:45 PM1 trades$10 min
4/11/2026, 10:44:23 PM1 trades$10 min
4/11/2026, 10:50:35 PM5 trades$54 min
4/11/2026, 11:00:27 PM1 trades$10 min
4/12/2026, 5:34:37 AM1 trades$500 min
4/12/2026, 6:04:41 AM1 trades$490 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-09
04-15
04-21
04-27
05-03
05-09
05-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
99.7% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event