ElCapitan619

@ElCapitan619

#3,056,6700

0x25e13526752149db5fb69562db85186cb8586735

~79d· 91 markets · 1001 tradesVol: $1,185,6502026-08-02 07:17:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (19/83)0/20
0.15x (win $1,156 / loss $7,631)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.5670/15
Sortino -7.0860/10
$-0.2323 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3402 (83 markets)0/10
4/42 profitable days (10%)0/10
Max DD 2104% of peak ($6,799 / $323)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
84% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,632$-7,170Vol: $889,088
SPORTS#1,857,272$-2,341Vol: $203,105
🎭 CULTURE#804,635$-484Vol: $36,216
CRYPTO#1,583,148$-460Vol: $30,276
💰 FINANCE#648,245$-470Vol: $23,929
📈 ECONOMICS#648,742$-54Vol: $2,825
🌤️ WEATHER#201,364$-2Vol: $211

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-10,979
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,185,650
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
91
total markets
Trades
527B / 474S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d

Periods

#2
Today
$-44
Vol: $0
Week
$-128
Vol: $0
Month
$89
Vol: $0
All Time
$-10,979
Vol: $1,185,650

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
19W / 64L events
Realized PnL
$-11,068
Win Rate
23%
19W / 64L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$61
Avg Loss
$-127

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $874 (0.078987145976782% of PnL)

Top Winners

US government shutdown Saturday?$773
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$63
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$38
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$33
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$23
Netanyahu out by April 30?$22

Top Losers

Netanyahu out by March 31?$-2,134
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-1,059
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-792
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$-500
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?$-500
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?$-430
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-336
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-252
Netanyahu out by June 30?$-130
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-130

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.391
Sortino
-0.365
HHI
102
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.636
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.1%
Top-5 markets
17.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 382s — normal for humanCV 3.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.46
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)84.4%
Mid (20-55c)7%
High (>55c)8.5%

Sessions

#12
4/6/2026, 12:29:21 PM4 trades$40,6401 min
4/8/2026, 7:48:27 PM2 trades$40,0000 min
4/10/2026, 9:32:55 AM4 trades$30,2000 min
4/1/2026, 2:59:31 PM9 trades$21,0411 min
4/4/2026, 8:00:25 PM12 trades$13,9200 min
4/8/2026, 4:22:45 PM4 trades$13,7213 min
4/8/2026, 3:23:01 PM2 trades$12,0000 min
4/8/2026, 3:46:03 PM4 trades$10,1303 min
4/7/2026, 9:59:45 PM5 trades$9,9001 min
4/8/2026, 2:54:03 PM6 trades$7,1510 min
3/31/2026, 5:11:01 PM9 trades$6,0252 min
4/6/2026, 3:22:23 PM10 trades$4,1360 min
4/6/2026, 9:11:25 AM2 trades$3,7000 min
5/11/2026, 5:48:01 PM4 trades$3,0002 min
4/9/2026, 3:46:21 AM34 trades$2,8336 min
4/2/2026, 5:31:45 PM60 trades$2,80013 min
4/4/2026, 8:07:35 PM4 trades$2,6001 min
4/8/2026, 3:10:47 PM8 trades$2,5716 min
4/7/2026, 1:27:17 PM2 trades$2,5000 min
4/1/2026, 3:41:49 PM7 trades$2,3473 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-30
02-13
02-26
03-31
04-23
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 151 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.46/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L84.4 / M7 / H8.5