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@Elderly-Necklace

#2,887,291100

0x9b491485819135564450669aeadb2d85f7b104a8

349d· 497 markets · 4492 tradesVol: $9,147,009 @ssshhss1232026-06-19T17:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 95%20/20
Profit Factor 11.38x15/15
Sharpe 1.24615/15
Sortino 4.33510/10
EV $+8.94910/10
HHI 5210/10
Profit Days 92%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Elderly-Necklace is an experienced and highly active trader on Polymarket, with 4,492 trades executed across 347 markets over 90 days. Despite holding an elite Smart Score of 100/100, their net PnL stands at -$77,844.64, placing them at rank #2,887,291 globally. The trader has maintained a stable portfolio value of approximately $11,895 and has demonstrated consistent activity with a total volume exceeding $9 million.

The trading style of Elderly-Necklace is characterized by an extremely high win rate of 99.2% and a strong profit factor of 293.05, indicating a focus on precision and risk management. Their low sell percentage of 8% and zero exposure to weather markets suggest a preference for lower-risk, high-confidence positions, likely utilizing dollar-cost averaging as indicated by the DCA Master badge. The Sharpe ratio of 1.25 reflects moderate risk-adjusted returns, supported by a zero-day maximum drawdown duration, implying solid timing and disciplined exit strategies.

Elderly-Necklace’s key strengths lie in their consistency, risk control, and trading discipline, supported by their semi-automated approach combining bot and manual inputs. However, the substantial negative net PnL despite a high win rate raises questions about position sizing or market selection. Additionally, their low sell frequency could limit flexibility in volatile markets. Overall, Elderly-Necklace’s data suggests a methodical but potentially conservative approach within Polymarket’s dynamic environment.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 95%
Diamond Hands
8% sell
DCA Master
avg 12.0 entries/market
Win Streak
109 wins in a row
Whale
$3,095,537
Consistent
45/49 days
High Roller
$34,395/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,446,745$-38Vol: $58,355
💰 FINANCE#20,331$74Vol: $450

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-77,845
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,147,009
Total Redeem
$133,801
Portfolio
$11,895
Predictions
497
total markets
Trades
4154B / 338S
Daily Volume
$34,395
Account Age
349d
since Jul 12, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$3,947
Vol: $91,760
Week
$159
Vol: $630,624
Month
$52,786
Vol: $2,692,525
All Time
$-77,845
Vol: $9,147,009

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
94%
136W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$846,097
Win Rate
99%
249W / 2L
Profit Factor
293.05x
Avg Win
$3,355
Avg Loss
$-1,425

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $41,975 (5% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$18,686
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$13,947
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$9,342
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$9,188
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner$9,021
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner$8,658
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner$8,491
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winner$7,810
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$7,698
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner$7,328

Top Losers

LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner$-2,403
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner$-448

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.246
Sortino
4.335
HHI
52
Diversified
EV per $1
$8.949
Kelly %
98.9%
Half-Kelly
49.4%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
8.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
82.8
Very active
Markets / Day
6.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.7m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 2.76 — diverse, typical for human2% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.41 — human randomness83 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12
Heavy DCA
<=1
77 entries
<=2
124 entries
<=5
171 entries
<=10
211 entries
<=20
265 entries
<=50
342 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)11%
High (>55c)89%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

Other$832,481

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.1
Events covered
165

Moderate coverage

<=1
59 brackets
<=2
120 brackets
<=3
146 brackets
<=4
155 brackets
<=5
163 brackets
<=8
165 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 8:30:16 AM1 trades$4,9540 min
4/26/2026, 9:30:32 AM1 trades$7,1070 min
4/26/2026, 9:56:44 AM1 trades$8,0280 min
4/26/2026, 10:44:10 AM4 trades$14,9232 min
4/26/2026, 11:05:52 AM7 trades$5,9342 min
4/26/2026, 11:38:22 AM1 trades$13,7490 min
4/26/2026, 12:01:52 PM1 trades$9,7090 min
4/26/2026, 12:59:08 PM1 trades$13,6260 min
4/26/2026, 5:01:52 PM1 trades$5,9460 min
4/26/2026, 5:32:54 PM1 trades$4,0090 min
4/26/2026, 5:59:06 PM1 trades$13,2660 min
4/26/2026, 7:07:54 PM1 trades$3,6430 min
4/26/2026, 7:18:18 PM2 trades$5,9841 min
4/26/2026, 8:02:28 PM1 trades$4,9750 min
4/26/2026, 8:20:30 PM21 trades$23,5089 min
4/26/2026, 8:49:12 PM2 trades$10,4483 min
4/26/2026, 9:00:44 PM3 trades$12,4451 min
4/26/2026, 9:17:22 PM2 trades$19,3390 min
4/27/2026, 4:44:04 PM1 trades$5,0850 min
4/27/2026, 5:28:56 PM1 trades$7,8010 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-22
04-29
05-10
05-21
05-29
06-08
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.1 br/event