@Elementarius

#2,904,0017

0x7c1120880fec59054ca8e8f781625e4dcc9499a1

~48d· 91 markets · 360 tradesVol: $24,5892026-08-05 17:29:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (3/20)0/20
0.58x (win $228 / loss $391)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.6460/15
Sortino -8.0100/10
$-0.0395 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1021 (20 markets)7.4/10
3/13 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 516% of peak ($202 / $39)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#635,344$-113Vol: $5,283
🎭 CULTURE#784,653$-105Vol: $3,779
🏛️ POLITICS#1,532,617$-114Vol: $3,454
💻 TECH#252,371$-161Vol: $3,372
₿ CRYPTO#1,426,948$-68Vol: $3,210
⚽ SPORTS#1,703,089$-125Vol: $2,952
📈 ECONOMICS#660,915$-102Vol: $2,140
🌤️ WEATHER#239,874$-8Vol: $300

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-798
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,589
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
91
total markets
Trades
213B / 147S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $100
Week
$-33
Vol: $4,100
Month
$-239
Vol: $5,289
All Time
$-798
Vol: $24,589

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
3W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-798
Win Rate
15%
3W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$76
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $228 (0.2856498534165226% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?$102
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?$72
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$55

Top Losers

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?$-68
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-54
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?$-53
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$-31
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30?$-29
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $39B by July 31?$-24
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$-23
Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?$-21
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-19
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $85B by July 31?$-14

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.334
Sortino
-0.734
HHI
11
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.310
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
5.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4416s — normal for humanCV 1.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.9
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.4%
Mid (20-55c)27.7%
High (>55c)55.9%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 7:46:02 AM8 trades$4003 min
7/21/2026, 7:12:43 AM2 trades$2500 min
8/4/2026, 8:54:45 AM2 trades$2500 min
8/2/2026, 7:35:44 AM2 trades$1890 min
6/25/2026, 8:44:22 PM3 trades$1854 min
8/3/2026, 11:31:24 PM4 trades$1600 min
7/31/2026, 2:52:30 PM3 trades$1570 min
7/30/2026, 11:15:06 AM2 trades$1500 min
7/20/2026, 9:08:18 PM3 trades$1380 min
8/2/2026, 10:24:53 PM1 trades$1330 min
7/25/2026, 12:04:52 AM4 trades$1310 min
7/27/2026, 7:07:40 AM4 trades$1310 min
7/17/2026, 3:26:03 AM4 trades$1300 min
7/21/2026, 1:24:10 AM5 trades$1220 min
7/18/2026, 2:10:58 PM3 trades$1210 min
6/17/2026, 9:38:56 AM6 trades$1212 min
7/14/2026, 8:27:41 PM4 trades$1140 min
8/2/2026, 1:20:57 AM1 trades$1090 min
7/1/2026, 8:13:59 AM3 trades$1010 min
7/20/2026, 9:23:49 AM4 trades$1010 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-06
06-25
07-01
07-06
07-12
07-18
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.4 / M27.7 / H55.9