@Elias.Thornwell

#8,91173

0xa66790e2b0075e73c3781ddaf1d0b875a3aaceb3

~244d· 17260 markets · 130215 tradesVol: $5,885,4042026-08-02 07:19:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (9690/14370)18.7/20
1.28x (win $123,870 / loss $96,734)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.93415/15
Sortino 2.59810/10
$+0.0084 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 32 (14370 markets)10/10
152/232 profitable days (66%)8.9/10
Max DD 51% of peak ($14,030 / $27,458)3.8/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+17,281
DCA Master
Avg 5.7 entries/market
Whale
$3,235,608 invested
Consistent
152/232 profitable days
High Roller
$7,950/day
Win Streak
25 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#6,586$4,709Vol: $3,050,921
SPORTS#1,860,909$-2,728Vol: $833,842
🎭 CULTURE#3,004$2,098Vol: $598,288
📈 ECONOMICS#921$6,012Vol: $532,636
CRYPTO#8,469$5,713Vol: $388,653
💰 FINANCE#7,153$480Vol: $347,347
📢 MENTIONS#4,035$198Vol: $39,918
🌤️ WEATHER#2,274$588Vol: $37,125
💻 TECH#3,396$257Vol: $24,183

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$17,278
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,885,404
Total Redeem
$71,898
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17260
total markets
Trades
87841B / 42374S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~244d

Periods

#2
Today
$498
Vol: $2,981
Week
$1,766
Vol: $2,981
Month
$857
Vol: $61,216
All Time
$17,278
Vol: $5,885,404

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
9691W / 4679L events
Realized PnL
$17,281
Win Rate
67%
9691W / 4679L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,835 (0.9742098523028384% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$6,709
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$5,576
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4,550
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$3,097
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2,506
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2,298
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$2,259
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1,696
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1,676
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1,322

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-8,349
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-5,037
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-3,991
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-2,791
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-2,476
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-2,164
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-2,144
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-1,739
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-1,723
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$-1,631

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.101
Sortino
0.084
HHI
20
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
319.9
Very active
Markets / Day
42.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.7m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
53 min
Avg Trades / Session
838.5

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
54% gaps < 3s — suspicious speedCV 8.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock320 trades/day — automation42 markets/day — mass coverage41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.71
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.7%
Mid (20-55c)11.2%
High (>55c)74.1%

Sessions

#12
5/10/2026, 4:55:36 PM2000 trades$109,39683 min
7/30/2026, 10:40:51 PM1671 trades$95,04823 min
4/19/2026, 9:59:34 PM1781 trades$68,914126 min
7/4/2026, 10:49:59 PM1502 trades$68,007150 min
4/2/2026, 7:57:43 PM1282 trades$64,06069 min
3/7/2026, 1:54:33 PM1644 trades$55,951208 min
6/22/2026, 9:07:52 AM776 trades$55,77137 min
6/1/2026, 10:53:21 PM1007 trades$53,24785 min
5/11/2026, 9:35:49 PM997 trades$52,36563 min
2/12/2026, 10:16:57 PM1475 trades$50,34224 min
5/9/2026, 9:41:22 AM354 trades$49,5314 min
4/6/2026, 7:51:13 PM808 trades$42,06852 min
2/12/2026, 11:55:01 PM1465 trades$40,75421 min
6/16/2026, 12:36:58 PM946 trades$40,50895 min
4/8/2026, 10:13:47 PM988 trades$40,36897 min
5/14/2026, 7:54:50 PM905 trades$40,14951 min
4/1/2026, 9:48:31 PM908 trades$39,93944 min
8/1/2026, 1:00:02 PM663 trades$38,49280 min
5/10/2026, 10:32:21 PM1166 trades$38,35531 min
4/27/2026, 11:39:20 PM620 trades$36,52015 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
01-05
02-16
03-26
05-11
06-18
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 49 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.7 / M11.2 / H74.1