@ElijahBleica

#2,746,75840

0xe6ec3e2afe92c59465ced4313fb47f97f60e7021

~29d· 38 markets · 48 tradesVol: $46,5942026-10-08 03:32:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

92% (35/38)20/20
0.49x (win $13 / loss $27)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4750/15
Sortino -2.5530/10
$-0.0052 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 466 (38 markets)10/10
25/28 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 490% of peak ($26 / $5)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 92%
Consistent
25/28 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#1,561,766$-175Vol: $46,225
🏛️ POLITICS#247,678$3Vol: $142
💰 FINANCE#152,783$1Vol: $126
💻 TECH#111,830$0Vol: $49
🌤️ WEATHER#48,590$1Vol: $27
📈 ECONOMICS#250,267$0Vol: $13
🎭 CULTURE#252,079$0Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-169
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,594
Total Redeem
$15
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
41B / 7S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
92%
35W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$-169
Win Rate
92%
35W / 3L
Profit Factor
0.49x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7 (0.04074753090070377% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$4
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?$2
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?$1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 20?$1
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$1
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?$0
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0
Megaquake by March 31?$0
Trump out as President in 2025?$0
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on October 19?$0

Top Losers

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,500 on November 2?$-16
Will the price of Solana be between $200 and $210 on October 21?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.127
Sortino
-0.111
HHI
454
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.6%
Top-5 markets
27.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.1h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
30
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 0.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.32
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)97.6%

Sessions

#12
10/21/2025, 1:45:19 PM1 trades$1480 min
10/20/2025, 12:34:51 PM1 trades$1460 min
10/18/2025, 1:14:23 PM1 trades$1460 min
10/19/2025, 9:08:37 AM1 trades$1460 min
9/27/2025, 3:21:00 AM12 trades$1433 min
10/31/2025, 1:53:05 AM1 trades$1390 min
10/30/2025, 9:39:35 AM1 trades$1390 min
10/29/2025, 12:11:57 PM1 trades$1380 min
10/28/2025, 12:00:45 PM1 trades$1380 min
10/26/2025, 12:34:35 PM1 trades$1380 min
10/25/2025, 12:21:15 PM1 trades$1380 min
10/24/2025, 12:28:37 PM1 trades$1380 min
10/21/2025, 3:24:31 PM1 trades$1380 min
10/22/2025, 3:05:03 PM1 trades$1370 min
11/6/2025, 7:18:53 AM1 trades$1230 min
11/4/2025, 8:51:13 AM1 trades$1230 min
11/3/2025, 5:52:49 AM1 trades$1230 min
11/2/2025, 12:35:53 AM1 trades$1220 min
6/13/2026, 12:07:37 PM3 trades$770 min
8/10/2026, 5:51:49 AM2 trades$500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-21
10-20
10-25
10-30
11-03
03-02
05-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.4 / M0 / H97.6