@ElusiveCapital
#2,999,970360x51a5945df25079c039411e803b9001b14137c855
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
68% (74/109)18.9/20
0.67x (win $3,885 / loss $5,837)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4900/15
Sortino -2.7450/10
$-0.0226 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 436 (109 markets)10/10
27/45 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 583% of peak ($2,407 / $413)0/10
Badges
3Sniper
Win rate 68%
Whale
$86,475 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Categories
6₿ CRYPTO#1,486,663$-111Vol: $147,866
🏛️ POLITICS#1,621,660$-1,505Vol: $26,309
💰 FINANCE#73,700$5Vol: $6,617
🎭 CULTURE#806,509$-547Vol: $2,200
💻 TECH#13,206$20Vol: $1,204
📈 ECONOMICS#23,163$31Vol: $776
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,107
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$184,972
Total Redeem
$49
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
132
total markets
Trades
279B / 167S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~82d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-18
Vol: $0
Month
$-10
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,107
Vol: $184,972
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
68%
74W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-2,107
Win Rate
68%
74W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$53
Avg Loss
$-172
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,797 (0.8527918299940206% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$868
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?$515
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$414
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?$189
Ethereum all time high by October 31?$138
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?$133
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?$92
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$77
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$76
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?$74
Top Losers
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?$-1,232
Ethereum flipped in 2026?$-740
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$-600
Will Zcash dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?$-520
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-500
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?$-500
Ethereum all time high by December 31?$-461
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?$-278
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$-200
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?$-100
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.129
Sortino
-0.108
HHI
250
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.5%
Top-5 markets
29.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.27
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)9%
Mid (20-55c)9%
High (>55c)82.1%
Sessions
#121/8/2026, 4:23:06 PM18 trades$9,71024 min
12/15/2025, 6:14:51 PM2 trades$6,2461 min
1/27/2026, 1:32:49 AM4 trades$3,9352 min
10/26/2025, 12:17:45 PM1 trades$3,6000 min
12/1/2025, 9:08:12 AM2 trades$3,5002 min
11/14/2025, 11:28:24 AM8 trades$3,3765 min
5/5/2026, 11:51:02 AM6 trades$3,2221 min
12/4/2025, 5:52:31 PM1 trades$3,1090 min
11/28/2025, 10:35:19 AM2 trades$3,0661 min
1/14/2026, 12:39:30 PM7 trades$3,0197 min
12/17/2025, 12:51:18 PM1 trades$3,0000 min
2/2/2026, 7:07:22 PM7 trades$2,77513 min
12/19/2025, 3:28:08 PM5 trades$2,3436 min
7/18/2026, 9:25:39 AM7 trades$2,1371 min
11/26/2025, 6:00:19 PM2 trades$2,0742 min
11/9/2025, 2:24:35 PM3 trades$2,0004 min
2/14/2026, 5:54:35 PM8 trades$1,8415 min
1/17/2026, 12:08:56 AM6 trades$1,8008 min
7/15/2026, 11:57:25 AM2 trades$1,7800 min
1/8/2026, 5:09:28 PM4 trades$1,7503 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-20
11-14
11-25
12-17
01-17
02-05
03-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 68 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9 / M9 / H82.1