Polydata

@Enraged-Espalier

#1,83941

0x90a50913050e7320799ca2f51aed42f37684c3f1

224d· 2981 markets · 3190 tradesVol: $3,328,4022026-06-27T11:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.95x2/15
HHI 14510/10
Profit Days 67%9/10
DD/Peak 605%0/10

Summary

Enraged-Espalier is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 3,190 trades executed across 645 markets over 279 days. They currently rank #1839 on the global PnL leaderboard and have achieved a net profit of $93,580.93 from a total trading volume exceeding $3.3 million. Their portfolio value is relatively low at $9.88, but their equity trend shows consistent upward growth.

This trader exhibits a balanced but slightly contrarian style, indicated by badges like "Contrarian" and "Sniper." Enraged-Espalier maintains a high win rate of 80.5% but has a profit factor below 1 at 0.95, suggesting some trades yield limited returns or small losses. Their Sharpe Ratio is near zero, pointing to minimal risk-adjusted return, and they have a 35% sell rate, indicating a moderate level of trade exits rather than holding positions long-term. They do not trade weather markets, preferring other categories.

Enraged-Espalier’s key strength lies in their consistent winning streaks and ability to maintain an upward equity trend despite a modest profit factor. However, the negative Sharpe Ratio and low bot score suggest potential risks in terms of risk management and strategy robustness. Their trading style may suit traders looking for steady, frequent wins but could face challenges in volatile or high-risk scenarios on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+93,581
Lottery Player
35% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
54% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
64 wins in a row
Whale
$851,784
Consistent
82/122 days
High Roller
$3,053/day

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,529$34,409Vol: $2,186,360
🏛️ POLITICS#56,318$126Vol: $44,617
🎭 CULTURE#373,953$-0Vol: $12,493
CRYPTO#1,065,461$-8Vol: $6,657

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$93,581
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,328,402
Total Redeem
$287,781
Portfolio
$10
Predictions
2981
total markets
Trades
2087B / 1103S
Daily Volume
$3,053
Account Age
224d
since Nov 16, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$10,416
Vol: $81,036
Week
$10,889
Vol: $118,382
Month
$10,947
Vol: $169,754
All Time
$93,581
Vol: $3,328,402

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
154W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$115,794
Win Rate
81%
393W / 93L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$234
Avg Loss
$-1,036

Top Winners

LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair - Game 1 Winner$24,473
LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair - Game 2 Winner$9,005
Will 4 Anchors and Ilmeria Qualify to The International 2026$7,568
Houston Cougars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves$7,071
Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Tochigi SC end in a draw?$5,122
Will GamerLegion Qualify to The International 2026$2,851
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips$2,682
Will Tochigi SC vs. Tochigi SC end in a draw?$2,472
Map Handicap: BRUTE (-1.5) vs PRIME (+1.5)$1,880
Will Fukushima United FC vs. Reilac Shiga end in a draw?$1,227

Top Losers

Trace Esports to win 2 maps?$-4,980
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Sangal (BO1) - META Cup Group A$-4,297
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?$-4,237
Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1?$-4,089
Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 1?$-4,089
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 2?$-4,024
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?$-4,024
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs The Continental (BO1) - META Cup Group $-4,017
Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs AaB esport (+1.5)$-3,653
Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)$-3,261

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.008
Sortino
-0.007
HHI
145
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
2.4%
Half-Kelly
1.2%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
18.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.9
Active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
51.6m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — typical for humanSize CV 4.82 — diverse, typical for human7% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.03 — human randomness15 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.2
Moderate DCA
<=1
361 entries
<=2
457 entries
<=5
560 entries
<=10
611 entries
<=20
636 entries
<=50
641 entries
>50
4 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.4%
Mid (20-55c)23.4%
High (>55c)41.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 47.4%

Houston$7,071
Seattle$33
Miami$7
Madrid$3
Chicago$2
Paris$2
Los Angeles$1
Austin$0
Atlanta$0
Russia$-366
San Francisco$-2,608
Other$-8,712

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
393

Single bracket

<=1
278 brackets
<=2
325 brackets
<=3
360 brackets
<=4
378 brackets
<=5
383 brackets
<=8
391 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/25/2025, 4:06:13 PM1 trades$950 min
11/25/2025, 5:10:55 PM1 trades$2430 min
11/25/2025, 5:44:11 PM2 trades$6420 min
11/25/2025, 5:55:23 PM4 trades$531 min
11/26/2025, 10:45:39 PM1 trades$10 min
11/26/2025, 11:55:51 PM1 trades$10 min
11/27/2025, 7:00:01 AM1 trades$00 min
11/27/2025, 11:21:11 AM1 trades$40 min
11/27/2025, 10:48:43 PM6 trades$010 min
11/27/2025, 11:07:53 PM2 trades$00 min
11/28/2025, 12:36:47 AM1 trades$20 min
11/28/2025, 1:33:43 PM1 trades$10 min
11/28/2025, 3:13:01 PM1 trades$00 min
11/28/2025, 8:42:15 PM1 trades$00 min
11/28/2025, 9:30:43 PM1 trades$10 min
11/29/2025, 9:14:23 AM1 trades$240 min
11/29/2025, 1:52:45 PM4 trades$2122 min
11/29/2025, 2:16:01 PM1 trades$650 min
11/29/2025, 2:21:09 PM2 trades$312 min
11/29/2025, 4:39:29 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-20
01-22
02-27
03-21
04-28
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event