@Erasmus.
#1,073420xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784
~504d· 752 markets · 34094 tradesVol: $144,735,8562026-09-21 18:05:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
71% (524/737)20/20
0.98x (win $7,467,094 / loss $7,594,573)2.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0560/15
Sortino -0.0660/10
$-0.0013 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 330 (737 markets)10/10
211/296 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 347% of peak ($2,260,079 / $651,461)0/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+324,853
DCA Master
Avg 52.4 entries/market
Whale
$96,648,931 invested
Consistent
211/296 profitable days
High Roller
$123,909/day
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,647,804$-88,973Vol: $79,854,104
📈 ECONOMICS#699,018$-298,364Vol: $27,367,181
💻 TECH#3$182,519Vol: $18,815,935
🎭 CULTURE#162$44,681Vol: $10,265,650
₿ CRYPTO#126$195,086Vol: $4,988,831
⚽ SPORTS#678$120,327Vol: $2,417,448
📢 MENTIONS#2,784$363Vol: $261,785
💰 FINANCE#1,124$4,678Vol: $117,423
🌤️ WEATHER#0$0Vol: $74,141
Overview
#1Net PnL
$186,231
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$144,735,856
Total Redeem
$556,832
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
752
total markets
Trades
23689B / 10405S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~504d
Periods
#2Today
$-20,759
Vol: $0
Week
$245,948
Vol: $1,155,578
Month
$348,039
Vol: $2,499,462
All Time
$186,231
Vol: $144,735,856
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
71%
524W / 213L events
Realized PnL
$324,853
Win Rate
71%
524W / 213L
Profit Factor
0.98x
Avg Win
$14,250
Avg Loss
$-35,655
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,485,625 (7.6515365332109395% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,236,359
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$822,528
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$426,738
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$278,926
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$222,425
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$216,153
Will Biden finish his term?$200,112
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$173,311
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$172,864
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$171,377
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,151,183
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-1,098,870
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-695,059
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-555,311
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-541,621
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-473,989
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-469,022
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-312,100
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$-259,077
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-242,465
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.003
Sortino
-0.002
HHI
516
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19%
Top-5 markets
37.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
43.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
23.4m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
45.1
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 5.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock44 trades/day — high frequency1.0 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
52.41
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.9%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)82.6%
Sessions
#121/20/2025, 1:14:51 PM101 trades$2,283,84954 min
1/19/2025, 8:04:19 PM164 trades$2,278,01081 min
1/20/2025, 11:57:39 AM121 trades$2,184,61447 min
1/20/2025, 7:02:13 PM9 trades$1,894,9338 min
12/23/2024, 1:56:06 PM71 trades$1,307,81438 min
1/20/2025, 11:24:57 AM83 trades$1,071,22925 min
4/29/2025, 4:53:58 AM74 trades$1,030,53511 min
12/9/2025, 1:15:24 PM3 trades$924,9072 min
1/20/2025, 3:07:45 PM3 trades$883,3840 min
10/18/2024, 7:28:35 PM2 trades$848,8142 min
1/20/2025, 2:15:57 PM25 trades$727,73022 min
1/20/2025, 4:05:25 PM12 trades$708,34711 min
1/20/2025, 8:57:51 PM42 trades$705,00947 min
1/20/2025, 12:17:43 AM811 trades$702,36742 min
6/17/2026, 5:43:07 PM2 trades$698,6000 min
3/31/2026, 10:06:29 PM14 trades$671,7381 min
3/1/2026, 1:41:17 AM34 trades$644,4129 min
1/20/2025, 8:02:43 PM22 trades$609,13926 min
7/27/2026, 8:12:54 PM69 trades$579,77110 min
7/28/2026, 4:27:07 PM20 trades$573,7723 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-31
10-12
12-14
03-10
07-21
02-19
09-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 32 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 52.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.9 / M12.5 / H82.6