Escumish

@Escumish

#2,940,27760

0x19243fa24e3a6097d1145680259dde028650dff3

~57d· 281 markets · 1502 tradesVol: $67,959 @Alcazso2026-08-04 22:10:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (104/206)10.2/20
1.31x (win $859 / loss $658)6.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.06615/15
Sortino 3.18710/10
$+0.0203 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 192 (206 markets)10/10
27/51 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 64% of peak ($156 / $244)1.2/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 5.0 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,571,367$-234Vol: $18,227
💰 FINANCE#644,526$-251Vol: $13,009
🎭 CULTURE#788,400$-137Vol: $11,111
⚽ SPORTS#1,710,675$-139Vol: $7,399
💻 TECH#238,546$-26Vol: $7,028
📢 MENTIONS#165,118$-111Vol: $2,933
🌤️ WEATHER#269,750$-33Vol: $2,933
₿ CRYPTO#1,358,566$-40Vol: $2,328
📈 ECONOMICS#629,942$-21Vol: $618

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,115
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$67,959
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
281
total markets
Trades
963B / 539S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$-32
Vol: $1,547
Week
$-44
Vol: $3,372
Month
$-93
Vol: $5,836
All Time
$-1,115
Vol: $67,959

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
104W / 102L events
Realized PnL
$-1,114
Win Rate
50%
104W / 102L
Profit Factor
1.31x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $222 (0.19923894313612867% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$102
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$61
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $130 in July?$59
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?$57
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$47
Will LGD Gaming Win the Shortest Game at EWC 2026?$44
Will Team Yandex Win the Shortest Game at EWC 2026?$44
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in July?$40
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$26
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$22

Top Losers

Will BBL Esports be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026?$-85
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-72
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?$-69
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?$-47
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-29
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$-28
Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$-25
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?$-22
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?$-21
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.107
Sortino
0.132
HHI
80
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
13.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 164s — normal for humanCV 1.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.03
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.6%
Mid (20-55c)1.9%
High (>55c)70.5%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 5:39:20 PM18 trades$3881 min
7/15/2026, 2:23:01 PM35 trades$3183 min
7/23/2026, 1:27:49 PM12 trades$3104 min
7/9/2026, 10:17:52 AM4 trades$2690 min
7/24/2026, 2:00:25 PM14 trades$2403 min
7/23/2026, 12:11:48 PM7 trades$2270 min
7/24/2026, 1:30:12 PM12 trades$2160 min
8/3/2026, 11:27:44 AM5 trades$2160 min
8/2/2026, 3:08:27 PM17 trades$2020 min
6/26/2026, 10:32:04 AM24 trades$2028 min
6/24/2026, 7:14:58 AM14 trades$1951 min
7/31/2026, 2:31:30 PM5 trades$1920 min
8/1/2026, 1:02:42 AM14 trades$1654 min
7/30/2026, 6:00:59 PM13 trades$1630 min
7/21/2026, 9:05:37 PM5 trades$1410 min
8/4/2026, 3:16:57 PM11 trades$1401 min
8/1/2026, 6:49:38 PM11 trades$1370 min
7/1/2026, 8:05:46 PM3 trades$1370 min
7/6/2026, 2:31:07 PM3 trades$1370 min
6/23/2026, 10:29:38 AM10 trades$1361 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-06
01-01
06-26
07-05
07-14
07-22
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.6 / M1.9 / H70.5