@Estebinta

#3,090,08822

0x30849632acadd04e1e0a6d672f019ebddb155ec5

~21d· 50 markets · 368 tradesVol: $67,4972026-10-06 01:02:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (21/41)10.6/20
0.50x (win $738 / loss $1,490)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.2480/15
Sortino -6.2830/10
$-0.0854 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1030 (41 markets)7.4/10
6/13 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 2437% of peak ($784 / $32)0/10

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,635,040$-1,343Vol: $37,532
🌤️ WEATHER#280,068$-55Vol: $16,710
⚽ SPORTS#1,822,205$-350Vol: $11,814
₿ CRYPTO#1,192,600$-12Vol: $24

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,897
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$67,497
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
171B / 197S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $0
Month
$-509
Vol: $43,311
All Time
$-1,897
Vol: $67,497

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
21W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-1,668
Win Rate
51%
21W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-83

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $431 (0.25808656036446465% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$203
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$137
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?$91
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$59
Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$51
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$17
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs$-618
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-254
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?$-160
Kash Patel out by May 31?$-81
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$-59
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-40
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?$-40
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-40
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?$-32
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.314
Sortino
-0.293
HHI
104
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.334
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
18.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.9m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 218s — normal for humanCV 3.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.49
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.5%
Mid (20-55c)27.5%
High (>55c)55%

Sessions

#12
9/15/2026, 11:46:33 AM26 trades$4,3590 min
9/13/2026, 9:00:16 PM11 trades$4,1970 min
5/26/2026, 9:29:35 PM29 trades$2,7740 min
5/22/2026, 10:26:15 PM47 trades$2,5190 min
5/22/2026, 10:11:45 PM11 trades$1,9310 min
6/13/2026, 9:52:18 PM15 trades$1,9266 min
6/11/2026, 12:24:27 AM2 trades$1,1530 min
6/5/2026, 5:44:39 AM12 trades$8542 min
5/30/2026, 8:06:15 PM9 trades$8520 min
6/29/2026, 7:05:01 AM3 trades$4900 min
9/13/2026, 9:41:09 AM13 trades$35820 min
6/15/2026, 10:11:06 PM4 trades$3214 min
9/13/2026, 9:24:13 AM8 trades$26011 min
6/11/2026, 1:35:04 AM17 trades$2219 min
6/11/2026, 1:15:28 AM25 trades$1948 min
6/21/2026, 11:59:32 PM3 trades$1900 min
9/13/2026, 1:52:51 AM13 trades$18716 min
9/13/2026, 1:33:31 AM8 trades$18612 min
6/15/2026, 5:48:31 PM6 trades$1355 min
6/19/2026, 2:54:20 AM2 trades$1240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-11
06-13
06-15
06-21
09-10
09-12
09-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 92 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.49/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.5 / M27.5 / H55