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Evergreen-Curse

@Evergreen-Curse

#2,07188

0xda9ed03eb10640d411b35b3773c7af9aade1ac09

137d· 179 markets · 2583 tradesVol: $2,136,2972026-06-23T23:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 71%20/20
Profit Factor 9.02x15/15
Sharpe 0.4929/15
Sortino 12.38410/10
EV $+0.0874/10
HHI 53410/10
Profit Days 91%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Evergreen-Curse is an active trader on Polymarket, ranked #2071 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. Over 427 days, they have executed 2,583 trades across 179 markets, generating a net profit of $81,222.32 from a total trading volume exceeding $2.1 million. Their smart score of 88/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting consistent performance and a strong track record.

This trader favors a diversified approach, engaging in a wide range of markets with a preference for high-conviction trades indicated by a 69.8% win rate and a profit factor of 3.58. Evergreen-Curse exhibits a balanced risk profile, with nearly half of their positions closed via selling rather than waiting to expire. Their trading style appears disciplined and methodical, supported by badges like Sniper and DCA Master, suggesting timely entries and averaging strategies that reduce exposure to volatility.

Evergreen-Curse’s key strengths include a steady upward equity trend, minimal drawdown duration, and solid profitability metrics that highlight effective risk management. However, their Sharpe ratio of 0.49 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the low bot score indicates a human-driven strategy that may be less consistent under rapid market shifts. Overall, Evergreen-Curse demonstrates strong trading acumen on Polymarket but faces typical challenges of human traders in maintaining performance.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+81,222
DCA Master
avg 7.9 entries/market
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
Whale
$762,633
Consistent
29/32 days
High Roller
$1,786/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#960$51,508Vol: $1,493,862
CRYPTO#18,641$2,162Vol: $229,783
📈 ECONOMICS#4,295$490Vol: $156,925
💰 FINANCE#131$27,209Vol: $127,837
💻 TECH#1,830$614Vol: $86,401
🎭 CULTURE#789,808$-569Vol: $20,567
SPORTS#1,640,798$-275Vol: $11,116
📢 MENTIONS#6,864$78Vol: $5,552

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$81,222
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,136,297
Total Redeem
$99,681
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
179
total markets
Trades
1412B / 1171S
Daily Volume
$1,786
Account Age
137d
since Feb 9, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$81,222
Vol: $2,136,297

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
81%
79W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$83,157
Win Rate
70%
125W / 52L
Profit Factor
3.58x
Avg Win
$739
Avg Loss
$-496

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $32,101 (48.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at mark$13,976
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market $10,294
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?$7,832
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?$4,677
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?$4,630
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3,370
Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?$2,829
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$2,725
Will Iran strike Oman in March?$2,657
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?$2,466

Top Losers

Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?$-7,666
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$-2,724
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?$-1,877
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 2$-1,049
Will There is Such a People (ITN) finish third in the 2026 Bulgar$-925
Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) finish third in the 2026 Bulg$-922
Will Velichie (Velichie) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parli$-920
Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) finish third in the 2$-895
Will United Left (BSP) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliam$-895
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-887

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.492
Sortino
12.384
HHI
534
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.087
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.4%
Top-5 markets
41.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.5
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
24.0m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 26s — typical for humanSize CV 3.70 — diverse, typical for human2% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.20 — human randomness35 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.9
Active DCA
<=1
50 entries
<=2
82 entries
<=5
118 entries
<=10
151 entries
<=20
161 entries
<=50
175 entries
>50
4 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.4%
Mid (20-55c)35.1%
High (>55c)55.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 66.4%

Other$66,558
Warsh$22

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.8
Events covered
98

Single bracket

<=1
63 brackets
<=2
85 brackets
<=3
91 brackets
<=4
93 brackets
<=5
94 brackets
<=8
96 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/9/2026, 12:25:29 PM1 trades$1700 min
2/9/2026, 12:33:43 PM1 trades$300 min
2/9/2026, 12:54:57 PM1 trades$300 min
2/9/2026, 1:17:53 PM1 trades$600 min
2/9/2026, 9:31:19 PM6 trades$1,80411 min
2/9/2026, 9:52:31 PM2 trades$7,3660 min
2/9/2026, 10:24:47 PM1 trades$7,5040 min
2/9/2026, 11:05:03 PM2 trades$1,1101 min
2/9/2026, 11:15:27 PM1 trades$80 min
2/10/2026, 12:11:59 AM1 trades$1280 min
2/10/2026, 12:49:21 AM2 trades$580 min
2/10/2026, 4:25:07 AM1 trades$1600 min
2/10/2026, 6:14:49 AM2 trades$2572 min
2/10/2026, 3:12:31 PM4 trades$120 min
2/10/2026, 3:25:55 PM2 trades$20 min
2/11/2026, 10:19:17 AM3 trades$21 min
2/11/2026, 1:44:17 PM1 trades$9230 min
2/11/2026, 1:58:43 PM1 trades$360 min
2/12/2026, 7:52:03 AM22 trades$2,5105 min
2/12/2026, 8:04:29 AM7 trades$6872 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-16
02-25
03-03
03-13
04-19
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.8 br/event