Polydata

@Every-Alligator

#1,18268

0xa16a1302ca05463f30faebeb5c045767fde233a1

231d· 33004 markets · 7815 tradesVol: $58,599,8172026-06-24T23:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.19x0/15
Sharpe 0.4468/15
Sortino 1481538.86210/10
HHI 11610/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Every-Alligator is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #1182 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $153,060.86. Over nearly a year of activity, they have executed 7,815 trades across 492 markets, accumulating a total volume of $58.6 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at $109,445.94, reflecting stable equity trends and a solid Smart Score of 68 out of 100, indicating overall good performance.

The trading style of Every-Alligator leans toward selective market engagement with a preference for steady, consistent gains rather than high-risk bets. Their win rate of 67.5% and a relatively low profit factor of 0.19 suggest a conservative approach, possibly focusing on smaller, incremental profits. With a low sell percentage of 9%, they exhibit diamond-hands characteristics, holding positions rather than frequent flipping. The semi-bot score of 40/100 indicates a hybrid strategy combining automated and manual decision-making, which may contribute to their steady performance without large drawdowns.

Every-Alligator’s key strengths include a high win rate and stable equity, supported by badges like Sniper and DCA Master, highlighting precision and disciplined entry. However, the modest Sharpe ratio of 0.45 suggests limited risk-adjusted returns, and a profit factor below 1 might indicate that losses occasionally outweigh gains relative to volume traded. While their flat equity trend reduces volatility risk, it also points to limited upside momentum. These factors suggest a reliable but cautious trader on Polymarket with potential constraints in maximizing large payouts.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+153,061
Diamond Hands
9% sell
DCA Master
avg 14.5 entries/market
Win Streak
244 wins in a row
Whale
$5,120,523
Consistent
92/92 days
High Roller
$14,424/day

Categories

9
SPORTS#693$96,995Vol: $33,033,664
🎭 CULTURE#3,841$1,433Vol: $1,574,346
🌤️ WEATHER#867$1,871Vol: $1,383,838
🏛️ POLITICS#15,555$1,244Vol: $1,131,783
💰 FINANCE#298$15,690Vol: $816,784
📢 MENTIONS#1,716$664Vol: $780,132
CRYPTO#7,995$5,843Vol: $517,650
📈 ECONOMICS#9,131$144Vol: $135,511
💻 TECH#8,491$45Vol: $18,134

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$153,061
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$58,599,817
Total Redeem
$1,027,226
Portfolio
$109,446
Predictions
33004
total markets
Trades
7129B / 686S
Daily Volume
$14,424
Account Age
231d
since Nov 6, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$764
Vol: $325,963
Week
$48,111
Vol: $1,752,800
Month
$21,163
Vol: $12,535,557
All Time
$153,061
Vol: $58,599,817

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
221W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$136,114
Win Rate
68%
324W / 156L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$2,452
Avg Loss
$-26,714

Top Winners

Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5$48,395
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$48,008
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$42,666
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 Senegal?$38,046
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Cl$36,459
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$29,834
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 Senegal?$27,812
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia?$27,776
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner$21,462
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?$18,081

Top Losers

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?$-118,173
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-116,105
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider$-114,900
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major $-109,890
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek$-103,904
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner$-103,594
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$-99,900
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$-99,899
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$-95,486
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres Burruchaga$-93,926

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.446
Sortino
inf
HHI
116
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.662
Kelly %
42.9%
Half-Kelly
21.5%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
11.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
58.3
Very active
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
10.9m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — typical for humanSize CV 5.22 — diverse, typical for human11% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.10 — human randomness58 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
173 entries
<=2
220 entries
<=5
290 entries
<=10
346 entries
<=20
398 entries
<=50
447 entries
>50
43 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4%
Mid (20-55c)1.6%
High (>55c)94.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 43.4%

Miami$4,515
Paris$3,607
Atlanta$702
Up or Down$100
Seoul$0
Karachi$-477
Chicago$-9,960
Madrid$-296,808
Other$-3,074,558

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
324

Single bracket

<=1
249 brackets
<=2
290 brackets
<=3
305 brackets
<=4
311 brackets
<=5
315 brackets
<=8
322 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/10/2026, 7:49:35 PM2 trades$323 min
2/10/2026, 8:09:49 PM5 trades$539 min
2/10/2026, 8:24:25 PM3 trades$121 min
2/10/2026, 8:48:55 PM1 trades$90 min
2/10/2026, 8:54:19 PM2 trades$171 min
2/10/2026, 9:13:07 PM2 trades$320 min
2/12/2026, 12:04:47 AM3 trades$185 min
2/12/2026, 12:14:43 AM3 trades$64 min
2/12/2026, 11:27:05 AM2 trades$204 min
2/12/2026, 11:38:25 AM2 trades$204 min
2/12/2026, 11:49:07 AM2 trades$490 min
2/12/2026, 11:55:03 AM5 trades$583 min
2/12/2026, 12:15:05 PM8 trades$18513 min
2/12/2026, 12:33:55 PM6 trades$2239 min
2/12/2026, 12:49:07 PM1 trades$140 min
2/12/2026, 12:58:57 PM5 trades$2055 min
2/13/2026, 4:56:07 PM1 trades$4600 min
2/14/2026, 10:40:49 PM5 trades$8473 min
2/14/2026, 10:54:47 PM3 trades$150 min
2/14/2026, 11:20:59 PM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
02-27
04-04
04-27
05-15
06-02
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.4% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event