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@Every-Alligator

#1,25168

0xa16a1302ca05463f30faebeb5c045767fde233a1

195d· 27293 markets · 5839 tradesVol: $37,500,7572026-05-14T15:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 85%20/20
Profit Factor 0.08x0/15
Sharpe 0.4348/15
Sortino 1392076.64710/10
HHI 12610/10
Profit Days 99%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Every-Alligator is an experienced trader on Polymarket, ranked #1251 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $119,952.28. Over 378 days active, they executed 5,839 trades across 856 markets, generating a substantial total volume of $37.5 million. Their portfolio value stands at $76,204.09, supported by a solid Smart Score of 68/100, indicating good overall trading quality and consistency.

This trader exhibits a low-risk, high-frequency trading style with a strong preference for diverse markets, though none in the weather category. Every-Alligator’s 85.2% win rate and profit factor of 0.08 suggest frequent but modest gains, typical of a strategy combining automated and manual inputs, as reflected in their semi-bot score of 60/100. Their minimal use of selling (6%) and badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master imply a preference for holding positions and dollar-cost averaging, while the Sniper badge highlights selective timing.

Every-Alligator’s strengths lie in their consistent upward equity trend, zero max drawdown duration, and disciplined risk management, as shown by a Sharpe ratio of 0.43. However, the relatively low profit factor and moderate Sharpe ratio indicate limited reward per unit of risk, which could constrain explosive growth. Their hybrid bot/manual approach may also expose them to periods of underperformance if market conditions shift rapidly. Overall, Every-Alligator remains a reliable, steady trader on Polymarket with a well-balanced strategy.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+119,952
Diamond Hands
6% sell
DCA Master
avg 6.4 entries/market
Win Streak
352 wins in a row
Whale
$3,847,760
Consistent
81/82 days
High Roller
$10,179/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
SPORTS#640$94,646Vol: $32,151,498
🌤️ WEATHER#761$1,809Vol: $1,347,257
🎭 CULTURE#5,231$830Vol: $1,053,104
🏛️ POLITICS#16,925$999Vol: $949,496
💰 FINANCE#258$15,631Vol: $786,404
📢 MENTIONS#1,698$618Vol: $695,736
CRYPTO#8,444$5,139Vol: $303,874
📈 ECONOMICS#8,724$140Vol: $135,391
💻 TECH#7,881$45Vol: $18,134

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$119,952
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,500,757
Total Redeem
$1,131,842
Portfolio
$76,204
Predictions
27293
total markets
Trades
5470B / 369S
Daily Volume
$10,179
Account Age
195d
since Nov 6, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-3,534
Vol: $173,017
Week
$7,260
Vol: $1,924,208
Month
$29,865
Vol: $4,554,421
All Time
$119,952
Vol: $37,500,757

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
212W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$114,491
Win Rate
85%
660W / 115L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$280
Avg Loss
$-20,277

Top Winners

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$42,666
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)$20,377
Madrid Open, Qualification: Viktoriya Tomova vs Anastasia Pavlyuc$14,083
Paris: Chloe Paquet vs Maya Joint$10,231
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovic$8,754
Linde vs. Farjat: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5$7,243
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner$6,356
Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 5.5$6,290
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)$5,669
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5$5,015

Top Losers

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-116,105
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner$-103,594
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?$-78,480
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner$-69,930
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublik$-63,033
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)$-59,940
Madrid Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Daria Snigur$-59,940
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$-59,940
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10?$-59,940
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?$-59,940

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.434
Sortino
inf
HHI
126
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.569
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
14.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
82.4
Very active
Markets / Day
12.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.2m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 24s — typical for humanSize CV 4.65 — diverse, typical for human4% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.05 — human randomness82 trades/day — mass trading12 markets/day — mass coverage331 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.4
Active DCA
<=1
583 entries
<=2
668 entries
<=5
717 entries
<=10
759 entries
<=20
785 entries
<=50
824 entries
>50
31 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)0.5%
High (>55c)97.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 47.7%

Up or Down$100
Milan$14
Lagos$2
Karachi$-477
Paris$-76,125
Madrid$-411,347
Other$-1,659,043

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.5
Events covered
339

Moderate coverage

<=1
252 brackets
<=2
295 brackets
<=3
310 brackets
<=4
319 brackets
<=5
321 brackets
<=8
325 brackets
>8
14 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/4/2026, 6:23:35 PM6 trades$29,9704 min
3/4/2026, 6:47:31 PM3 trades$19,9800 min
3/4/2026, 6:54:41 PM1 trades$4,9900 min
3/31/2026, 7:56:31 AM1 trades$1,1410 min
3/31/2026, 9:09:41 AM1 trades$1,9090 min
4/3/2026, 5:32:51 PM4 trades$1,6045 min
4/3/2026, 5:44:41 PM5 trades$3,3466 min
4/3/2026, 7:42:45 PM2 trades$331 min
4/3/2026, 8:07:35 PM86 trades$27,12980 min
4/5/2026, 12:42:37 AM2 trades$8232 min
4/5/2026, 1:03:19 AM2 trades$471 min
4/5/2026, 1:10:59 AM1 trades$190 min
4/5/2026, 1:38:33 AM1 trades$9990 min
4/5/2026, 1:46:45 AM16 trades$5,73511 min
4/5/2026, 2:07:23 AM2 trades$2,1671 min
4/7/2026, 8:54:33 PM42 trades$5,7361 min
4/7/2026, 11:04:23 PM2 trades$1084 min
4/7/2026, 11:27:49 PM1 trades$1740 min
4/8/2026, 7:40:29 PM2 trades$2931 min
4/8/2026, 7:49:39 PM1 trades$500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
02-11
03-14
04-04
04-19
05-03
05-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.2% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.5 br/event