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@Evil-Center

#2,205,32116

0xb1a811c55ae855ea0b6e2b4c11b7ac26f5a57e66

88d· 37 markets · 131 tradesVol: $2,8682026-05-16T07:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 41%5/20
Profit Factor 0.75x0/15
HHI 50110/10
Profit Days 33%1/10
DD/Peak 291%0/10

Summary

Evil-Center is a relatively new and low-ranked trader on Polymarket, positioned at #2,205,321 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 32 days, they have executed 131 trades across 37 markets, accumulating a total volume of $2,868. Despite this activity, Evil-Center's net PnL stands at -$73.41, reflecting a negative return with a portfolio value currently at zero. Their overall performance metrics, including a Smart Score of 16/100 and a Sharpe Ratio of -0.33, indicate beginner-level proficiency and a downward equity trend.

The trading style of Evil-Center heavily favors weather-related markets, comprising 92% of their trades, earning them the "Weather Pro" badge despite limited success. Their win rate is 40.5%, with a profit factor of 0.75, suggesting more losing trades than winners. The trader's risk profile appears moderate, with a max drawdown duration of zero days and a 44% sell percentage, indicating a somewhat cautious exit strategy. Trading is conducted manually, as indicated by a low Bot Score of 5/100, with no clear timing pattern visible from the data.

Evil-Center’s key strength lies in their focus and specialization in weather markets, which could be advantageous as they gain experience. However, the persistent negative PnL and low Smart Score highlight potential risks, including insufficient market understanding and poor trade selection. The downward equity trend and below-average profit factor suggest that improvements in strategy and risk management are needed for more consistent performance on Polymarket.

Badges

1
Weather Pro
92% weather

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#245,672$-67Vol: $2,854
CRYPTO#986,923$-6Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-73
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,868
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
74B / 57S
Daily Volume
$25
Account Age
88d
since Feb 21, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
41%
13W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-67
Win Rate
41%
15W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-10

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 21?$26
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 20?$26
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 19?$18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on$18
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on Apr$11
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April$10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on Apr$10
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 17?$8
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher o$8
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 17?$7

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 20?$-43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 20?$-31
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on Apr$-27
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F $-26
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 17?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 21?$-17
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on April 21?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 17?$-11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 21?$-5
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.330
Sortino
-0.390
HHI
501
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.068
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
36.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.5m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 692s — typical for humanSize CV 1.15 — diverse, typical for human11% at night — normal sleep pattern18/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.09 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2
Single entry
<=1
20 entries
<=2
29 entries
<=5
36 entries
<=10
36 entries
<=20
37 entries
<=50
37 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.4%
Mid (20-55c)45.9%
High (>55c)48.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 99.9%

Chongqing$26
Madrid$22
Atlanta$11
Miami$10
Munich$8
Wellington$7
San Francisco$6
Sao Paulo$1
Mexico City$-1
Chicago$-1
Buenos Aires$-3
Singapore$-5
Toronto$-5
New York City$-5
Other$-6
Manila$-14
Seattle$-17
Tokyo$-21

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
32

Single bracket

<=1
27 brackets
<=2
32 brackets
<=3
32 brackets
<=4
32 brackets
<=5
32 brackets
<=8
32 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/24/2026, 7:25:51 AM1 trades$40 min
3/24/2026, 7:34:17 AM1 trades$10 min
4/16/2026, 4:44:22 PM1 trades$50 min
4/16/2026, 4:49:52 PM1 trades$50 min
4/16/2026, 6:08:56 PM2 trades$10 min
4/16/2026, 6:57:14 PM1 trades$40 min
4/16/2026, 7:07:18 PM1 trades$30 min
4/16/2026, 7:18:50 PM1 trades$50 min
4/16/2026, 7:53:28 PM1 trades$90 min
4/16/2026, 8:05:52 PM1 trades$90 min
4/16/2026, 8:12:24 PM1 trades$10 min
4/16/2026, 8:24:44 PM1 trades$40 min
4/16/2026, 8:44:48 PM1 trades$70 min
4/17/2026, 1:15:20 AM1 trades$260 min
4/17/2026, 4:06:38 AM1 trades$120 min
4/17/2026, 5:10:56 AM1 trades$370 min
4/17/2026, 5:39:18 AM2 trades$370 min
4/17/2026, 7:04:16 AM1 trades$150 min
4/17/2026, 8:48:24 AM1 trades$140 min
4/17/2026, 11:12:42 AM1 trades$170 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
04-16
04-17
04-18
04-19
04-20
04-21
04-23
04-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
91.9% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event