Polydata

@Exalted-Evocation

#23,45353

0x479e330b07822ee28e20bac5e504f1b7c6b591c3

168d· 1115 markets · 2500 tradesVol: $8,238,8992026-07-06T23:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 65%17/20
Profit Factor 1.14x4/15
Sharpe 0.1122/15
Sortino 0.1471/10
EV $+0.1427/10
HHI 3010/10
Profit Days 65%9/10
DD/Peak 62%2/10

Summary

Exalted-Evocation is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #23,453 globally by net PnL. Over 163 days, they completed 2,500 trades across 527 markets, generating a net profit of $5,250.15 from a total volume exceeding $8.2 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at $2,557.79, indicating a relatively small but consistent presence in the market.

This trader exhibits a highly selective and low-risk trading style, reflected in an impressive 98.8% win rate and a profit factor of 75.64. Exalted-Evocation focuses on a broad range of markets but avoids weather-related ones entirely, with a very low sell rate of 6%. Their semi-automated approach, suggested by a 60/100 bot score, combines manual oversight with algorithmic support. The Sharpe ratio of 0.11 and zero days max drawdown duration point to minimal volatility but also modest risk-adjusted returns over time.

Exalted-Evocation’s key strengths include consistent profitability, a strong winning streak, and disciplined trade execution, earning badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands. However, the downward equity trend signals potential challenges in scaling up portfolio value or adapting to changing market conditions. Their moderate smart score and semi-bot classification suggest room for refining strategy and improving responsiveness to market dynamics on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+5,250
Diamond Hands
6% sell
Win Streak
196 wins in a row
Whale
$2,970,185
Consistent
75/115 days
High Roller
$18,222/day

Categories

4
SPORTS#2,769$18,900Vol: $8,087,436
💰 FINANCE#644,744$-13,078Vol: $120,336
🎭 CULTURE#6,081$745Vol: $29,127
🏛️ POLITICS#1,595,523$-1,318Vol: $2,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,250
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,238,899
Total Redeem
$2,661,201
Portfolio
$2,558
Predictions
1115
total markets
Trades
2340B / 160S
Daily Volume
$18,222
Account Age
168d
since Jan 19, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-861
Vol: $14,301
Week
$-861
Vol: $14,301
Month
$-2,870
Vol: $19,367
All Time
$5,250
Vol: $8,238,899

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
65%
242W / 133L events
Realized PnL
$732,015
Win Rate
99%
332W / 4L
Profit Factor
75.64x
Avg Win
$2,191
Avg Loss
$-2,404

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $28,392 (4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Rockets vs. Lakers$9,614
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds$9,493
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$9,286
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi$8,986
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe$8,911
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarro$8,203
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien$8,154
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?$7,657
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)$7,500
Cavaliers vs. Raptors$7,156

Top Losers

Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda$-5,536
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Casper Ruud$-3,424
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$-556
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev$-102

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.112
Sortino
0.147
HHI
30
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.142
Kelly %
98.2%
Half-Kelly
49.1%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
4.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.7
Active
Markets / Day
5.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
55.9m
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastSize CV 1.96 — diverse, typical for human44% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.23 — human randomness25 trades/day — suspiciously high388 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.4
Moderate DCA
<=1
347 entries
<=2
389 entries
<=5
428 entries
<=10
461 entries
<=20
499 entries
<=50
522 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)9.1%
High (>55c)90.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 74%

Other$619,954
Madrid$52,525
Los Angeles$15,502
Atlanta$9,493
Austin$3,841
Paris$3,791
Seattle$3,292
Lucknow$2,911
Miami$2,751
Chicago$1,329
Milan$1,295
Houston$703
San Francisco$403
Dallas$0
São Paulo$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
488

Single bracket

<=1
457 brackets
<=2
485 brackets
<=3
488 brackets
<=4
488 brackets
<=5
488 brackets
<=8
488 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/27/2026, 7:25:45 AM2 trades$1,3182 min
3/29/2026, 3:48:10 PM55 trades$1,8163 min
3/30/2026, 11:57:25 PM1 trades$1,9700 min
3/31/2026, 2:27:39 PM1 trades$1160 min
3/31/2026, 4:03:57 PM1 trades$4,8980 min
4/4/2026, 2:59:05 PM1 trades$1,8910 min
4/4/2026, 3:18:43 PM1 trades$4,9150 min
4/5/2026, 12:17:29 AM1 trades$6420 min
4/5/2026, 1:02:03 AM10 trades$1,1372 min
4/5/2026, 1:29:55 AM13 trades$4,0723 min
4/5/2026, 1:52:35 AM19 trades$1,5784 min
4/5/2026, 2:08:13 PM4 trades$9,9942 min
4/5/2026, 2:26:21 PM2 trades$3,4410 min
4/5/2026, 11:14:57 PM4 trades$1,3990 min
4/6/2026, 1:47:35 PM1 trades$1,9710 min
4/6/2026, 2:18:41 PM1 trades$4,2690 min
4/6/2026, 3:12:49 PM1 trades$4,9790 min
4/6/2026, 11:30:35 PM1 trades$5,6720 min
4/7/2026, 3:12:33 PM1 trades$1,9570 min
4/7/2026, 3:35:03 PM1 trades$1,9560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
03-16
04-07
04-27
05-17
06-05
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event