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@Expert-Food

#18953

0xe934f2d7d6358c6c86bfdd5848f1e90412e9640b

70d· 59 markets · 3644 tradesVol: $11,414,6382026-05-16T05:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 52%11/20
Profit Factor 1.29x6/15
Sharpe 0.1703/15
Sortino 0.2072/10
EV $+2.36810/10
HHI 27910/10
Profit Days 65%9/10
DD/Peak 58%2/10

Summary

Expert-Food is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranking 189th on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $728,906.61. Over 28 days, they executed 3,644 trades across 59 markets, accumulating a total volume of $11.4 million. Their win rate stands at 51.9%, supported by a profit factor of 1.25, indicating consistent but modest profitability. The trader’s portfolio value is currently zero, and their Sharpe ratio is relatively low at 0.17, reflecting moderate risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Expert-Food blends both bot-assisted and manual approaches, as suggested by a semi-bot score of 55/100. They tend to hold positions without selling, indicated by a 0% sell rate and the "Diamond Hands" badge, suggesting a long-term, contrarian strategy. Their focus is not on weather markets, and their equity trend has remained flat, reflecting stable but cautious engagement. The trader appears to favor dollar-cost averaging (DCA) and maintains steady win streaks, balancing risk with patience across diverse market types.

Expert-Food’s strengths lie in disciplined trade execution and a contrarian mindset, which has earned them consistent profits and resilience during drawdowns. However, the low Sharpe ratio and flat equity trend point to limited upside volatility and growth potential. Their zero sell percentage may also expose them to risks if market conditions shift abruptly. Overall, Expert-Food demonstrates solid, stable performance on Polymarket but may face challenges in rapidly changing environments.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+728,907
Contrarian
73% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 61.8 entries/market
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
Whale
$5,583,533
Consistent
15/23 days
High Roller
$199,412/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#107$728,907Vol: $11,414,638

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$728,907
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,414,638
Total Redeem
$5,871,625
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
59
total markets
Trades
3644B / 0S
Daily Volume
$199,412
Account Age
70d
since Mar 11, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
53%
29W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$1,042,263
Win Rate
52%
27W / 25L
Profit Factor
1.25x
Avg Win
$110,560
Avg Loss
$-95,668

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $705,213 (118.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Magic (-15.5)$236,624
Spread: Thunder (-24.5)$236,164
Warriors vs. Clippers$232,426
76ers vs. Heat$228,311
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)$203,026
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5$189,122
Spurs vs. Nuggets$182,508
Knicks vs. Rockets$167,860
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)$166,198
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5$163,068

Top Losers

Spurs vs. Clippers$-274,853
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$-262,444
Pistons vs. Timberwolves$-241,600
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5$-233,164
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)$-166,281
Spread: Clippers (-17.5)$-109,018
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)$-108,677
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)$-105,979
Knicks vs. Hawks$-103,220
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)$-100,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.170
Sortino
0.207
HHI
279
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.368
Kelly %
5.4%
Half-Kelly
2.7%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
22.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
164.6
Very active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.0m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
43.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
57% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 7.99 — diverse, typical for human30% at night — bot never sleeps13/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.23 — human randomness165 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
61.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
16 entries
<=2
20 entries
<=5
26 entries
<=10
33 entries
<=20
38 entries
<=50
44 entries
>50
15 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)95.9%
High (>55c)4.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 45%

Other$732,181
Los Angeles$94,408
Atlanta$0
Miami$0
Chicago$-233,164

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
55

Single bracket

<=1
51 brackets
<=2
55 brackets
<=3
55 brackets
<=4
55 brackets
<=5
55 brackets
<=8
55 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/28/2026, 9:28:36 PM6 trades$180,0000 min
3/28/2026, 9:35:28 PM24 trades$61,6002 min
3/28/2026, 10:52:16 PM42 trades$97,9907 min
3/29/2026, 12:32:52 AM1 trades$102,6000 min
3/29/2026, 1:00:22 AM29 trades$6,0771 min
3/29/2026, 1:16:04 AM2 trades$43,4700 min
3/29/2026, 2:16:28 AM189 trades$11,09813 min
3/29/2026, 4:58:54 PM2 trades$8,5380 min
3/29/2026, 5:32:54 PM7 trades$5,0391 min
3/29/2026, 6:53:12 PM231 trades$109,01821 min
3/29/2026, 10:07:02 PM3 trades$84,9151 min
3/30/2026, 8:49:27 PM995 trades$111,673119 min
3/31/2026, 9:33:49 PM1 trades$54,3010 min
3/31/2026, 10:39:31 PM1 trades$3,8440 min
3/31/2026, 10:44:51 PM86 trades$85,47315 min
4/1/2026, 12:01:23 AM104 trades$186,22312 min
4/1/2026, 2:26:25 AM1 trades$126,5000 min
4/1/2026, 5:43:49 PM3 trades$233,1648 min
4/2/2026, 12:05:03 AM1 trades$57,1390 min
4/2/2026, 1:31:35 AM2 trades$204,7991 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-28
03-31
04-03
04-06
04-09
04-16
04-19
04-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 61.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event