FATMAN

@FATMAN

#11,23434

0xea837d5472f73559fcb68423e5444df247a05c8f

~241d· 200 markets · 2585 tradesVol: $1,937,2112026-08-23 11:04:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (108/194)12.8/20
1.01x (win $67,023 / loss $66,110)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0771.4/15
Sortino 0.0961/10
$+0.0012 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 207 (194 markets)10/10
77/139 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 94% of peak ($14,537 / $15,450)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+13,764
DCA Master
Avg 13.7 entries/market
Whale
$750,351 invested
High Roller
$1,285/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#4,146$9,103Vol: $1,255,340
🎭 CULTURE#2,227$3,227Vol: $359,966
📈 ECONOMICS#685,833$-1,549Vol: $182,262
💻 TECH#926$1,856Vol: $59,790
💰 FINANCE#2,928$1,616Vol: $41,721
SPORTS#1,661,824$-80Vol: $20,000
CRYPTO#141,359$40Vol: $16,378

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$13,764
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,937,211
Total Redeem
$18,381
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
200
total markets
Trades
1674B / 911S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~241d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $0
Week
$-24
Vol: $0
Month
$533
Vol: $0
All Time
$13,764
Vol: $1,937,211

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
108W / 86L events
Realized PnL
$13,764
Win Rate
56%
108W / 86L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$621
Avg Loss
$-778

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,506 (1.0539578538048404% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?$5,207
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$4,802
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?$4,497
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$3,351
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? $2,512
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$2,265
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?$2,135
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$2,126
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?$1,957
Netanyahu out by June 30?$1,935

Top Losers

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-11,695
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$-7,451
US military action against Iran by Sunday?$-5,513
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$-3,200
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$-2,941
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?$-2,896
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?$-2,356
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$-2,070
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$-2,033
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?$-1,905

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.004
Sortino
0.004
HHI
191
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
18.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 428s — normal for humanCV 3.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.72
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13%
Mid (20-55c)28%
High (>55c)59.1%

Sessions

#12
9/8/2025, 6:59:20 AM3 trades$33,4543 min
1/3/2026, 12:46:45 AM1 trades$27,8880 min
4/29/2025, 5:02:38 AM1 trades$20,4360 min
4/30/2025, 9:44:23 AM1 trades$20,4180 min
1/4/2026, 10:11:51 AM7 trades$16,8023 min
2/2/2026, 7:01:18 AM2 trades$16,4601 min
9/2/2025, 3:38:45 AM3 trades$16,2086 min
4/15/2026, 3:55:54 AM1 trades$16,1500 min
9/22/2025, 7:37:14 AM1 trades$15,8130 min
4/30/2025, 7:18:23 AM1 trades$14,9300 min
1/14/2026, 6:54:34 PM6 trades$12,21412 min
4/9/2025, 6:13:17 AM1 trades$12,1680 min
1/21/2025, 1:51:25 PM1 trades$11,6290 min
5/6/2025, 8:56:44 AM4 trades$11,5684 min
5/6/2025, 9:29:00 AM4 trades$11,3395 min
7/3/2025, 1:23:39 PM10 trades$10,7446 min
4/29/2025, 9:26:38 PM4 trades$10,0904 min
1/5/2026, 3:05:27 AM1 trades$10,0490 min
9/7/2025, 2:47:20 AM1 trades$9,4000 min
6/23/2025, 9:53:47 PM3 trades$9,3496 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
02-18
06-02
07-12
09-15
12-08
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 99 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13 / M28 / H59.1