Flipadelphia

@Flipadelphia

#34066

0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319

~591d· 4748 markets · 78333 tradesVol: $79,493,8302026-09-21 18:50:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (2816/4707)14.9/20
1.22x (win $6,377,469 / loss $5,208,971)5.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.49015/15
Sortino 2.44310/10
$+0.0280 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 59 (4707 markets)10/10
164/300 profitable days (55%)6.2/10
Max DD 55% of peak ($458,802 / $830,106)2.9/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+507,573
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 17.8 entries/market
Whale
$41,687,206 invested
High Roller
$61,215/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#52$735,590Vol: $39,566,197
SPORTS#1,928,143$-271,755Vol: $31,597,618
🎭 CULTURE#259$30,526Vol: $2,988,131
📈 ECONOMICS#164$46,298Vol: $2,472,109
💻 TECH#476$4,065Vol: $1,077,759
CRYPTO#3,358$13,120Vol: $950,149
💰 FINANCE#142$26,922Vol: $597,214
📢 MENTIONS#1,713$701Vol: $110,631
🌤️ WEATHER#31,928$4Vol: $445

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$578,746
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$79,493,830
Total Redeem
$302,204
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4748
total markets
Trades
64877B / 13456S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~591d

Periods

#2
Today
$-49,931
Vol: $55,900
Week
$49,212
Vol: $1,556,469
Month
$46,011
Vol: $4,340,995
All Time
$578,746
Vol: $79,493,830

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
2816W / 1890L events
Realized PnL
$507,573
Win Rate
60%
2816W / 1890L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$2,265
Avg Loss
$-2,796

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $501,772 (0.9885711788676824% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$211,864
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$150,962
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$138,946
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$132,667
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?$124,102
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$100,720
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$98,855
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$96,136
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$83,410
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$80,018

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-137,752
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-131,670
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-112,586
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-94,972
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$-71,514
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-65,025
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-63,490
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$-58,812
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-54,092
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-42,974

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.078
Sortino
0.094
HHI
76
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
12.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
115.0
Very active
Markets / Day
7.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.8m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
18 min
Avg Trades / Session
39.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 54s — normal for humanCV 7.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock115 trades/day — automation7.0 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.8
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.2%
Mid (20-55c)47.1%
High (>55c)42.7%

Sessions

#12
12/4/2025, 3:53:57 AM72 trades$538,76536 min
12/2/2025, 9:15:39 PM13 trades$412,32613 min
3/1/2026, 1:54:51 AM40 trades$350,8039 min
12/31/2025, 9:23:23 PM17 trades$325,7923 min
11/3/2025, 5:52:17 PM19 trades$314,45228 min
11/4/2025, 3:16:03 AM26 trades$306,90546 min
12/24/2025, 3:00:09 PM11 trades$303,1898 min
11/5/2025, 1:35:23 AM25 trades$292,82115 min
1/6/2026, 7:01:59 AM1 trades$249,7500 min
5/3/2025, 7:25:14 AM14 trades$243,82713 min
10/29/2025, 5:56:03 PM2 trades$241,7564 min
4/29/2025, 2:22:46 AM23 trades$234,85420 min
1/17/2026, 9:24:12 AM8 trades$211,29111 min
6/4/2026, 12:40:18 AM116 trades$206,07119 min
12/25/2025, 5:12:35 PM17 trades$202,00720 min
7/19/2026, 10:10:24 PM176 trades$200,0872 min
3/16/2025, 6:26:10 PM3 trades$199,8631 min
7/21/2026, 7:47:46 PM1 trades$199,4000 min
7/21/2026, 4:10:28 PM1 trades$194,2570 min
8/18/2026, 10:34:31 PM64 trades$185,78214 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-08
12-02
01-21
03-13
05-07
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 39 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.2 / M47.1 / H42.7