FnarckPalloin

@FnarckPalloin

#3,076,11640

0xae5b6ac72d429e5df44fd68f946a52140b88ab1b

~212d· 1523 markets · 6745 tradesVol: $1,283,306 @Abattais_fnarck2026-10-07 21:20:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (1204/1518)20/20
0.61x (win $3,148 / loss $5,141)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7250/15
Sortino -1.8350/10
$-0.0078 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 42 (1518 markets)10/10
148/178 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 1409% of peak ($2,603 / $185)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Whale
$254,712 invested
Consistent
148/178 profitable days
Win Streak
34 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#300,393$-458Vol: $1,212,365
🏛️ POLITICS#1,625,017$-812Vol: $49,839
⚽ SPORTS#220,795$22Vol: $14,833
₿ CRYPTO#94,017$92Vol: $4,632
💻 TECH#270,546$-368Vol: $619
💰 FINANCE#617,793$-32Vol: $411
🎭 CULTURE#724,731$-18Vol: $390
📈 ECONOMICS#599,994$-8Vol: $218

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,582
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,283,306
Total Redeem
$770
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1523
total markets
Trades
3771B / 2974S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~212d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $4,270
Week
$35
Vol: $54,459
Month
$-524
Vol: $264,130
All Time
$-1,582
Vol: $1,283,306

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
1204W / 314L events
Realized PnL
$-1,377
Win Rate
79%
1204W / 314L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-87

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,246 (0.9044223885690224% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$478
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$418
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$350
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?$126
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30?$45
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$39
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 19?$26
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?$24

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?$-1,089
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-677
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or below on March 21?$-646
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-620
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-387
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$-279
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-200
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 20?$-195
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-148
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-134

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.090
Sortino
-0.045
HHI
27
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
6.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
49.5m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 180s — normal for humanCV 1.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active2.7 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)1.8%
High (>55c)96.8%

Sessions

#12
4/4/2026, 11:23:05 PM2 trades$2,4280 min
6/4/2026, 10:00:15 PM28 trades$2,30716 min
3/29/2026, 10:54:34 AM16 trades$2,28618 min
5/16/2026, 4:07:20 PM43 trades$2,20519 min
4/4/2026, 11:08:17 PM9 trades$1,8879 min
4/2/2026, 10:03:47 PM24 trades$1,8437 min
4/4/2026, 1:27:37 PM26 trades$1,7165 min
6/17/2026, 10:30:46 AM23 trades$1,66615 min
6/19/2026, 5:00:40 PM24 trades$1,55512 min
6/6/2026, 2:51:03 PM2 trades$1,4740 min
6/13/2026, 5:02:07 PM29 trades$1,4686 min
3/29/2026, 1:49:00 PM19 trades$1,45330 min
6/4/2026, 10:00:37 AM22 trades$1,4345 min
6/11/2026, 10:02:00 AM11 trades$1,3913 min
6/5/2026, 10:01:01 AM14 trades$1,3436 min
7/11/2026, 10:04:58 AM33 trades$1,33710 min
6/10/2026, 3:30:39 PM14 trades$1,3193 min
3/23/2026, 11:16:11 AM3 trades$1,2974 min
6/10/2026, 10:00:45 AM32 trades$1,2736 min
3/31/2026, 7:16:39 PM3 trades$1,2700 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-17
12-08
02-23
04-03
05-28
06-30
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 169 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
42% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.4 / M1.8 / H96.8