@FortunaFelix
#2,953,971400x370c671980712b4014fc6900766c0c6c66923eb1
~149d· 1923 markets · 14338 tradesVol: $365,9522026-08-06 08:54:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (821/1803)7.8/20
1.07x (win $14,074 / loss $13,211)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3717/15
Sortino 0.9899.9/10
$+0.0209 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 809 (1803 markets)8.5/10
49/116 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 102% of peak ($3,551 / $3,470)0/10
Badges
4Contrarian
63% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,598,730$-509Vol: $217,499
⚽ SPORTS#163,584$52Vol: $61,840
📈 ECONOMICS#672,077$-275Vol: $36,110
💰 FINANCE#641,246$-153Vol: $11,346
🎭 CULTURE#775,323$-80Vol: $5,110
💻 TECH#247,760$-77Vol: $2,804
🌤️ WEATHER#266,780$-27Vol: $2,769
₿ CRYPTO#1,288,674$-23Vol: $1,183
📢 MENTIONS#122,988$-7Vol: $39
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,241
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$365,952
Total Redeem
$447
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1923
total markets
Trades
9454B / 4884S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~149d
Periods
#2Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$-25
Vol: $0
Month
$-41
Vol: $47
All Time
$-1,241
Vol: $365,952
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
821W / 982L events
Realized PnL
$-1,240
Win Rate
46%
821W / 982L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-14
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,875 (3.929866423751904% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3,569
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$703
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$602
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$471
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$340
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$333
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$322
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-30?$286
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$246
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$235
Top Losers
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-702
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$-508
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-462
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-443
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$-388
Will Trump visit China by May 8?$-328
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-323
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-279
Iran leadership change by April 30?$-272
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-230
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.019
Sortino
0.049
HHI
81
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.021
Kelly %
0.9%
Half-Kelly
0.4%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
13.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
80.1
Very active
Markets / Day
10.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.2m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
28 min
Avg Trades / Session
47.9
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 84s — normal for humanCV 2.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock80 trades/day — mass trading11 markets/day — mass coverage52% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.79
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)27.9%
Mid (20-55c)35%
High (>55c)37%
Sessions
#125/2/2026, 9:54:36 AM336 trades$25,04846 min
4/16/2026, 9:29:36 PM8 trades$2,5972 min
5/2/2026, 1:00:34 PM48 trades$2,15531 min
4/24/2026, 9:56:36 AM58 trades$1,69640 min
5/1/2026, 9:38:54 PM42 trades$1,03513 min
4/29/2026, 12:47:50 PM20 trades$98814 min
3/13/2026, 10:49:23 AM20 trades$98421 min
3/23/2026, 2:19:27 PM32 trades$78229 min
5/7/2026, 4:11:24 PM27 trades$71312 min
2/28/2026, 7:16:23 AM26 trades$67217 min
4/24/2026, 10:58:46 AM32 trades$66117 min
3/12/2026, 12:38:27 PM16 trades$65913 min
4/23/2026, 10:14:08 PM37 trades$65626 min
5/11/2026, 9:11:17 AM43 trades$60621 min
3/1/2026, 8:26:29 AM22 trades$58615 min
3/22/2026, 6:14:33 PM89 trades$58278 min
3/27/2026, 2:59:51 PM17 trades$54019 min
5/20/2026, 2:26:10 PM86 trades$50832 min
6/12/2026, 6:07:48 PM20 trades$50519 min
5/4/2026, 10:15:38 AM18 trades$50014 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-04
02-24
03-16
04-26
05-24
06-15
07-07
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.79/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.9 / M35 / H37