Frank2345

@Frank2345

#2,820,20910

0x5ce888d7333ef9f8bbf83fdadb845a5dd818ed83

~80d· 1133 markets · 11099 tradesVol: $1,028,598 @matt_guenito2026-08-26 09:12:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

3% (39/1118)0/20
0.20x (win $224 / loss $1,129)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -12.5590/15
Sortino -11.3140/10
$-0.3745 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 140 (1118 markets)10/10
7/74 profitable days (9%)0/10
Max DD 6897% of peak ($919 / $13)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
73% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
4% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#284,929$-71Vol: $366,655
CRYPTO#1,373,590$-39Vol: $317,803
🎭 CULTURE#766,353$-47Vol: $248,829
🏛️ POLITICS#1,492,439$-61Vol: $60,758
SPORTS#350,193$4Vol: $29,074
💰 FINANCE#633,097$-78Vol: $3,362
💻 TECH#237,315$-14Vol: $1,640
📈 ECONOMICS#390,525$-0Vol: $400
📢 MENTIONS#122,507$-6Vol: $75

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-312
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,028,598
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1133
total markets
Trades
10635B / 464S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~80d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-312
Vol: $1,028,598

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
3%
38W / 1080L events
Realized PnL
$-312
Win Rate
3%
38W / 1080L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $152 (0.485719774590164% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$76
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?$50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?$26
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 18?$8
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$8
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on February 20?$8
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?$7
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?$5

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$-106
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?$-20
Will Amanda Gardner – Green Party finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election?$-20
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$-13
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 16 above $400?$-13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17?$-13
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$-12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13?$-11
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?$-10
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.653
Sortino
-0.764
HHI
103
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.379
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
15.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
70.2
Very active
Markets / Day
7.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.4m
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 108s — normal for humanCV 6.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock70 trades/day — mass trading7.2 markets/day — normal98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.08
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)73.3%
Mid (20-55c)0.4%
High (>55c)26.3%

Sessions

#12
2/13/2026, 9:34:03 PM36 trades$2158 min
2/18/2026, 4:32:54 PM4 trades$806 min
2/14/2026, 1:38:49 PM5 trades$778 min
2/19/2026, 4:32:52 PM5 trades$7515 min
2/19/2026, 5:47:16 PM5 trades$722 min
2/17/2026, 4:08:01 PM3 trades$596 min
2/14/2026, 6:50:47 PM3 trades$555 min
2/16/2026, 9:24:45 PM2 trades$481 min
2/13/2026, 9:13:39 PM1 trades$450 min
2/14/2026, 11:55:31 AM3 trades$426 min
2/15/2026, 7:46:37 PM3 trades$425 min
2/16/2026, 4:26:09 AM2 trades$404 min
2/14/2026, 2:24:13 PM2 trades$401 min
2/17/2026, 8:17:17 PM2 trades$400 min
2/18/2026, 7:57:44 PM2 trades$403 min
2/19/2026, 4:24:26 PM2 trades$403 min
2/20/2026, 4:56:36 PM2 trades$394 min
2/16/2026, 3:03:13 PM2 trades$395 min
2/16/2026, 8:30:31 PM2 trades$391 min
2/17/2026, 3:40:27 PM2 trades$381 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-12
03-31
04-12
04-29
05-11
05-23
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 125 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.08/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L73.3 / M0.4 / H26.3