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@Free-Skull

#1,76740

0x52fdda3e1f0aa2f4a667afb0d6ad5343b4644132

101d· 1804 markets · 3350 tradesVol: $1,962,2172026-06-13T14:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 86%20/20
Profit Factor 0.09x0/15
HHI 13010/10
Profit Days 79%10/10

Summary

Free-Skull is an active trader on Polymarket, ranked #1767 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $92,228.30 over 88 days. With 3,350 trades across 769 markets and nearly $2 million in total volume, Free-Skull demonstrates consistent engagement. Despite a below-average Smart Score of 40/100, the trader maintains an upward equity trend and holds a portfolio valued at $1,123.18.

The trader’s style is characterized by a high win rate of 88.6%, indicating strong short-term accuracy, though the profit factor of 0.09 and negative Sharpe ratio (-0.33) suggest limited risk-adjusted returns. Free-Skull prefers a semi-automated approach, blending bot and manual trading, and does not engage in weather markets or sell positions, implying a buy-and-hold or diamond hands strategy. The lack of drawdown duration points to effective risk management or rapid recovery from losses.

Free-Skull’s key strengths include a strong win streak and a sniper-like precision in trade timing, supported by badges such as Profitable and Diamond Hands. However, the low profit factor and negative Sharpe ratio raise concerns about the efficiency of their capital use and risk exposure. Overall, Free-Skull’s performance on Polymarket suggests skillful trading tempered by potential vulnerabilities in maximizing returns.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+92,228
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
388 wins in a row
Whale
$1,416,484
Consistent
65/82 days
High Roller
$16,096/day

Categories

1
CRYPTO#340$92,228Vol: $1,962,217

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$92,228
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,962,217
Total Redeem
$874,188
Portfolio
$1,123
Predictions
1804
total markets
Trades
3350B / 0S
Daily Volume
$16,096
Account Age
101d
since Mar 17, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$1,980
Vol: $43,004
Week
$3,120
Vol: $93,918
Month
$4,518
Vol: $119,464
All Time
$92,228
Vol: $1,962,217

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
86%
254W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$89,510
Win Rate
89%
643W / 83L
Profit Factor
0.09x
Avg Win
$81
Avg Loss
$-7,151

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$7,437
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$6,475
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$6,228
BNB Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$5,066
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$2,485
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1,631
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1,341
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$1,234
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$977
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$857

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$-49,500
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$-49,500
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$-47,320
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$-44,260
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$-33,814
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$-32,670
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$-25,814
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$-25,347
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$-22,776
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$-22,733

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.332
Sortino
-0.218
HHI
130
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.383
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
16.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.6
Active
Markets / Day
9.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.4

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastSize CV 5.18 — diverse, typical for human30% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.93 — human randomness40 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.4
Moderate DCA
<=1
568 entries
<=2
653 entries
<=5
710 entries
<=10
734 entries
<=20
747 entries
<=50
753 entries
>50
16 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.3%
Mid (20-55c)3%
High (>55c)95.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 47.3%

Other$-541,653

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
769

Single bracket

<=1
769 brackets
<=2
769 brackets
<=3
769 brackets
<=4
769 brackets
<=5
769 brackets
<=8
769 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/20/2026, 10:44:43 PM3 trades$220 min
3/21/2026, 9:09:25 AM2 trades$180 min
3/21/2026, 2:19:43 PM7 trades$170 min
3/21/2026, 3:09:51 PM1 trades$150 min
3/21/2026, 5:19:31 PM7 trades$180 min
3/21/2026, 6:29:37 PM1 trades$180 min
3/21/2026, 8:44:49 PM1 trades$10 min
3/22/2026, 4:29:57 AM1 trades$880 min
3/22/2026, 4:44:41 AM9 trades$590 min
3/22/2026, 6:54:47 AM11 trades$870 min
3/22/2026, 8:10:03 AM1 trades$840 min
3/22/2026, 8:34:41 AM11 trades$1610 min
3/22/2026, 9:04:45 AM1 trades$20 min
3/22/2026, 11:54:39 AM4 trades$840 min
3/22/2026, 7:34:59 PM1 trades$750 min
3/22/2026, 8:14:39 PM4 trades$940 min
3/22/2026, 8:34:27 PM5 trades$860 min
3/22/2026, 10:04:53 PM1 trades$100 min
3/22/2026, 11:15:05 PM3 trades$1,2940 min
3/23/2026, 3:30:07 AM6 trades$4,2320 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-22
04-05
04-18
05-01
05-14
05-27
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event