Polydata
Fussy-Dad

@Fussy-Dad

#1,20832

0xa59c570a9eca148da55f6e1f47a538c0c600bb62

588d· 2427 markets · 17296 tradesVol: $22,092,778 @ThePrexpect2026-06-27T14:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 0.27x0/15
HHI 8910/10
Profit Days 37%2/10

Summary

Fussy-Dad is an active Polymarket trader ranked #1208 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 769 days, they have completed 17,296 trades across 365 markets, generating a net PnL of approximately $150,700. Despite a solid profit, their portfolio value currently stands at $781.64, indicating significant capital turnover. Their overall Smart Score of 32/100 places them below average in terms of trading efficiency.

This trader favors a high-volume approach with a moderate win rate of 58.6%, suggesting a balanced but somewhat risky style. Fussy-Dad’s trading exhibits a contrarian and sniper-like strategy, often entering positions quickly and holding a relatively low sell percentage of 37%. Their Sharpe Ratio of -0.29 and a profit factor of 0.27 indicate exposure to downside volatility, while their equity trend is upward, showing gradual portfolio growth. The absence of weather markets and a bot score of 35 suggest mostly human-driven decisions.

Fussy-Dad’s key strength lies in their consistency and ability to maintain profitable trading over an extended period, supported by an upward equity trend and a strong win rate. However, the low profit factor and negative Sharpe Ratio highlight potential risks related to drawdowns and volatility. Their moderate sell percentage and contrarian style may also expose them to market timing challenges on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+150,701
Lottery Player
36% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
55% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 31.9 entries/market
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
Whale
$3,092,526
High Roller
$4,021/day

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#32$134,384Vol: $19,715,615
🏛️ POLITICS#2,895$13,725Vol: $1,789,989
CRYPTO#1,390,543$-83Vol: $274,331
💻 TECH#766$2,041Vol: $183,408
SPORTS#75,950$228Vol: $18,037
💰 FINANCE#611,141$-94Vol: $17,057
📈 ECONOMICS#650,958$-175Vol: $16,313
📢 MENTIONS#130,019$-14Vol: $1,601

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$150,701
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,092,778
Total Redeem
$875,513
Portfolio
$782
Predictions
2427
total markets
Trades
10820B / 6476S
Daily Volume
$4,021
Account Age
588d
since Nov 17, 2024

Periods

#2
Week
$110
Vol: $3,679
Month
$603
Vol: $29,589
All Time
$150,701
Vol: $22,092,778

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
136W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$963,540
Win Rate
59%
177W / 125L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$2,490
Avg Loss
$-12,921

Top Winners

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination$254,600
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 202$12,927
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 202$10,314
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026$10,282
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5$9,547
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?$8,365
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$8,096
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$7,997
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$7,851
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?$7,760

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 202$-55,147
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 2$-53,935
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3,$-52,905
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2$-49,633
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 202$-47,889
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026$-46,611
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026$-46,544
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 1$-43,952
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27,$-41,511
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2$-40,970

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.289
Sortino
-0.514
HHI
89
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.384
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
8.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.9m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 126s — typical for humanSize CV 5.73 — diverse, typical for human18% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.03 — human randomness30 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
31.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
30 entries
<=2
46 entries
<=5
75 entries
<=10
116 entries
<=20
166 entries
<=50
265 entries
>50
74 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.5%
Mid (20-55c)19.8%
High (>55c)43.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 81.1%

Up or Down$-7,138
Other$-1,167,318

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.3
Events covered
156

Moderate coverage

<=1
73 brackets
<=2
121 brackets
<=3
133 brackets
<=4
139 brackets
<=5
142 brackets
<=8
151 brackets
>8
5 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/26/2024, 8:15:17 AM1 trades$600 min
11/26/2024, 8:22:19 AM2 trades$351 min
11/26/2024, 11:35:16 AM1 trades$240 min
12/1/2024, 9:22:52 AM1 trades$160 min
12/1/2024, 9:31:52 AM1 trades$170 min
12/1/2024, 9:43:44 AM1 trades$00 min
12/1/2024, 10:04:08 AM1 trades$1720 min
12/4/2024, 4:41:18 PM3 trades$821 min
12/4/2024, 10:49:03 PM1 trades$1420 min
12/6/2024, 2:12:37 AM3 trades$2000 min
12/6/2024, 2:19:37 AM1 trades$210 min
12/6/2024, 3:06:02 AM4 trades$7663 min
12/6/2024, 12:07:08 PM2 trades$5680 min
12/14/2024, 6:33:59 AM1 trades$240 min
12/14/2024, 6:56:06 AM4 trades$4504 min
12/14/2024, 7:14:03 AM1 trades$290 min
12/21/2024, 2:17:03 AM1 trades$40 min
12/22/2024, 6:48:42 PM1 trades$100 min
12/25/2024, 1:30:05 AM1 trades$120 min
12/25/2024, 4:39:42 AM1 trades$520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-06
05-09
09-30
12-16
03-06
05-04
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 31.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.3 br/event