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Grave-Coconut

@Grave-Coconut

#2,801,62334

0x986b121c40e715167dde178b8520bf132a57bdc6

226d· 21920 markets · 13301 tradesVol: $54,204,7602026-06-06T08:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.19x0/15
HHI 6910/10
Profit Days 47%4/10

Summary

Grave-Coconut is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 13,301 trades across 331 markets over 190 days. Despite a substantial total volume of $54.2 million, the trader’s net PnL stands at a significant loss of approximately $306,793, placing them at rank #2,801,623 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value is currently around $12.51, reflecting the considerable challenges faced in profitability. The overall smart score of 34/100 suggests below-average performance in comparison to peers.

Grave-Coconut demonstrates a mixed trading style with a slight preference for diverse markets, including a minor exposure to weather markets (2%). The trader maintains a moderate win rate of 54.4% but operates with a low profit factor of 0.19 and a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.50, indicating a high-risk approach with suboptimal risk-adjusted returns. The sell percentage is low at 7%, hinting at a tendency to hold positions longer, supported by badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master. Their bot score of 65/100 suggests a hybrid manual and algorithmic strategy.

Strengths of Grave-Coconut include a high trade volume and engagement, alongside an upward equity trend that may signal improving performance. However, the large net loss, negative risk metrics, and below-average smart score present significant risks. The trader’s semi-bot approach and varied market exposure provide some flexibility but also introduce complexity that may contribute to inconsistent profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Lottery Player
33% entries <$0.20
Diamond Hands
7% sell
DCA Master
avg 37.2 entries/market
Win Streak
38 wins in a row
Whale
$4,431,534
High Roller
$23,324/day

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,562,324$-159,493Vol: $36,182,574
SPORTS#1,696,596$-118,295Vol: $15,722,949
🌤️ WEATHER#275,198$-5,339Vol: $2,204,447
🏛️ POLITICS#1,575,893$-23,667Vol: $94,790

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-306,793
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$54,204,760
Total Redeem
$250,513
Portfolio
$13
Predictions
21920
total markets
Trades
12323B / 978S
Daily Volume
$23,324
Account Age
226d
since Nov 13, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$665
Vol: $53,017
Week
$-9,616
Vol: $1,689,374
Month
$-9,616
Vol: $1,408,468
All Time
$-306,793
Vol: $54,204,760

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
248W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$313,173
Win Rate
54%
179W / 150L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$1,112
Avg Loss
$-7,161

Top Winners

Lakers vs. Clippers$15,750
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)$15,560
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)$8,309
T20 World Cup: England vs India$7,893
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)$6,361
T20 World Cup: India vs Zimbabwe$6,164
Miami vs. Indiana$6,054
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)$5,496
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners$4,215
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals$3,963

Top Losers

T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs Canada (Game 1)$-57,924
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs$-49,236
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-04?$-40,348
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-38,133
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)$-31,411
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$-30,093
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Sup$-29,794
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan$-27,871
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$-25,783
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$-22,795

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.502
Sortino
-0.464
HHI
69
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.198
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
7.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
72.8
Very active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
14.2m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.1

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
59% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 4.96 — diverse, typical for human32% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.39 — human randomness73 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
37.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
14 entries
<=2
29 entries
<=5
69 entries
<=10
100 entries
<=20
169 entries
<=50
242 entries
>50
89 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.3%
Mid (20-55c)0.2%
High (>55c)66.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 55.2%

Miami$8,152
Hong Kong$2,113
Lucknow$605
Jeddah$1
Munich$-61
Warsaw$-237
Madrid$-371
Moscow$-533
Paris$-2,818
Other$-882,012

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
328

Single bracket

<=1
325 brackets
<=2
328 brackets
<=3
328 brackets
<=4
328 brackets
<=5
328 brackets
<=8
328 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/5/2025, 4:25:33 PM4 trades$4,8263 min
12/6/2025, 3:18:37 PM42 trades$11,5812 min
12/8/2025, 1:36:39 AM51 trades$16,8277 min
12/8/2025, 2:37:35 AM14 trades$11,3385 min
12/8/2025, 9:06:29 AM14 trades$16,7573 min
12/10/2025, 12:49:24 AM9 trades$6,5490 min
12/10/2025, 12:55:34 AM11 trades$3,9720 min
12/11/2025, 3:08:29 AM53 trades$21,3062 min
12/12/2025, 2:37:40 PM29 trades$16,4914 min
12/14/2025, 4:57:35 AM13 trades$24,5192 min
12/14/2025, 5:12:11 AM1 trades$24,9750 min
12/14/2025, 2:14:03 PM9 trades$9,7203 min
12/14/2025, 2:23:03 PM8 trades$4,9974 min
12/14/2025, 2:35:25 PM46 trades$17,82310 min
12/14/2025, 3:38:25 PM2 trades$4,2822 min
12/15/2025, 12:33:31 AM1 trades$19,8150 min
12/16/2025, 1:36:37 AM58 trades$8,1510 min
12/16/2025, 1:43:15 AM17 trades$5,9360 min
12/16/2025, 2:11:37 AM90 trades$13,7204 min
12/16/2025, 2:40:11 AM81 trades$14,2893 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-05
12-27
01-13
02-24
03-10
04-21
06-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
1.8% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 37.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event