Polydata
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@Happy-Men

#2,783,15138

0xb2bfe5e362ecee8b889dbc6acc51f2e0f9470b30

93d· 2198 markets · 1474 tradesVol: $1,321,0442026-06-06T02:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.40x0/15
HHI 1710/10
Profit Days 63%8/10

Summary

Happy-Men is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 1,474 trades across 1,283 markets over 52 days. Despite a high win rate of 93.9%, the trader currently holds a net PnL of -$7,780.19, placing them at rank #2,783,151 on the global leaderboard. Their total trading volume exceeds $1.3 million, but their portfolio value is zero, indicating no open positions at present.

The trading style of Happy-Men appears to involve frequent, small bets with minimal selling, as reflected by a low sell percentage of 4%. The trader’s risk profile seems conservative in terms of drawdown duration, which is zero days, yet the negative Sharpe ratio (-0.29) and a profit factor of 0.40 suggest that losses outweigh gains when adjusted for risk. The semi-automated trading approach, indicated by a bot score of 55/100, may contribute to consistent, rapid entries and exits, aligned with the badges like Sniper and Consistent.

Happy-Men’s key strength lies in their ability to maintain a strong win streak and consistent trading activity, which has resulted in an upward equity trend. However, the substantial net loss and below-average smart score (38/100) highlight concerns about overall profitability and strategy effectiveness. The reliance on semi-automated methods may limit adaptability during volatile market conditions, posing risks for future performance on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Diamond Hands
4% sell
Win Streak
835 wins in a row
Whale
$284,884
Consistent
22/35 days
High Roller
$5,479/day

Categories

2
₿ CRYPTO#1,527,929$-1,680Vol: $788,736
⚽ SPORTS#1,687,821$-6,100Vol: $532,308

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,780
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,321,044
Total Redeem
$255,656
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2198
total markets
Trades
1414B / 60S
Daily Volume
$5,479
Account Age
93d
since Mar 25, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
250W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$5,222
Win Rate
94%
1182W / 77L
Profit Factor
0.4x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-153

Top Winners

Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Al$297
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$207
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$207
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9AM ET$195
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$104
Savannah: Kei Nishikori vs Colton Smith$83
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$72
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$61
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Chris Rodesch$60
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$58

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$-786
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$-704
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11PM ET$-704
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$-450
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$-393
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$-359
Madrid Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alexander Blockx$-339
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$-255
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$-255
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$-255

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.286
Sortino
-0.268
HHI
17
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
3.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.5
Active
Markets / Day
27.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
35.9m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 600s — typical for humanSize CV 1.12 — diverse, typical for human27% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.23 — human randomness31 trades/day — suspiciously high27 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
1237 entries
<=2
1262 entries
<=5
1275 entries
<=10
1280 entries
<=20
1283 entries
<=50
1283 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.2%
Mid (20-55c)7.5%
High (>55c)92.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 46.1%

Toronto$12
Paris$10
Madrid$-263
Other$-6,885

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1283

Single bracket

<=1
1283 brackets
<=2
1283 brackets
<=3
1283 brackets
<=4
1283 brackets
<=5
1283 brackets
<=8
1283 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/25/2026, 11:13:37 AM1 trades$50 min
3/25/2026, 12:55:05 PM1 trades$380 min
3/25/2026, 1:55:11 PM1 trades$360 min
3/25/2026, 2:25:17 PM2 trades$390 min
3/25/2026, 4:55:09 PM1 trades$50 min
3/25/2026, 5:44:25 PM1 trades$70 min
3/25/2026, 6:56:03 PM7 trades$1031 min
3/26/2026, 12:48:33 AM1 trades$200 min
3/26/2026, 2:00:03 AM1 trades$490 min
3/26/2026, 2:22:39 AM1 trades$50 min
3/26/2026, 4:10:03 AM1 trades$200 min
3/26/2026, 6:35:01 AM2 trades$2240 min
3/26/2026, 8:10:01 AM1 trades$2550 min
3/26/2026, 1:26:07 PM1 trades$190 min
3/26/2026, 1:56:09 PM1 trades$440 min
3/27/2026, 1:05:01 AM1 trades$920 min
3/27/2026, 4:45:01 AM1 trades$2040 min
3/27/2026, 5:43:23 AM1 trades$520 min
3/27/2026, 10:58:27 AM1 trades$410 min
3/27/2026, 3:11:07 PM2 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
03-31
04-06
04-11
04-16
04-21
04-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event