Harluc

@Harluc

#20083

0xdf17f4a8dd01a4cfa6fc3da323a2baee5f8697d1

~359d· 1169 markets · 100511 tradesVol: $113,328,7992026-10-08 00:34:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (744/1035)20/20
1.61x (win $2,498,930 / loss $1,554,382)10.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.18515/15
Sortino 2.46010/10
$+0.0316 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 282 (1035 markets)10/10
174/265 profitable days (66%)8.9/10
Max DD 35% of peak ($428,122 / $1,237,530)7.1/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Profitable
PnL $+828,080
DCA Master
Avg 94.8 entries/market
Whale
$29,903,508 invested
Consistent
174/265 profitable days
High Roller
$46,290/day
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#48$795,371Vol: $58,045,161
₿ CRYPTO#211$130,297Vol: $32,035,447
🎭 CULTURE#342$22,858Vol: $7,420,150
⚽ SPORTS#1,938,502$-30,279Vol: $6,449,919
📈 ECONOMICS#700,495$-14,600Vol: $4,728,950
🌤️ WEATHER#235$8,720Vol: $1,907,451
📢 MENTIONS#181,781$-2,861Vol: $1,565,896
💻 TECH#28$40,087Vol: $486,517
💰 FINANCE#7,388$457Vol: $476,929

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$935,923
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$113,328,799
Total Redeem
$652,064
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1169
total markets
Trades
65945B / 34566S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~359d

Periods

#2
Today
$3,371
Vol: $79,094
Week
$29,569
Vol: $957,072
Month
$92,113
Vol: $5,196,452
All Time
$935,923
Vol: $113,328,799

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
743W / 291L events
Realized PnL
$828,080
Win Rate
72%
743W / 291L
Profit Factor
1.61x
Avg Win
$3,359
Avg Loss
$-5,591

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,228,627 (1.4837055485602575% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$683,377
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$327,002
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$218,248
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$88,645
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$64,816
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$63,268
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$48,642
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$42,850
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$40,428
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$34,043

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-306,748
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-141,077
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-122,394
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-117,175
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-77,100
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-69,684
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-69,474
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-52,641
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-38,277
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-35,184

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.062
Sortino
0.078
HHI
264
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.027
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.9%
Top-5 markets
25.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
155.6
Very active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.6m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
33 min
Avg Trades / Session
107.7

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 5.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock156 trades/day — automation1.8 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
94.79
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.8%
Mid (20-55c)12.3%
High (>55c)74.9%

Sessions

#12
6/2/2026, 2:01:01 AM59 trades$901,8714 min
3/12/2026, 6:56:47 PM207 trades$889,526108 min
6/2/2026, 1:31:09 AM8 trades$721,9237 min
7/25/2026, 6:29:33 AM387 trades$504,31117 min
4/7/2026, 4:45:51 PM113 trades$409,18034 min
6/2/2026, 1:44:13 AM23 trades$394,7492 min
4/30/2026, 7:58:54 PM62 trades$368,16021 min
4/4/2026, 8:12:25 PM93 trades$360,27657 min
6/3/2026, 9:24:13 PM199 trades$343,57462 min
3/12/2026, 11:23:41 PM70 trades$336,39145 min
4/9/2026, 11:57:53 PM8 trades$312,9580 min
7/7/2026, 7:32:20 PM179 trades$299,4007 min
3/12/2026, 10:03:07 PM36 trades$288,75220 min
3/1/2026, 2:01:07 AM10 trades$283,0337 min
7/20/2026, 12:45:25 AM64 trades$280,36917 min
4/21/2026, 5:59:46 PM605 trades$278,574143 min
4/8/2026, 6:44:21 PM43 trades$275,75413 min
8/25/2026, 4:26:31 PM80 trades$252,6168 min
3/11/2026, 3:56:07 AM39 trades$240,27229 min
6/7/2026, 10:59:24 PM15 trades$233,86611 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-12
06-11
02-16
04-03
05-20
07-11
09-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 94.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.8 / M12.3 / H74.9