@HarpoonSignals
#30,838890x6086b18f3f8d4f4579a7627d97ea1a4984e8a5f9
~48d· 1565 markets · 4978 tradesVol: $261,3742026-08-04 17:19:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
85% (1315/1552)20/20
2.13x (win $5,225 / loss $2,455)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.71315/15
Sortino 21.93710/10
$+0.0288 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 358 (1552 markets)10/10
24/41 profitable days (59%)7.1/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($486 / $3,199)10/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+3,931
Whale
$96,234 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
30 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🌤️ WEATHER#1,905$794Vol: $235,350
🏛️ POLITICS#21,162$770Vol: $17,171
₿ CRYPTO#18,130$2,366Vol: $8,505
💻 TECH#48,995$1Vol: $363
⚽ SPORTS#1,006,903$-1Vol: $15
Overview
#1Net PnL
$3,931
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$261,374
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1565
total markets
Trades
3201B / 1777S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d
Periods
#2Today
$748
Vol: $8,270
Week
$743
Vol: $9,225
Month
$747
Vol: $9,225
All Time
$3,931
Vol: $261,374
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
85%
1315W / 237L events
Realized PnL
$3,931
Win Rate
85%
1315W / 237L
Profit Factor
2.13x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-17
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,133 (0.7970751961572515% of PnL)
Top Winners
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3,045
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 6?$46
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 29?$42
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 16?$42
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 27?$41
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 4?$41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?$39
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 4?$38
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 4?$36
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 5?$36
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?$-248
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?$-82
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 5?$-68
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 28?$-62
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 4?$-61
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 15?$-59
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?$-57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 13?$-45
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?$-43
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 6?$-42
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.140
Sortino
0.977
HHI
166
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.2%
Top-5 markets
15%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
47.4
Active
Markets / Day
14.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.9m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.5
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 348s — normal for humanCV 2.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock47 trades/day — high frequency15 markets/day — mass coverage65% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.17
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.8%
Mid (20-55c)19.7%
High (>55c)77.5%
Sessions
#126/1/2026, 5:01:29 PM3 trades$7,4620 min
8/4/2026, 3:19:35 PM57 trades$2,6841 min
8/4/2026, 5:08:36 PM14 trades$2,4592 min
6/1/2026, 2:27:40 PM7 trades$2,2230 min
5/28/2026, 10:26:35 AM56 trades$1,8858 min
8/3/2026, 1:40:42 PM7 trades$1,8510 min
6/6/2026, 4:42:28 PM26 trades$1,64319 min
6/5/2026, 5:53:58 PM21 trades$1,3945 min
6/5/2026, 5:24:48 AM18 trades$1,37817 min
6/7/2026, 4:51:06 AM46 trades$1,24613 min
6/4/2026, 5:54:24 PM13 trades$1,1835 min
6/4/2026, 2:52:42 PM15 trades$1,10915 min
6/6/2026, 3:52:42 PM11 trades$1,0008 min
6/6/2026, 5:49:57 AM18 trades$92321 min
5/12/2026, 6:25:42 PM16 trades$8353 min
6/6/2026, 5:06:31 PM8 trades$8273 min
6/4/2026, 1:31:48 AM25 trades$8205 min
6/1/2026, 12:38:52 PM2 trades$7910 min
6/4/2026, 4:50:46 PM22 trades$7896 min
6/5/2026, 5:03:40 PM14 trades$7754 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
04-28
05-04
05-10
05-16
06-03
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.8 / M19.7 / H77.5