Polydata

@HerrieDavis

#62567

0xac4a1fabdac2438d6afa2a9e8e83845310a0bf1e

~123d· 2979 markets · 209427 tradesVol: $28,710,4172026-07-31 15:15:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (891/2319)4.2/20
1.48x (win $167,420 / loss $113,099)8.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.28915/15
Sortino 10.15610/10
$+0.0597 per $1 invested3/10
HHI 70 (2319 markets)10/10
65/121 profitable days (54%)5.9/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($8,036 / $62,357)10/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+319,423
Diamond Hands
2% sells
Whale
$910,370 invested
High Roller
$7,342/day
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#258$196,654Vol: $18,943,087
🎭 CULTURE#290$26,781Vol: $3,559,661
💰 FINANCE#125$37,122Vol: $2,524,725
📈 ECONOMICS#381$19,448Vol: $1,656,279
💻 TECH#1,100$1,403Vol: $603,128
SPORTS#2,669$21,221Vol: $443,889
CRYPTO#33,202$848Vol: $309,852
📢 MENTIONS#303$5,872Vol: $236,259
🌤️ WEATHER#5,950$137Vol: $20,250

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$321,493
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,710,417
Total Redeem
$8,451
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2979
total markets
Trades
17064B / 3982S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~123d

Periods

#2
Today
$271
Vol: $81,539
Week
$2,241
Vol: $850,296
Month
$81,597
Vol: $4,074,549
All Time
$321,493
Vol: $28,710,417

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
34%
1361W / 2603L events
Realized PnL
$319,423
Win Rate
34%
1361W / 2603L
Profit Factor
1.48x
Avg Win
$188
Avg Loss
$-80

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,889 (0.0685257171566091% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$9,265
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$6,922
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$5,702
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$5,505
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$5,424
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$5,309
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$4,363
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$3,374
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$3,353
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$2,965

Top Losers

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-4,613
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?$-3,756
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-3,611
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-3,586
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-3,096
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-2,813
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$-2,782
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-2,637
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-2,635
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-2,597

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.224
Sortino
0.432
HHI
51
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.072
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
10%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1688.9
Very active
Markets / Day
24.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.6m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
22 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.8

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 237s — normal for humanCV 3.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1689 trades/day — automation24 markets/day — mass coverage10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.5
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.4%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)75.1%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 9:46:15 PM30 trades$9,78630 min
5/26/2026, 4:49:33 AM1 trades$9,6100 min
6/12/2026, 4:07:25 PM48 trades$7,49450 min
6/14/2026, 9:41:43 PM103 trades$7,01093 min
6/19/2026, 12:26:35 AM4 trades$6,5736 min
6/11/2026, 5:26:45 PM53 trades$6,38767 min
6/17/2026, 11:53:55 AM36 trades$5,87042 min
6/12/2026, 6:24:49 PM34 trades$5,77138 min
6/13/2026, 4:58:04 PM40 trades$5,68943 min
5/16/2026, 10:27:17 PM25 trades$5,50738 min
6/15/2026, 1:30:36 PM54 trades$5,39056 min
5/22/2026, 10:23:17 PM10 trades$5,35322 min
6/12/2026, 1:34:25 PM32 trades$5,13628 min
5/29/2026, 2:01:54 AM3 trades$5,0183 min
6/7/2026, 7:02:33 PM59 trades$4,61487 min
6/30/2026, 9:20:22 PM1 trades$4,6000 min
6/14/2026, 4:50:48 AM9 trades$4,4546 min
6/14/2026, 12:42:18 PM15 trades$4,22529 min
6/14/2026, 9:06:21 PM57 trades$4,14630 min
6/8/2026, 1:08:21 AM13 trades$4,11213 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-20
05-10
05-30
06-19
07-09
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.4 / M12.5 / H75.1