@Honeydown

#3,110,55510

0xa4c130c65b64917037d5121ea6294652afc30f60

~251d· 5639 markets · 39080 tradesVol: $4,150,7562026-08-26 09:11:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (1531/5639)0/20
0.56x (win $85,780 / loss $153,518)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -11.2660/15
Sortino -9.9970/10
$-0.1988 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 10 (5639 markets)10/10
36/240 profitable days (15%)0/10
Max DD 16407% of peak ($68,198 / $416)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20
Whale
$340,697 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,701,689$-69,771Vol: $3,990,031
🏛️ POLITICS#1,634,370$-1,646Vol: $155,795
🎭 CULTURE#25,749$71Vol: $4,930

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-71,347
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,150,756
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
5639
total markets
Trades
16953B / 22127S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~251d

Periods

#2
Today
$-30
Vol: $2,562
Week
$-135
Vol: $9,776
Month
$-1,771
Vol: $82,096
All Time
$-71,347
Vol: $4,150,756

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
1531W / 4108L events
Realized PnL
$-70,402
Win Rate
27%
1531W / 4108L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$56
Avg Loss
$-37

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,123 (0.11538025036919891% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$3,947
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10PM ET$2,201
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1,975
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9PM ET$1,684
Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 9PM ET$1,394
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 5PM ET$828
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 4?$820
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$738
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?$727
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET$678

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$-2,321
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2500 on June 24?$-1,688
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$-1,039
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on July 4?$-950
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$-800
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $105K on July 4?$-797
Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 4PM ET$-687
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$-678
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2200 on June 24?$-662
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$-608

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.589
Sortino
-0.617
HHI
10
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.199
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
3.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
94.6
Very active
Markets / Day
13.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
11.3m
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
34 min
Avg Trades / Session
141.9

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 60s — normal for humanCV 2.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock95 trades/day — mass trading14 markets/day — mass coverage14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.93
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)51.4%
Mid (20-55c)40.9%
High (>55c)7.7%

Sessions

#12
2/2/2026, 8:18:38 AM73 trades$21,73468 min
4/29/2026, 10:25:24 PM606 trades$9,90464 min
2/3/2026, 1:40:46 AM61 trades$6,63457 min
6/6/2026, 11:41:37 PM312 trades$5,74650 min
2/2/2026, 6:21:38 AM42 trades$5,53653 min
6/16/2026, 11:58:08 PM47 trades$5,35819 min
9/30/2025, 12:35:35 AM25 trades$5,18725 min
6/14/2026, 12:38:52 AM144 trades$5,17023 min
9/30/2025, 5:55:41 AM30 trades$4,95929 min
4/29/2026, 12:55:12 AM144 trades$4,89720 min
4/30/2026, 10:37:34 PM336 trades$4,648133 min
5/1/2026, 4:02:38 AM259 trades$4,623105 min
6/7/2026, 2:48:18 AM310 trades$4,53517 min
6/7/2026, 12:37:13 AM245 trades$4,31132 min
6/7/2026, 11:25:09 PM247 trades$4,30734 min
2/2/2026, 11:46:54 PM23 trades$3,78722 min
6/17/2026, 1:08:11 AM40 trades$3,77513 min
6/8/2026, 1:11:24 AM276 trades$3,75545 min
9/30/2025, 1:12:03 AM27 trades$3,72221 min
4/30/2026, 1:49:22 AM184 trades$3,68324 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
09-12
10-28
12-12
02-12
05-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 406 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.93/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51.4 / M40.9 / H7.7