@HosoTrader

#3,090,69825

0x5ad9619b9300cfcbfc25540b3a2c390ce233f29d

~83d· 4792 markets · 10725 tradesVol: $107,5792026-10-07 11:19:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (2737/4784)13.6/20
0.75x (win $2,398 / loss $3,177)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0050/15
Sortino -4.0210/10
$-0.0703 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 27 (4784 markets)10/10
28/76 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 25218% of peak ($782 / $3)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#1,672,562$-1,032Vol: $63,182
🏛️ POLITICS#1,581,806$-220Vol: $13,362
💻 TECH#268,744$-226Vol: $10,704
🎭 CULTURE#790,909$-102Vol: $5,204
⚽ SPORTS#1,696,295$-88Vol: $5,176
📈 ECONOMICS#669,838$-81Vol: $4,281
💰 FINANCE#626,619$-48Vol: $2,669
🌤️ WEATHER#268,966$-28Vol: $1,367
📢 MENTIONS#140,231$-14Vol: $616

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,859
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$107,579
Total Redeem
$631
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4792
total markets
Trades
6640B / 4085S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~83d

Periods

#2
Today
$-13
Vol: $321
Week
$-329
Vol: $11,780
Month
$-1,056
Vol: $43,190
All Time
$-1,859
Vol: $107,579

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
2737W / 2047L events
Realized PnL
$-878
Win Rate
57%
2737W / 2047L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $121 (0.1375338907748741% of PnL)

Top Winners

XRP Up or Down - January 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$61
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$32
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$28
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$24
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$24
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$24
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$24
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$19
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$19
XRP Up or Down - January 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$17

Top Losers

XRP Up or Down - January 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$-254
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$-149
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$-80
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$-58
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$-27
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$-20
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$-15
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.208
Sortino
-0.178
HHI
30
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.071
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
10.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
42.7
Active
Markets / Day
19.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.8m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 102s — normal for humanCV 2.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock43 trades/day — high frequency19 markets/day — mass coverage19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.23
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.2%
Mid (20-55c)34.1%
High (>55c)56.8%

Sessions

#12
1/21/2026, 3:16:34 PM54 trades$5924 min
1/21/2026, 2:02:06 PM21 trades$5585 min
1/21/2026, 2:31:20 PM38 trades$5328 min
1/21/2026, 4:32:32 PM37 trades$2801 min
3/14/2026, 2:06:35 PM92 trades$11497 min
12/24/2025, 4:58:55 PM3 trades$1085 min
12/24/2025, 2:59:13 PM1 trades$1020 min
12/22/2025, 3:43:59 PM1 trades$1000 min
4/24/2026, 3:17:08 PM35 trades$9240 min
12/23/2025, 4:10:59 AM1 trades$890 min
12/23/2025, 10:06:31 AM1 trades$890 min
4/27/2026, 2:29:00 AM12 trades$856 min
12/29/2025, 2:12:23 PM1 trades$800 min
1/26/2026, 7:28:44 AM18 trades$639 min
12/22/2025, 10:18:29 PM2 trades$590 min
3/11/2026, 4:32:05 PM18 trades$5411 min
3/14/2026, 8:07:39 AM41 trades$5036 min
3/14/2026, 11:22:39 AM42 trades$4946 min
3/15/2026, 5:49:01 AM39 trades$4740 min
4/25/2026, 3:06:12 AM9 trades$474 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-12
01-22
02-07
02-20
03-09
03-23
04-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 237 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.2 / M34.1 / H56.8