HyphenFrox

@HyphenFrox

#3,068,84328

0x051833122a2739cecb7257ce790bef168a2e5da2

~59d· 361 markets · 1164 tradesVol: $152,8052026-09-10 22:08:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (99/167)14.6/20
0.58x (win $3,176 / loss $5,500)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3990/15
Sortino -4.7360/10
$-0.0597 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 349 (167 markets)10/10
23/51 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 3061% of peak ($2,582 / $84)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,165$-1,658Vol: $117,500
💻 TECH#268,139$-752Vol: $13,486
💰 FINANCE#637,844$-86Vol: $8,505
🎭 CULTURE#53,948$17Vol: $7,185
🌤️ WEATHER#6,667$123Vol: $2,712
📈 ECONOMICS#26,483$24Vol: $1,425
📢 MENTIONS#160,425$-46Vol: $792
⚽ SPORTS#218,763$24Vol: $562
₿ CRYPTO#1,439,973$-58Vol: $541

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,411
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$152,805
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
361
total markets
Trades
592B / 572S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d

Periods

#2
Today
$-19
Vol: $508
Week
$-41
Vol: $5,576
Month
$32
Vol: $9,052
All Time
$-2,411
Vol: $152,805

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
97W / 67L events
Realized PnL
$-2,324
Win Rate
59%
97W / 67L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$32
Avg Loss
$-85

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $762 (0.32771023172169306% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?$363
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?$204
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?$195
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?$156
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$126
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down - October 15$123
Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?$121
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?$96
US strike on Syria by December 19?$85
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$84

Top Losers

OpenAI browser by October 31?$-932
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$-400
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?$-350
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$-313
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?$-266
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?$-231
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 30?$-212
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?$-200
Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?$-196
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$-180

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.228
Sortino
-0.223
HHI
291
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.064
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
31.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — normal for humanCV 2.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.54
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.5%
Mid (20-55c)16.9%
High (>55c)82.6%

Sessions

#12
10/14/2025, 11:26:43 PM2 trades$3,9381 min
10/8/2025, 4:37:04 AM8 trades$2,4145 min
10/16/2025, 9:51:35 AM6 trades$2,1571 min
10/14/2025, 10:29:19 PM1 trades$2,1310 min
10/15/2025, 1:47:33 PM1 trades$2,0350 min
10/15/2025, 7:35:09 PM1 trades$2,0350 min
10/14/2025, 1:13:31 PM6 trades$1,6088 min
10/29/2025, 5:00:59 PM6 trades$1,5323 min
11/4/2025, 11:43:07 AM34 trades$1,46330 min
10/14/2025, 10:16:27 PM3 trades$1,4070 min
11/28/2025, 1:13:59 PM3 trades$1,1384 min
8/8/2026, 9:54:16 PM167 trades$1,04216 min
10/13/2025, 6:14:57 AM3 trades$9831 min
10/22/2025, 7:35:07 PM1 trades$9780 min
10/22/2025, 8:55:43 PM1 trades$9680 min
10/21/2025, 9:58:31 AM2 trades$9343 min
12/14/2025, 10:27:41 AM2 trades$9190 min
10/22/2025, 1:58:31 AM1 trades$9130 min
10/22/2025, 2:21:27 PM1 trades$9130 min
12/13/2025, 12:59:45 PM9 trades$8883 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-06
10-21
11-03
11-13
11-22
12-08
08-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.54/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.5 / M16.9 / H82.6