@IAMPEPPER
#141,414870xed7fb6dc3d2071328172f780f73b655df0d1582b
~54d· 122 markets · 1007 tradesVol: $35,7272026-09-10 22:21:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
52% (59/113)11.1/20
3.26x (win $4,907 / loss $1,503)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.07215/15
Sortino 28.66610/10
$+0.3254 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 418 (113 markets)10/10
22/41 profitable days (54%)5.9/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($581 / $3,424)10/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+330
DCA Master
Avg 8.9 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
8₿ CRYPTO#1,453,673$-65Vol: $10,183
💻 TECH#2,473$475Vol: $9,568
⚽ SPORTS#282,174$10Vol: $8,412
💰 FINANCE#615,153$-30Vol: $6,828
🎭 CULTURE#746,704$-26Vol: $372
🏛️ POLITICS#1,352,459$-16Vol: $275
📢 MENTIONS#134,524$-10Vol: $21
🌤️ WEATHER#211,264$-2Vol: $6
Overview
#1Net PnL
$334
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$35,727
Total Redeem
$50
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
122
total markets
Trades
315B / 692S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d
Periods
#2Today
$-3
Vol: $63
Week
$49
Vol: $2,295
Month
$476
Vol: $6,624
All Time
$334
Vol: $35,727
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
59W / 54L events
Realized PnL
$331
Win Rate
52%
59W / 54L
Profit Factor
3.26x
Avg Win
$83
Avg Loss
$-31
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,462 (10.475279878971257% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,297
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?$989
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$177
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$155
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$94
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5$86
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$74
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$73
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?$65
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$56
Top Losers
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?$-218
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-154
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$-92
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-84
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$-69
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-68
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?$-50
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-46
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-45
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.210
Sortino
1.208
HHI
433
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.321
Kelly %
13.8%
Half-Kelly
6.9%
Top-1 market
11.7%
Top-5 markets
37.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 141s — normal for humanCV 2.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.95
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)15.2%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)51.4%
Sessions
#129/3/2026, 7:43:52 PM3 trades$1,7440 min
8/31/2026, 9:11:03 PM7 trades$1,0361 min
7/7/2026, 6:21:56 AM2 trades$7030 min
5/22/2026, 11:20:32 PM11 trades$6433 min
6/15/2026, 9:36:45 PM16 trades$63713 min
4/29/2026, 9:42:34 AM5 trades$5891 min
7/31/2026, 6:04:39 AM13 trades$5710 min
9/7/2026, 3:19:31 PM14 trades$5661 min
4/1/2026, 9:48:15 AM26 trades$51511 min
4/1/2026, 10:33:45 AM49 trades$51421 min
4/27/2026, 4:07:52 PM11 trades$4994 min
8/13/2026, 10:00:28 PM7 trades$4641 min
5/31/2026, 8:11:10 AM8 trades$4420 min
4/1/2026, 8:40:03 AM55 trades$43629 min
3/31/2026, 6:19:39 PM44 trades$42521 min
9/2/2026, 6:01:55 AM18 trades$3623 min
9/6/2026, 8:42:52 PM14 trades$3565 min
4/23/2026, 8:19:30 PM16 trades$3230 min
5/1/2026, 1:09:16 PM3 trades$2960 min
7/6/2026, 12:11:49 PM5 trades$2922 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-20
04-24
05-10
06-18
07-06
07-20
08-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.2 / M33.3 / H51.4