@IbnKhaldun

#13,37235

0xa4bc3bbdac29e51c0c4f8485cd15e36d7478026c

~229d· 280 markets · 4213 tradesVol: $1,929,4682026-08-02 09:54:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (135/242)12.9/20
1.02x (win $74,317 / loss $73,115)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0661.2/15
Sortino 0.0850.9/10
$+0.0021 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 301 (242 markets)10/10
79/136 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 161% of peak ($21,164 / $13,177)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+11,048
DCA Master
Avg 15.8 entries/market
Whale
$575,133 invested
High Roller
$1,849/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#2,564$16,277Vol: $1,734,697
💻 TECH#257,799$-3,386Vol: $90,968
💰 FINANCE#651,453$-749Vol: $73,464
📈 ECONOMICS#2,221$1,659Vol: $22,216
CRYPTO#1,653,512$-2,541Vol: $5,540
🎭 CULTURE#778,817$-91Vol: $1,732
📢 MENTIONS#152,241$-37Vol: $636
SPORTS#1,655,133$-85Vol: $214
🌤️ WEATHER#127,147$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$11,047
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,929,468
Total Redeem
$641
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
280
total markets
Trades
2288B / 1925S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~229d

Periods

#2
Today
$-113
Vol: $0
Week
$-413
Vol: $0
Month
$-217
Vol: $270
All Time
$11,047
Vol: $1,929,468

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
135W / 107L events
Realized PnL
$11,048
Win Rate
56%
135W / 107L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$551
Avg Loss
$-724

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $30,308 (2.7431445258936304% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$21,136
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$5,529
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$3,642
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3,503
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$3,321
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?$3,240
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3,082
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$2,796
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2,719
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2,648

Top Losers

Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?$-20,816
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-6,271
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-5,636
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$-3,960
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-3,545
OpenAI browser by October 31?$-3,366
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$-2,474
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-2,387
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-2,357
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-2,298

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.003
Sortino
0.003
HHI
250
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
25.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 285s — normal for humanCV 3.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active0.9 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.82
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.5%
Mid (20-55c)28.1%
High (>55c)52.4%

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 8:59:45 PM19 trades$30,0760 min
4/7/2026, 10:29:41 PM60 trades$26,8209 min
3/20/2026, 12:24:07 PM2 trades$25,3761 min
3/1/2026, 10:13:21 PM12 trades$22,92812 min
10/21/2025, 4:24:37 PM7 trades$22,5784 min
2/28/2026, 6:33:31 AM155 trades$20,53420 min
3/15/2026, 2:04:17 PM1 trades$16,8770 min
4/7/2026, 11:36:57 PM11 trades$14,1548 min
4/3/2026, 12:45:41 PM20 trades$11,9950 min
2/28/2026, 9:40:21 AM8 trades$11,9127 min
10/21/2025, 3:25:39 PM1 trades$11,8630 min
4/7/2026, 6:33:41 PM3 trades$10,6790 min
10/13/2025, 9:37:09 AM3 trades$10,3852 min
10/21/2025, 4:05:13 PM1 trades$10,0890 min
2/28/2026, 7:34:19 PM3 trades$10,0100 min
10/23/2025, 4:11:29 AM1 trades$10,0060 min
10/21/2025, 4:14:55 PM1 trades$9,9270 min
10/14/2025, 8:30:41 PM1 trades$9,9260 min
4/1/2026, 12:21:13 AM4 trades$9,6224 min
10/13/2025, 2:07:47 AM6 trades$9,6226 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-25
10-27
12-26
03-01
04-24
05-29
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.5 / M28.1 / H52.4