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@Illiterate-Counterforce

#22961

0xd1ed12197b7dc22dede923727e9b714024dbd7cb

622d· 17167 markets · 16321 tradesVol: $54,639,7042026-06-27T08:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 17%0/20
Profit Factor 2.36x15/15
Sharpe 0.2935/15
Sortino 0.3303/10
EV $+1.37610/10
HHI 7310/10
Profit Days 62%8/10
DD/Peak 26%9/10

Summary

Illiterate-Counterforce is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #229 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of approximately $749,000. Over 750 days, they have executed more than 16,000 trades across over 3,200 markets, generating a total trading volume exceeding $54 million. Their win rate stands at 67.3%, supported by a good Smart Score of 61/100, reflecting consistent profitability and effective market engagement.

The trading style of Illiterate-Counterforce is characterized by a contrarian and disciplined approach, as indicated by badges such as Contrarian and Diamond Hands. They do not engage in weather markets and avoid selling short, showing a preference for long positions and potential dollar-cost averaging strategies. The trader maintains a relatively low-risk profile with a stable equity trend and zero max drawdown duration, though the Sharpe ratio of 0.29 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns. Their bot score of 55/100 implies a semi-automated strategy blending manual decisions with algorithmic support.

Illiterate-Counterforce’s strengths include a high volume of trades with a strong win rate and a robust profit factor close to break-even, demonstrating resilience and steady performance on Polymarket. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio and profit factor below 1 indicate potential vulnerabilities in risk management or market volatility. The stable equity trend and zero drawdown duration suggest effective drawdown control, but traders should monitor if this consistency can be maintained during more volatile periods.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+749,397
Contrarian
57% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 5.1 entries/market
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
Whale
$2,031,883
Consistent
139/225 days
High Roller
$2,709/day
Cool Head
DD 26%

Categories

8
SPORTS#87$1,003,207Vol: $42,928,862
📈 ECONOMICS#666,272$-21,459Vol: $3,301,803
🏛️ POLITICS#1,609,485$-68,863Vol: $2,922,092
🎭 CULTURE#802,171$-54,156Vol: $501,448
CRYPTO#1,560,067$-1,144Vol: $351,344
💰 FINANCE#636,835$-13,048Vol: $102,863
📢 MENTIONS#754$1,902Vol: $19,098
💻 TECH#961$1,520Vol: $15,162

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$749,397
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$54,639,704
Total Redeem
$427,416
Portfolio
$69
Predictions
17167
total markets
Trades
16310B / 11S
Daily Volume
$2,709
Account Age
622d
since Oct 17, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-29,665
Vol: $257,061
Week
$42,435
Vol: $3,634,078
Month
$303,922
Vol: $9,321,734
All Time
$749,397
Vol: $54,639,704

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
21%
373W / 1371L events
Realized PnL
$2,265,470
Win Rate
67%
175W / 85L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$533
Avg Loss
$-1,334

Top Winners

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$13,493
Spread: France (-2.5)$12,992
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5$9,582
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$7,015
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)$3,706
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants$3,368
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$2,944
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5$2,117
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets$1,871
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 1.5$1,831

Top Losers

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-45,228
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants$-9,150
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?$-8,840
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$-5,909
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5$-5,548
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$-4,905
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds$-4,239
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$-4,017
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants$-2,450
Spread: United States (-1.5)$-2,185

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.293
Sortino
0.330
HHI
73
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.376
Kelly %
9.3%
Half-Kelly
4.7%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
14%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.8
Active
Markets / Day
6.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
34s
between trades
Avg Gap
16.1m
between trades
Night Trading
54%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 34s — typical for humanSize CV 5.75 — diverse, typical for human54% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.18 — human randomness32 trades/day — suspiciously high3259 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.1
Active DCA
<=1
918 entries
<=2
1504 entries
<=5
2343 entries
<=10
2851 entries
<=20
3099 entries
<=50
3203 entries
>50
8 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.3%
Mid (20-55c)35.7%
High (>55c)37%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 66.7%

Chicago$2,130
San Francisco$905
Los Angeles$398
Miami$306
Seattle$242
Houston$128
Dallas$75
Madrid$0
São Paulo$0
New York City$0
Tel Aviv$0
Milan$0
Paris$0
Austin$0
Toronto$-11
Atlanta$-8,335
Other$-15,989

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.1
Events covered
1560

Moderate coverage

<=1
864 brackets
<=2
1193 brackets
<=3
1353 brackets
<=4
1428 brackets
<=5
1476 brackets
<=8
1537 brackets
>8
23 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/29/2025, 9:04:12 PM2 trades$210 min
1/30/2025, 2:02:56 AM1 trades$10 min
2/10/2025, 1:00:43 AM1 trades$320 min
2/10/2025, 1:20:39 AM1 trades$20 min
2/12/2025, 7:53:11 PM6 trades$425 min
2/19/2025, 6:08:57 PM2 trades$81 min
2/19/2025, 7:57:49 PM1 trades$20 min
6/30/2025, 2:07:04 AM1 trades$30 min
10/16/2025, 4:01:05 PM1 trades$10 min
10/17/2025, 3:06:30 PM3 trades$311 min
10/17/2025, 5:19:50 PM1 trades$100 min
10/17/2025, 5:48:28 PM2 trades$370 min
10/17/2025, 7:41:14 PM1 trades$150 min
10/21/2025, 12:30:52 AM1 trades$260 min
10/21/2025, 1:20:48 AM1 trades$280 min
10/21/2025, 1:53:34 AM1 trades$30 min
10/23/2025, 9:25:07 PM2 trades$4430 min
10/24/2025, 5:09:15 AM1 trades$170 min
10/24/2025, 11:07:49 AM1 trades$20 min
10/24/2025, 12:34:01 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-06
01-16
02-26
04-20
05-27
07-01
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.1 br/event