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@Illiterate-Counterforce

#1,06478

0xd1ed12197b7dc22dede923727e9b714024dbd7cb

580d· 12781 markets · 6497 tradesVol: $42,895,6872026-05-16T03:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 26%0/20
Profit Factor 9.33x15/15
Sharpe 0.72013/15
Sortino 2.45110/10
EV $+7.39910/10
HHI 15110/10
Profit Days 74%10/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Illiterate-Counterforce is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranking #1064 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $143,769.37. Over 750 days, they have executed 6,497 trades across 1,541 markets, generating a total volume of nearly $43 million. Their portfolio remains stable at just under $50,000, reflecting consistent performance with a Sharpe ratio of 0.72 and a solid win rate of 70.5%.

The trading style of Illiterate-Counterforce appears to be contrarian and disciplined, as indicated by badges like "Contrarian" and "Diamond Hands." They maintain a profit factor of 1.75, suggesting a balanced risk-reward approach. This trader does not engage in weather markets and has a zero percent sell rate, implying a tendency to hold positions rather than frequently cashing out. The "SEMI-BOT" bot score of 45/100 indicates a hybrid strategy combining automated and manual inputs, with no significant drawdown durations, signaling effective risk management.

Illiterate-Counterforce’s strengths lie in their consistent profitability and disciplined holding strategy, which supports stable equity trends. However, their moderate Sharpe ratio and semi-automated approach may expose them to market volatility without fully exploiting algorithmic efficiencies. The lack of sell activity could also increase exposure during adverse market movements. Overall, Illiterate-Counterforce demonstrates strong, steady performance with some room for optimization on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+143,769
Contrarian
55% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
Whale
$684,476
Consistent
143/193 days
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

8
SPORTS#234$304,053Vol: $35,637,927
📈 ECONOMICS#639,623$-21,459Vol: $3,301,803
🏛️ POLITICS#1,543,262$-68,863Vol: $2,922,092
🎭 CULTURE#772,986$-54,156Vol: $501,448
CRYPTO#1,463,020$-1,144Vol: $351,344
💰 FINANCE#602,923$-13,048Vol: $102,863
📢 MENTIONS#733$1,902Vol: $19,098
💻 TECH#879$1,520Vol: $15,162

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$143,769
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$42,895,687
Total Redeem
$306,866
Portfolio
$49,679
Predictions
12781
total markets
Trades
6490B / 7S
Daily Volume
$913
Account Age
580d
since Oct 17, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$132
Vol: $92,688
Week
$15,432
Vol: $692,434
Month
$66,611
Vol: $1,875,479
All Time
$143,769
Vol: $42,895,687

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
30%
340W / 775L events
Realized PnL
$1,846,608
Win Rate
70%
258W / 108L
Profit Factor
1.75x
Avg Win
$311
Avg Loss
$-423

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,888 (49.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Cavaliers vs. Pistons$6,467
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca$5,464
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins$4,958
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$4,694
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians$4,208
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers$3,572
Thunder vs. Lakers$3,366
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$2,743
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers$2,430
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5$2,210

Top Losers

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5$-10,387
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$-3,384
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics$-2,906
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)$-2,371
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves$-1,842
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox$-1,746
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)$-1,652
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5$-1,648
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox$-1,534
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$-1,293

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.720
Sortino
2.451
HHI
151
Diversified
EV per $1
$7.399
Kelly %
26.2%
Half-Kelly
13.1%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
20.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.8
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
51s
between trades
Avg Gap
25.3m
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 51s — typical for humanSize CV 5.11 — diverse, typical for human44% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.15 — human randomness14 trades/day — very active1523 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.2
Moderate DCA
<=1
502 entries
<=2
800 entries
<=5
1200 entries
<=10
1415 entries
<=20
1515 entries
<=50
1539 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.9%
Mid (20-55c)32.3%
High (>55c)39.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 58.1%

Other$29,983
Miami$5,563
Chicago$2,662
New York City$2,098
Houston$289
Austin$200
Dallas$135
Madrid$0
São Paulo$0
Tel Aviv$0
Milan$0
Paris$0
San Francisco$-218
Los Angeles$-305
Toronto$-1,341
Atlanta$-1,731
Seattle$-2,912

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
936

Single bracket

<=1
625 brackets
<=2
819 brackets
<=3
872 brackets
<=4
893 brackets
<=5
905 brackets
<=8
931 brackets
>8
5 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/29/2025, 9:04:12 PM2 trades$210 min
1/30/2025, 2:02:56 AM1 trades$10 min
2/10/2025, 1:00:43 AM1 trades$320 min
2/10/2025, 1:20:39 AM1 trades$20 min
2/12/2025, 7:53:11 PM6 trades$425 min
2/19/2025, 6:08:57 PM2 trades$81 min
2/19/2025, 7:57:49 PM1 trades$20 min
6/30/2025, 2:07:04 AM1 trades$30 min
10/16/2025, 4:01:05 PM1 trades$10 min
10/17/2025, 3:06:30 PM3 trades$311 min
10/17/2025, 5:19:50 PM1 trades$100 min
10/17/2025, 5:48:28 PM2 trades$370 min
10/17/2025, 7:41:14 PM1 trades$150 min
10/21/2025, 12:30:52 AM1 trades$260 min
10/21/2025, 1:20:48 AM1 trades$280 min
10/21/2025, 1:53:34 AM1 trades$30 min
10/23/2025, 9:25:07 PM2 trades$4430 min
10/24/2025, 5:09:15 AM1 trades$170 min
10/24/2025, 11:07:49 AM1 trades$20 min
10/24/2025, 12:34:01 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-25
12-30
02-01
03-15
04-23
05-21
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event