Polydata

@denizz

#5197

0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73

660d· 937 markets · 29674 tradesVol: $94,206,860 @denizz_poly2026-06-24T21:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 97%20/20
Profit Factor 40.83x15/15
Sharpe 0.62912/15
Sortino 51130389.04710/10
EV $+2.01810/10
HHI 11810/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Denizz is a highly active trader on Polymarket, currently ranked 51st on the global PnL leaderboard. With nearly 30,000 trades across 249 markets and over $94 million in total volume, denizz has generated a net profit of approximately $2.43 million. Their portfolio value stands close to $2 million after 822 days of consistent activity, reflecting a solid long-term presence. The trader’s elite Smart Score of 97/100 underscores their strong performance and expertise.

Denizz tends to engage in a wide range of markets but does not participate in weather-related markets, focusing instead on other areas. Their trading style appears balanced yet somewhat conservative, evidenced by a moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.63 and a profit factor below 1 at 0.54, which indicates some trades may yield losses despite an overall upward equity trend. The win rate of 35.7% suggests denizz takes calculated risks, often relying on larger wins rather than frequent small gains. Their sell percentage of 34% combined with a semi-bot trading style implies a mix of automated and manual decision-making.

The key strengths of denizz include consistent profitability, an upward equity trend, and a zero-day max drawdown duration, highlighting effective risk management. However, the relatively low profit factor and moderate win rate could pose risks during volatile market phases. Their semi-automated approach balances efficiency with discretion, but reliance on bots might introduce vulnerability to sudden market shifts. Overall, denizz’s disciplined and data-driven approach makes them a prominent and resilient trader on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 97%
Profitable
PnL $+2,434,250
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Whale
$13,713,833
Consistent
70/70 days
High Roller
$16,683/day

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#15$2,472,057Vol: $83,762,054
🎭 CULTURE#802,534$-11,262Vol: $5,322,640
📈 ECONOMICS#665,484$-109,923Vol: $3,194,097
CRYPTO#1,089$35,882Vol: $878,895
💰 FINANCE#922$5,489Vol: $393,904
💻 TECH#418$4,101Vol: $298,766
📢 MENTIONS#57$33,609Vol: $253,216
SPORTS#106,145$111Vol: $38,374

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,434,250
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$94,206,860
Total Redeem
$1,602,496
Portfolio
$1,998,542
Predictions
937
total markets
Trades
19680B / 9994S
Daily Volume
$16,683
Account Age
660d
since Sep 4, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$20,034
Vol: $730,216
Week
$20,344
Vol: $1,143,708
Month
$983,650
Vol: $9,578,233
All Time
$2,434,250
Vol: $94,206,860

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
204W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$3,353,807
Win Rate
36%
70W / 126L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$31,842
Avg Loss
$-32,770

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$808,737
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$322,280
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$277,426
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$111,816
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$108,787
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$83,972
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$62,093
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31$40,975
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$32,059
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?$23,505

Top Losers

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$-228,298
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April $-175,706
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$-165,617
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-143,395
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$-123,185
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$-116,175
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$-97,959
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the$-96,290
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$-90,149
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-89,972

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.629
Sortino
inf
HHI
118
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
14.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
53.6
Very active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.7m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 104s — typical for humanSize CV 5.48 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.02 — human randomness54 trades/day — mass trading306 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
79
Heavy DCA
<=1
6 entries
<=2
9 entries
<=5
25 entries
<=10
39 entries
<=20
74 entries
<=50
142 entries
>50
107 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.1%
Mid (20-55c)27.7%
High (>55c)56.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 34.8%

Los Angeles$0
Other$-1,900,069

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
168

Single bracket

<=1
136 brackets
<=2
147 brackets
<=3
155 brackets
<=4
162 brackets
<=5
165 brackets
<=8
167 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/18/2024, 1:54:01 AM2 trades$8692 min
12/18/2024, 8:11:00 AM1 trades$1450 min
12/18/2024, 10:50:08 PM1 trades$1140 min
12/19/2024, 2:43:17 AM1 trades$00 min
12/19/2024, 5:58:42 AM1 trades$520 min
12/19/2024, 8:24:19 AM1 trades$30 min
12/19/2024, 10:19:19 AM1 trades$2970 min
12/21/2024, 2:27:33 PM1 trades$2,3740 min
12/25/2024, 3:27:52 AM1 trades$7200 min
12/26/2024, 12:31:53 PM1 trades$7100 min
12/26/2024, 6:12:09 PM1 trades$2,0500 min
12/30/2024, 2:34:35 AM1 trades$3490 min
12/30/2024, 5:20:09 AM1 trades$20 min
12/30/2024, 8:15:51 AM1 trades$1620 min
1/2/2025, 6:41:28 PM1 trades$7390 min
1/2/2025, 7:12:02 PM2 trades$104 min
1/2/2025, 9:15:38 PM1 trades$40 min
1/5/2025, 2:42:49 AM1 trades$370 min
1/10/2025, 6:55:57 PM1 trades$2400 min
1/11/2025, 4:55:51 PM1 trades$1250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-04
06-14
10-03
01-31
05-08
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 79/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event