Iltangbaek

@Iltangbaek

#126,0397

0xe3de83f80ba5e14545a16a572974a810eac978dd

~73d· 96 markets · 776 tradesVol: $114,5472026-10-07 00:30:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (24/75)1/20
0.62x (win $1,247 / loss $2,003)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9400/15
Sortino -3.7710/10
$-0.1605 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1773 (75 markets)3.6/10
17/43 profitable days (40%)2.4/10
Max DD 332% of peak ($1,141 / $344)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+341
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#25,569$573Vol: $97,242
💰 FINANCE#634,099$-67Vol: $7,043
₿ CRYPTO#1,346,383$-31Vol: $5,881
📈 ECONOMICS#619,238$-13Vol: $2,328
🎭 CULTURE#765,110$-44Vol: $1,198
⚽ SPORTS#1,503,400$-22Vol: $855

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$396
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$114,547
Total Redeem
$46
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
96
total markets
Trades
324B / 452S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~73d

Periods

#2
Today
$11
Vol: $0
Week
$9
Vol: $1,693
Month
$76
Vol: $26,554
All Time
$396
Vol: $114,547

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
24W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$341
Win Rate
32%
24W / 51L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$52
Avg Loss
$-43

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $789 (2.3168555157635176% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?$298
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$266
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$225
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$72
Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?$68
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$51
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$40
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$23

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-218
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-189
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-167
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$-115
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-110
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-105
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-100
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-98
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-95
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-82

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.152
Sortino
-0.185
HHI
264
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.183
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
27.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
49.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2973s — normal for humanCV 1.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.33
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.3%
Mid (20-55c)14.2%
High (>55c)48.5%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 4:14:36 PM2 trades$4,9430 min
6/20/2026, 2:31:44 PM9 trades$2,3254 min
6/18/2026, 12:30:44 PM10 trades$1,03011 min
8/14/2026, 12:03:03 PM23 trades$1,0202 min
6/21/2026, 12:17:46 PM13 trades$6574 min
8/9/2026, 6:16:01 PM9 trades$5726 min
8/14/2026, 10:07:51 AM22 trades$5560 min
7/18/2026, 6:58:30 AM8 trades$4347 min
6/16/2026, 8:43:50 PM6 trades$4100 min
6/10/2026, 10:53:52 PM12 trades$3913 min
8/13/2026, 12:13:55 AM7 trades$3543 min
8/8/2026, 6:54:43 PM4 trades$3330 min
4/27/2026, 9:08:52 AM2 trades$3330 min
6/7/2026, 8:42:25 PM2 trades$3240 min
6/20/2026, 5:18:34 PM5 trades$3190 min
4/26/2026, 6:04:06 PM19 trades$2972 min
8/14/2026, 7:38:15 PM11 trades$2911 min
6/17/2026, 4:16:52 PM11 trades$2638 min
4/20/2026, 8:06:28 AM6 trades$2470 min
4/4/2026, 11:46:13 PM4 trades$2465 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-10
04-25
05-19
06-15
06-28
08-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 83 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L37.3 / M14.2 / H48.5