Polydata
ImJustKen

@ImJustKen

#3283

0x9d84ce0306f8551e02efef1680475fc0f1dc1344

1582d· 9654 markets · 43952 tradesVol: $474,642,235 @Domahhhh2026-05-18T22:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 52%11/20
Profit Factor 11.96x15/15
Sharpe 0.3847/15
Sortino 6.62810/10
EV $+7.59710/10
HHI 28910/10
Profit Days 78%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

ImJustKen is a highly experienced and active trader on Polymarket, ranked #32 on the global PnL leaderboard. With nearly 44,000 trades across 766 markets, they have generated a net profit of over $3.1 million from a total trading volume approaching $475 million. Their smart score of 83/100 reflects very good trading acumen, while a profit factor of 2.06 indicates consistent profitability over time. Despite a moderate win rate of 40%, ImJustKen’s portfolio value remains substantial at over $760,000 after more than 1,860 days of activity.

ImJustKen tends to employ a semi-automated trading style, as suggested by their bot score of 60/100, combining algorithmic signals with manual decisions. Their trading approach appears moderately contrarian, as indicated by the "Contrarian" badge, and they generally hold positions with low sell percentages (24%). The trader avoids weather markets entirely and maintains a stable equity trend with no prolonged drawdowns, suggesting disciplined risk management. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.38 points to moderate risk-adjusted returns, consistent with a balanced risk profile.

The main strengths of ImJustKen include their longevity, large trade volume, and robust profit factor, which highlight both experience and profitability. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio and flat equity trend suggest limited growth in risk-adjusted returns over recent periods. Additionally, a 40% win rate indicates that ImJustKen often accepts losses, relying on occasional large wins to maintain profitability. Overall, ImJustKen’s data on Polymarket reflects a seasoned trader with a stable but cautious trading approach.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+3,123,213
Lottery Player
58% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
75% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Whale
$4,401,103
Consistent
132/170 days
High Roller
$2,364/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#26$1,246,897Vol: $325,132,947
🎭 CULTURE#1$747,520Vol: $54,552,842
📈 ECONOMICS#3$606,692Vol: $48,009,079
💰 FINANCE#601,392$-956Vol: $10,931,398
SPORTS#1,708$28,929Vol: $10,145,291
CRYPTO#706$47,737Vol: $7,772,127
📢 MENTIONS#68$28,429Vol: $2,339,812
💻 TECH#78$17,640Vol: $1,915,289
🌤️ WEATHER#573$2,563Vol: $729,662

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,123,213
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$474,642,235
Total Redeem
$177,601
Portfolio
$760,528
Predictions
9654
total markets
Trades
33465B / 10487S
Daily Volume
$2,364
Account Age
1582d
since Jan 19, 2022

Periods

#2
Today
$-24,553
Vol: $33,174
Week
$-24,553
Vol: $65,646
Month
$192,322
Vol: $1,953,225
All Time
$3,123,213
Vol: $474,642,235

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
61%
316W / 203L events
Realized PnL
$15,553,757
Win Rate
40%
20W / 30L
Profit Factor
2.06x
Avg Win
$7,481
Avg Loss
$-2,415

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $128,174 (166.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$50,967
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$39,842
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$37,364
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$6,087
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5,703
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$3,725
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?$2,268
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$1,900
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$884
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$213

Top Losers

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$-12,610
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$-10,959
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$-8,837
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?$-7,977
No one announced as next James Bond?$-5,992
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$-4,707
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$-3,703
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 3$-2,675
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?$-2,141
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?$-1,993

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.384
Sortino
6.628
HHI
289
Diversified
EV per $1
$7.597
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11%
Top-5 markets
31.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
144.3
Very active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.0m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
20.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 54s — typical for humanSize CV 20.67 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.05 — human randomness144 trades/day — automation1155 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
44.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
107 entries
<=2
154 entries
<=5
254 entries
<=10
346 entries
<=20
470 entries
<=50
597 entries
>50
152 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)57.6%
Mid (20-55c)18.6%
High (>55c)23.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 57.3%

Other$77,155
Warsh$0
Los Angeles$0
Seattle$0
New York City$0
Netanyahu$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.2
Events covered
346

Moderate coverage

<=1
203 brackets
<=2
287 brackets
<=3
301 brackets
<=4
311 brackets
<=5
322 brackets
<=8
334 brackets
>8
12 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/18/2025, 8:28:44 AM1 trades$10 min
7/18/2025, 9:19:44 AM1 trades$10 min
7/18/2025, 9:58:34 AM1 trades$120 min
7/18/2025, 3:27:44 PM1 trades$30 min
7/18/2025, 5:32:23 PM6 trades$14 min
7/18/2025, 5:41:11 PM2 trades$00 min
7/18/2025, 5:53:03 PM15 trades$1111 min
7/18/2025, 6:10:47 PM9 trades$1,4625 min
7/18/2025, 6:22:17 PM2 trades$121 min
7/18/2025, 6:59:25 PM1 trades$10 min
7/18/2025, 7:04:57 PM8 trades$3215 min
7/18/2025, 7:17:37 PM5 trades$1,0165 min
7/18/2025, 7:32:25 PM4 trades$2811 min
7/18/2025, 7:55:39 PM2 trades$1073 min
7/18/2025, 8:03:53 PM5 trades$1,4364 min
7/18/2025, 8:55:27 PM1 trades$00 min
7/18/2025, 9:08:57 PM1 trades$10 min
7/18/2025, 9:17:13 PM3 trades$75 min
7/18/2025, 9:29:27 PM4 trades$55 min
7/18/2025, 11:14:24 PM5 trades$411 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
08-31
08-10
01-20
02-11
05-20
06-13
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 44.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.2 br/event