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@Immediate-Calcification

#2,815,57226

0xfd2930a094c0a6900a2dc947e5db462d11ae77ae

128d· 172 markets · 14331 tradesVol: $15,330,0452026-06-08T18:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 48%9/20
Profit Factor 0.95x2/15
HHI 15910/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 435%0/10

Summary

Immediate-Calcification is a highly active Polymarket trader with over 14,000 trades across 172 markets and 138 days of activity. Despite the high volume, their global PnL ranking is low at #2,815,572, reflecting a net loss of $204,940.45. Their Smart Score of 26 out of 100 indicates below-average trading performance, supported by a profit factor of 0.26 and a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.03. The trader currently holds no portfolio value, and their equity trend shows a consistent decline.

This trader appears to engage in high-frequency trading, as evidenced by their large trade count and total volume exceeding $15 million. Immediate-Calcification seems to adopt a high-risk approach with a low win rate of 24.7%, suggesting aggressive market exposure rather than cautious positioning. Their bot score of 55 indicates a hybrid trading style blending automated and manual strategies. Notably, they do not participate in weather markets and avoid selling positions, possibly indicating a preference for holding through market fluctuations.

While Immediate-Calcification demonstrates high engagement and some traits of a high roller, the data reveals significant risks. The combination of a steep negative PnL, a declining equity trend, and below-average performance metrics highlights vulnerability to sustained losses. Their trading style may benefit from reassessment to improve efficiency and reduce drawdowns within Polymarket’s dynamic environment.

Badges

4
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
Whale
$7,514,418
High Roller
$54,452/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,702,709$-204,940Vol: $15,330,045

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-204,940
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,330,045
Total Redeem
$1,671,186
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
172
total markets
Trades
14330B / 1S
Daily Volume
$54,452
Account Age
128d
since Feb 18, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$-30
Vol: $0
All Time
$-204,940
Vol: $15,330,045

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
49%
80W / 83L events
Realized PnL
$3,473,102
Win Rate
25%
22W / 67L
Profit Factor
0.26x
Avg Win
$36,426
Avg Loss
$-45,492

Top Winners

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?$139,791
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?$99,529
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?$89,767
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?$74,947
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?$70,500
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?$55,418
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?$55,060
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?$38,350
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5$35,561
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5$26,124

Top Losers

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?$-289,497
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?$-249,696
1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5$-195,465
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?$-183,547
Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5$-150,494
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5$-145,893
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?$-120,732
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?$-113,266
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-18?$-108,411
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-16?$-88,743

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.031
Sortino
-0.040
HHI
159
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.054
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
18%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
140.9
Very active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.9m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
59% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 7.20 — diverse, typical for human1% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.47 — human randomness141 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
83.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
10 entries
<=2
17 entries
<=5
24 entries
<=10
31 entries
<=20
50 entries
<=50
86 entries
>50
86 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)75.3%
High (>55c)24.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 70.7%

Jinmen Hu FC win$0
Wuhan$0
Shenzhen$-2,784
Madrid$-8,639
Milan$-72,916
Shanghai$-123,783
Other$-2,038,465

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
163

Single bracket

<=1
154 brackets
<=2
163 brackets
<=3
163 brackets
<=4
163 brackets
<=5
163 brackets
<=8
163 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/18/2026, 6:57:42 PM62 trades$43,5584 min
2/18/2026, 7:10:16 PM2 trades$1771 min
2/18/2026, 7:22:32 PM30 trades$19,32312 min
2/19/2026, 9:29:34 AM1 trades$17,5380 min
2/19/2026, 9:50:30 AM6 trades$17,7000 min
2/19/2026, 9:57:20 AM143 trades$77,2878 min
2/19/2026, 10:12:54 AM61 trades$17,36345 min
2/19/2026, 11:26:34 AM12 trades$23,4840 min
2/19/2026, 4:37:42 PM89 trades$46,66611 min
2/19/2026, 5:12:26 PM12 trades$49,7040 min
2/19/2026, 5:20:42 PM4 trades$35,9920 min
2/20/2026, 10:06:30 AM25 trades$11,9215 min
2/20/2026, 10:30:34 AM14 trades$19,23310 min
2/20/2026, 11:04:16 AM1 trades$40 min
2/20/2026, 11:11:00 AM20 trades$21,7045 min
2/20/2026, 5:30:16 PM45 trades$73,6002 min
2/24/2026, 6:55:24 PM1 trades$70 min
2/24/2026, 7:00:50 PM3 trades$628 min
2/24/2026, 7:14:12 PM3 trades$1063 min
2/25/2026, 10:40:48 PM4 trades$10,1744 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
03-07
03-20
04-09
04-21
05-05
05-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 83.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event