@Ingvar-22

#2,284,85821

0xec37b2d1e75db175d16c02f811dd542978a34c6a

~172d· 572 markets · 832 tradesVol: $5,9422026-09-10 22:07:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (244/571)6.4/20
0.95x (win $309 / loss $326)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6650/15
Sortino -1.1430/10
$-0.0279 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 31 (571 markets)10/10
65/163 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 575% of peak ($67 / $12)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
82% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#1,392,135$-40Vol: $1,423
📢 MENTIONS#18,989$12Vol: $1,296
🎭 CULTURE#197,748$0Vol: $1,290
🏛️ POLITICS#179,269$9Vol: $1,147
🌤️ WEATHER#246,601$-9Vol: $522
💰 FINANCE#586,042$-11Vol: $111
⚽ SPORTS#784,463$-0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-34
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,942
Total Redeem
$3
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
572
total markets
Trades
618B / 214S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~172d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $84
Week
$-7
Vol: $449
Month
$-1
Vol: $769
All Time
$-34
Vol: $5,942

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
244W / 327L events
Realized PnL
$-29
Win Rate
43%
244W / 327L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34 (1.1723666210670316% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?$18
Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$8
Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30? $8
Will Trump say "Trump" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$7
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$7
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in August?$7
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 17?$6
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?$5
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2?$5
Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?$4

Top Losers

Will JD Vance say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in NC on September 24?$-3
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30?$-2
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$-2
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22?$-2
Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?$-2
Will Trump say "BRICS" this week?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.035
Sortino
-0.078
HHI
20
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
3.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
49.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.18
Very consistent
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
HIGH
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2964s — normal for humanCV 0.18, 1% unique — templated orders36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal1% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.45
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.3%
Mid (20-55c)54.9%
High (>55c)17.8%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2025, 6:31:52 AM5 trades$101 min
8/16/2026, 3:28:28 AM4 trades$100 min
1/7/2026, 2:54:47 PM1 trades$90 min
9/22/2025, 6:45:42 PM1 trades$90 min
9/23/2025, 4:15:00 PM3 trades$81 min
8/18/2025, 3:21:06 AM8 trades$811 min
8/17/2026, 1:27:40 PM2 trades$80 min
12/24/2025, 3:15:05 AM1 trades$80 min
10/16/2025, 5:06:05 AM1 trades$80 min
9/2/2025, 12:53:10 PM1 trades$70 min
1/15/2026, 7:37:26 PM1 trades$60 min
8/31/2025, 6:54:34 AM6 trades$610 min
9/10/2025, 8:41:23 AM6 trades$69 min
8/20/2026, 8:47:58 PM6 trades$62 min
8/25/2026, 1:20:18 PM2 trades$60 min
11/5/2025, 12:53:41 PM4 trades$60 min
1/13/2026, 8:44:12 PM2 trades$53 min
11/3/2025, 4:17:01 AM3 trades$51 min
9/16/2025, 5:32:22 AM5 trades$52 min
10/28/2025, 4:50:37 AM5 trades$52 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-23
08-24
09-20
10-25
11-27
12-29
08-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 79 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.45/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.3 / M54.9 / H17.8