Polydata

@Insignificant-Wrestler

#2,911,76219

0x0dcf5b49627c5194805bd1af846fd0bd3388c556

148d· 840 markets · 4979 tradesVol: $24,239,3592026-06-24T18:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 36%3/20
Profit Factor 0.90x1/15
HHI 3510/10
Profit Days 47%4/10
DD/Peak 3595%0/10

Summary

Insignificant-Wrestler is a highly active trader on Polymarket, completing nearly 5,000 trades across more than 500 markets over 171 days. Despite this significant volume of $24.2 million, their net PnL stands at negative $72,563, placing them at rank #2,911,762 globally. Their portfolio value is approximately $69,000, and their Smart Score of 19/100 indicates a beginner level of trading sophistication.

The trader appears to favor a contrarian and dollar-cost averaging strategy, as suggested by badges like Contrarian and DCA Master, and maintains a 97.5% win rate with a profit factor of 97.61. However, a 0% sell rate and a Sharpe ratio of -0.10 point to a high-risk profile with poor risk-adjusted returns. Insignificant-Wrestler’s approach seems to involve holding positions for extended periods without active selling, possibly contributing to a downward equity trend despite frequent wins.

Strengths for Insignificant-Wrestler include consistency in winning trades and high trading volume, which may provide useful market insights. However, their large negative net PnL, low Smart Score, and declining portfolio value reflect potential risks such as overtrading, insufficient profit-taking, or poor money management. These factors highlight challenges in converting frequent wins into positive overall returns on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Contrarian
58% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 9.3 entries/market
Win Streak
36 wins in a row
Whale
$6,135,898
High Roller
$35,882/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,048$54,030Vol: $7,304,547

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-72,563
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,239,359
Total Redeem
$2,549,144
Portfolio
$69,023
Predictions
840
total markets
Trades
4972B / 7S
Daily Volume
$35,882
Account Age
148d
since Jan 30, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-514
Vol: $0
Week
$-9,609
Vol: $0
Month
$-107,516
Vol: $6,134,837
All Time
$-72,563
Vol: $24,239,359

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
37%
216W / 361L events
Realized PnL
$4,284,957
Win Rate
97%
77W / 2L
Profit Factor
97.61x
Avg Win
$17,541
Avg Loss
$-6,918

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $185,195 (13.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska$69,540
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$66,034
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage$49,622
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$48,135
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championsh$42,274
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner$37,000
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi$36,497
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca$34,941
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage$34,643
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$32,646

Top Losers

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Sta$-7,341
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$-6,495

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.096
Sortino
-0.119
HHI
35
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.102
Kelly %
96.3%
Half-Kelly
48.2%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
5.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
36.7
Active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
29.7m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.0

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastSize CV 3.10 — diverse, typical for human2% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.24 — human randomness37 trades/day — suspiciously high705 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.3
Active DCA
<=1
163 entries
<=2
242 entries
<=5
319 entries
<=10
370 entries
<=20
456 entries
<=50
523 entries
>50
9 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.5%
Mid (20-55c)80.5%
High (>55c)17%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 69.7%

Other$1,336,789
Dallas$0
Paris$0
Madrid$0
Miami$0
Atlanta$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
448

Single bracket

<=1
378 brackets
<=2
439 brackets
<=3
447 brackets
<=4
447 brackets
<=5
447 brackets
<=8
448 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/30/2026, 4:24:40 PM2 trades$3,9941 min
1/30/2026, 6:33:00 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
1/31/2026, 10:24:42 AM2 trades$3,0000 min
1/31/2026, 1:01:44 PM3 trades$3,9741 min
1/31/2026, 4:03:24 PM1 trades$2,1270 min
2/1/2026, 2:02:36 PM1 trades$6,0000 min
2/1/2026, 6:03:36 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
2/2/2026, 8:28:02 PM3 trades$10,0004 min
2/3/2026, 12:06:02 PM2 trades$8,0002 min
2/3/2026, 1:15:56 PM1 trades$7,0000 min
2/3/2026, 2:21:54 PM17 trades$8,8943 min
2/3/2026, 5:10:00 PM12 trades$6,1830 min
2/3/2026, 5:37:20 PM7 trades$3,8758 min
2/3/2026, 5:54:42 PM4 trades$6,6007 min
2/3/2026, 6:41:42 PM2 trades$3,8831 min
2/3/2026, 7:01:10 PM3 trades$7,8392 min
2/4/2026, 9:14:58 AM2 trades$2,5000 min
2/4/2026, 10:18:44 AM22 trades$5,0860 min
2/4/2026, 11:51:52 AM24 trades$6,3750 min
2/4/2026, 2:37:50 PM28 trades$10,4443 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-30
02-18
03-21
04-08
04-26
05-26
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event