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@Insignificant-Wrestler

#1,22334

0x0dcf5b49627c5194805bd1af846fd0bd3388c556

111d· 574 markets · 3419 tradesVol: $13,831,3892026-05-14T14:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 46%8/20
Profit Factor 1.08x3/15
Sharpe 0.0611/15
Sortino 0.0701/10
EV $+0.0774/10
HHI 4210/10
Profit Days 57%7/10
DD/Peak 69%0/10

Summary

Insignificant-Wrestler is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 3,419 trades spanning 422 markets over 121 days. Holding a global PnL rank of #1223, they have accumulated a net profit of approximately $122,700 from a total trading volume exceeding $13.8 million. Despite this substantial profit, their Smart Score is below average at 34/100, and their portfolio value has been trending downward recently, suggesting some erosion of gains.

This trader exhibits a high win rate of 98% and an exceptionally strong profit factor of 85.65, indicating frequent successful trades with significant profitability. Insignificant-Wrestler appears to favor a contrarian and dollar-cost averaging approach, as reflected in their badges and zero sell percentage. Their Sharpe ratio is very low at 0.06, implying minimal risk-adjusted returns and a conservative risk profile. The absence of weather market involvement points to a focus on other event types, while their max drawdown duration of zero days suggests disciplined risk containment over short periods.

Key strengths for Insignificant-Wrestler include their consistent profitability and disciplined entry strategy, which supports a strong win streak and resilience against prolonged losses. However, the declining equity trend and below-average Smart Score raise concerns about sustainability and adaptability in changing market conditions. Their semi-automated trading style may also limit responsiveness to fast-moving opportunities on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+122,701
Contrarian
51% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 8.1 entries/market
Win Streak
96 wins in a row
Whale
$4,198,611
High Roller
$34,699/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#521$122,701Vol: $13,831,389

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$122,701
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,831,389
Total Redeem
$3,544,580
Portfolio
$47,952
Predictions
574
total markets
Trades
3411B / 8S
Daily Volume
$34,699
Account Age
111d
since Jan 30, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-11,144
Vol: $90,287
Week
$-8,205
Vol: $482,026
Month
$-3,922
Vol: $484,068
All Time
$122,701
Vol: $13,831,389

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
47%
207W / 235L events
Realized PnL
$2,964,581
Win Rate
98%
145W / 3L
Profit Factor
85.65x
Avg Win
$11,128
Avg Loss
$-6,280

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $127,647 (8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$44,729
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$42,128
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rot$40,789
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner$36,917
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam$35,200
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?$32,568
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner$31,993
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)$30,348
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group$27,677
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?$27,014

Top Losers

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner$-13,956
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner$-3,366
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham G$-1,518

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.061
Sortino
0.070
HHI
42
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.077
Kelly %
96.5%
Half-Kelly
48.3%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.9
Active
Markets / Day
4.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
35.9m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastSize CV 2.73 — diverse, typical for human1% at night — normal sleep pattern23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.25 — human randomness33 trades/day — suspiciously high555 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.1
Active DCA
<=1
140 entries
<=2
211 entries
<=5
274 entries
<=10
319 entries
<=20
369 entries
<=50
418 entries
>50
4 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)76.5%
High (>55c)21.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 66.5%

Other$1,518,752
Miami$51,607
Madrid$24,413
Dallas$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
340

Single bracket

<=1
269 brackets
<=2
329 brackets
<=3
340 brackets
<=4
340 brackets
<=5
340 brackets
<=8
340 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/30/2026, 6:33:00 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
1/31/2026, 10:24:42 AM2 trades$3,0000 min
1/31/2026, 1:01:44 PM3 trades$3,9741 min
1/31/2026, 4:03:24 PM1 trades$2,1270 min
2/1/2026, 2:02:36 PM1 trades$6,0000 min
2/1/2026, 6:03:36 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
2/2/2026, 8:28:02 PM3 trades$10,0004 min
2/3/2026, 12:06:02 PM2 trades$8,0002 min
2/3/2026, 1:15:56 PM1 trades$7,0000 min
2/3/2026, 2:21:54 PM17 trades$8,8943 min
2/3/2026, 5:37:20 PM1 trades$3,5000 min
2/3/2026, 6:01:36 PM1 trades$1,7500 min
2/3/2026, 6:41:42 PM2 trades$3,8831 min
2/4/2026, 9:14:58 AM2 trades$2,5000 min
2/4/2026, 10:18:44 AM22 trades$5,0860 min
2/4/2026, 2:37:50 PM28 trades$10,4443 min
2/4/2026, 3:51:53 PM1 trades$5,9000 min
2/4/2026, 3:57:13 PM26 trades$9,1430 min
2/4/2026, 7:03:29 PM27 trades$11,0630 min
2/4/2026, 8:06:51 PM4 trades$5,4200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-30
02-13
02-27
03-26
04-09
04-23
05-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event