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@Instructive-Flat

#2,923,22176

0x4c353dd347c2e7d8bcdc5cd6ee569de7baf23e2f

145d· 1848 markets · 5055 tradesVol: $16,451,7532026-06-27T11:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 95%20/20
Profit Factor 0.86x1/15
Sharpe 0.96415/15
Sortino 9.70310/10
HHI 3110/10
Profit Days 91%10/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Instructive-Flat is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 5,055 trades across 474 markets over 81 days. Despite a very good Smart Score of 76/100, their net PnL stands at -$35,991.33, placing them at rank #2,923,221 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value is currently zero, indicating no open positions, and their equity trend has remained stable without significant fluctuations.

The trader demonstrates a balanced risk profile with a win rate just under 50% and a profit factor below 1 at 0.86, suggesting that losses slightly outweigh gains. Instructive-Flat appears to employ a mixed bot-manual strategy, reflected in their semi-bot score of 60/100, and prefers low sell activity (1%), indicating a tendency to hold positions longer. Their top badges such as Sniper and Contrarian imply a focus on timely, potentially contrarian entries, while DCA Master and Diamond Hands point to disciplined averaging and holding strategies. They avoid weather markets entirely, concentrating their volume elsewhere.

Strengths of Instructive-Flat include a stable equity trend and a relatively short max drawdown duration, which may point to effective risk containment. However, the negative net PnL and low profit factor highlight challenges in capitalizing on trades profitably. The combination of high volume and a near 50% win rate suggests persistence, but the current strategy might benefit from adjustments to improve profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 95%
Contrarian
66% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
DCA Master
avg 10.5 entries/market
Win Streak
67 wins in a row
Whale
$2,097,233
Consistent
20/22 days
High Roller
$25,892/day
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,612,485$-35,991Vol: $16,451,753

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-35,991
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,451,753
Total Redeem
$759,945
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1848
total markets
Trades
4992B / 63S
Daily Volume
$25,892
Account Age
145d
since Feb 10, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
95%
250W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$1,993,157
Win Rate
49%
162W / 167L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$4,770
Avg Loss
$-5,380

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$22,603
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5PM ET$21,282
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9PM ET$20,382
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6AM ET$19,053
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$16,035
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$14,882
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3AM ET$14,744
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$14,598
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4PM ET$13,973
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET$12,275

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11AM ET$-18,419
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$-15,545
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3PM ET$-13,459
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$-12,342
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$-11,606
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$-11,532
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$-11,333
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$-11,279
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$-10,617
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10AM ET$-10,299

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.964
Sortino
9.703
HHI
31
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.080
Kelly %
8.0%
Half-Kelly
4.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
4.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
63.6
Very active
Markets / Day
6.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.5m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastSize CV 0.75 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.21 — human randomness64 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
4 entries
<=2
26 entries
<=5
121 entries
<=10
279 entries
<=20
434 entries
<=50
473 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.4%
Mid (20-55c)71.1%
High (>55c)20.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 70.3%

Other$-125,714

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
474

Single bracket

<=1
474 brackets
<=2
474 brackets
<=3
474 brackets
<=4
474 brackets
<=5
474 brackets
<=8
474 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/13/2026, 5:01:15 PM1 trades$9850 min
2/13/2026, 5:06:41 PM8 trades$5,1173 min
2/13/2026, 6:09:35 PM10 trades$4,3135 min
2/13/2026, 7:50:59 PM13 trades$6,2506 min
2/14/2026, 12:21:53 AM7 trades$4,2511 min
2/14/2026, 12:50:51 AM8 trades$4,7302 min
2/14/2026, 1:45:41 AM4 trades$3,4492 min
2/14/2026, 12:07:37 PM16 trades$8,6027 min
2/14/2026, 1:41:33 PM6 trades$2,9661 min
2/14/2026, 1:56:09 PM16 trades$7,0167 min
2/14/2026, 3:41:27 PM5 trades$2,5650 min
2/14/2026, 4:30:29 PM4 trades$3,9551 min
2/14/2026, 5:36:51 PM6 trades$2,0821 min
2/14/2026, 6:21:45 PM4 trades$1,9771 min
2/14/2026, 7:05:15 PM5 trades$3,0590 min
2/14/2026, 7:13:07 PM13 trades$6,9146 min
2/14/2026, 10:07:49 PM10 trades$6,1483 min
2/15/2026, 6:35:15 AM16 trades$7,6487 min
2/15/2026, 6:51:49 AM5 trades$4,0401 min
2/15/2026, 7:03:27 AM12 trades$7,9817 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-12
02-15
02-19
03-04
03-07
04-28
05-01
05-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event