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@Instructive-Flat

#2,721,23876

0x4c353dd347c2e7d8bcdc5cd6ee569de7baf23e2f

100d· 1848 markets · 5055 tradesVol: $16,451,7532026-05-16T06:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 95%20/20
Profit Factor 0.86x1/15
Sharpe 0.96415/15
Sortino 9.70310/10
HHI 3110/10
Profit Days 91%10/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Instructive-Flat is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 5,055 trades executed across 474 markets over 81 days. Despite a substantial total volume of over $16 million, the trader currently holds a net loss of approximately $36,000 and ranks #2,721,238 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their Smart Score of 76/100 indicates a very good overall trading skill, while a profit factor below 1 (0.86) reflects more losing trades than winning ones. Instructive-Flat’s portfolio value is currently zero, suggesting no open positions at present.

This trader favors a contrarian and sniper strategy, as highlighted by badges earned, and tends to hold positions with strong conviction, indicated by the “Diamond Hands” badge. Their trading style appears balanced with a near 50% win rate and a Sharpe ratio of 0.96, which points to moderate risk-adjusted returns. The low sell percentage (1%) and a semi-automated bot score suggest a mix of manual and algorithm-driven decisions, with a focus on dollar-cost averaging and stable equity trends. No exposure to weather markets is noted, showing a preference for other event types.

Instructive-Flat’s key strength lies in disciplined trade execution and consistency, as evidenced by a flat equity trend and zero max drawdown duration. However, the negative net PnL and sub-1 profit factor highlight ongoing challenges in profitability. The trader’s semi-bot approach may offer efficiency but could also limit adaptability in volatile markets. Overall, Instructive-Flat demonstrates resilience but faces risk from sustained losses despite high activity levels on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 95%
Contrarian
66% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
DCA Master
avg 10.5 entries/market
Win Streak
67 wins in a row
Whale
$2,097,416
Consistent
20/22 days
High Roller
$25,894/day
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,510,787$-35,991Vol: $16,451,753

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-35,991
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,451,753
Total Redeem
$759,945
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1848
total markets
Trades
4992B / 63S
Daily Volume
$25,894
Account Age
100d
since Feb 10, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$36,365
Vol: $569,407
All Time
$-35,991
Vol: $16,451,753

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
95%
250W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$1,993,157
Win Rate
49%
162W / 167L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$4,770
Avg Loss
$-5,381

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$22,603
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5PM ET$21,282
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9PM ET$20,382
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6AM ET$19,053
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$16,035
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$14,882
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3AM ET$14,744
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$14,598
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4PM ET$13,973
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET$12,275

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11AM ET$-18,419
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$-15,545
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3PM ET$-13,459
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$-12,342
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$-11,606
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$-11,532
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$-11,333
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$-11,279
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$-10,617
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10AM ET$-10,299

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.964
Sortino
9.703
HHI
31
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.080
Kelly %
8.0%
Half-Kelly
4.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
4.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
63.6
Very active
Markets / Day
6.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.5m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastSize CV 0.75 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.21 — human randomness64 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
4 entries
<=2
26 entries
<=5
121 entries
<=10
279 entries
<=20
434 entries
<=50
473 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.4%
Mid (20-55c)71.1%
High (>55c)20.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 70.3%

Other$-125,897

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
474

Single bracket

<=1
474 brackets
<=2
474 brackets
<=3
474 brackets
<=4
474 brackets
<=5
474 brackets
<=8
474 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/13/2026, 5:01:15 PM1 trades$9850 min
2/13/2026, 5:06:41 PM8 trades$5,1173 min
2/13/2026, 6:09:35 PM10 trades$4,3135 min
2/13/2026, 7:50:59 PM13 trades$6,2506 min
2/14/2026, 12:21:53 AM7 trades$4,2511 min
2/14/2026, 12:50:51 AM8 trades$4,7302 min
2/14/2026, 1:45:41 AM4 trades$3,4492 min
2/14/2026, 12:07:37 PM16 trades$8,6027 min
2/14/2026, 1:41:33 PM6 trades$2,9661 min
2/14/2026, 1:56:09 PM16 trades$7,0167 min
2/14/2026, 3:41:27 PM5 trades$2,5650 min
2/14/2026, 4:30:29 PM4 trades$3,9551 min
2/14/2026, 5:36:51 PM6 trades$2,0821 min
2/14/2026, 6:21:45 PM4 trades$1,9771 min
2/14/2026, 7:05:15 PM5 trades$3,0590 min
2/14/2026, 7:13:07 PM13 trades$6,9146 min
2/14/2026, 10:07:49 PM10 trades$6,1483 min
2/15/2026, 6:35:15 AM16 trades$7,6487 min
2/15/2026, 6:51:49 AM5 trades$4,0401 min
2/15/2026, 7:03:27 AM12 trades$7,9817 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-12
02-15
02-19
03-04
03-07
04-28
05-01
05-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event