Irboz-sama

@Irboz-sama

#19,60342

0x9b0b60aa0a1df93202f996860342fd5607815e43

~359d· 436 markets · 42030 tradesVol: $23,989,641 @irboz2026-08-03 03:53:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (261/394)18.1/20
1.04x (win $16,289 / loss $15,606)3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2194.1/15
Sortino 0.2742.7/10
$+0.0008 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1350 (394 markets)5.7/10
112/184 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 98% of peak ($5,444 / $5,575)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+6,936
Lottery Player
89% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 96.6 entries/market
Whale
$889,221 invested
Consistent
112/184 profitable days
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Categories

9
CRYPTO#10,604$4,531Vol: $9,546,363
📈 ECONOMICS#6,650$287Vol: $4,623,354
SPORTS#1,814,531$-750Vol: $3,998,588
🎭 CULTURE#809,130$-839Vol: $2,984,720
🏛️ POLITICS#9,422$2,787Vol: $2,263,911
💰 FINANCE#654,076$-1,223Vol: $281,259
💻 TECH#1,168$1,291Vol: $175,024
📢 MENTIONS#160,406$-72Vol: $3,352
🌤️ WEATHER#288,361$-148Vol: $2,716

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,947
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,989,641
Total Redeem
$18,374
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
436
total markets
Trades
30919B / 11111S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~359d

Periods

#2
Today
$11
Vol: $315
Week
$11
Vol: $5,636
Month
$3
Vol: $7,666
All Time
$6,947
Vol: $23,989,641

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
261W / 133L events
Realized PnL
$6,936
Win Rate
66%
261W / 133L
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$62
Avg Loss
$-132

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,062 (0.44143336226509766% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1,129
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?$986
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$947
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?$867
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?$462
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$452
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$370
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$364
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?$357
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$321

Top Losers

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,000
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-1,437
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$-1,124
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?$-1,032
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?$-1,026
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$-1,000
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-880
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?$-669
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$-450
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?$-400

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.011
Sortino
0.010
HHI
1012
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
5.6%
Half-Kelly
2.8%
Top-1 market
28.3%
Top-5 markets
53.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
33.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.9m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
10.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.4

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 62s — normal for humanCV 10.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock34 trades/day — high frequency0.3 markets/day — normal99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
96.62
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)89.2%
Mid (20-55c)1.4%
High (>55c)9.4%

Sessions

#12
4/23/2026, 4:14:56 PM100 trades$38,97731 min
10/30/2025, 11:25:43 AM43 trades$27,37722 min
10/19/2025, 8:26:31 AM144 trades$25,61463 min
10/13/2025, 11:36:39 AM36 trades$25,01825 min
1/23/2026, 10:37:38 PM21 trades$19,71024 min
10/20/2025, 4:17:25 PM12 trades$18,57010 min
10/22/2025, 3:41:29 PM19 trades$15,75115 min
1/24/2026, 12:13:14 PM160 trades$14,909124 min
1/25/2026, 12:08:22 PM3 trades$14,8805 min
10/15/2025, 8:25:35 AM15 trades$14,8038 min
1/25/2026, 2:45:36 AM9 trades$14,1369 min
10/30/2025, 10:32:53 AM17 trades$13,03318 min
10/15/2025, 10:00:07 AM12 trades$13,0266 min
10/13/2025, 12:06:59 PM16 trades$12,9519 min
10/20/2025, 3:43:21 PM15 trades$12,68717 min
10/14/2025, 1:13:33 PM18 trades$12,55318 min
10/20/2025, 1:22:37 PM27 trades$12,15712 min
10/18/2025, 1:06:57 PM44 trades$11,99923 min
1/10/2026, 1:05:42 PM5 trades$11,7043 min
10/22/2025, 4:03:53 PM31 trades$11,24627 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-03
09-27
11-12
01-03
02-22
04-15
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 96.62/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L89.2 / M1.4 / H9.4