@ItsMurphy

15

0x4e13008425580bc349c1b360e364e05434d2e968

~85d· 366 markets · 2447 trades2026-08-26 09:12:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (133/362)3.4/20
0.84x (win $13,240 / loss $15,713)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8740/15
Sortino -1.2440/10
$-0.0389 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 527 (362 markets)9.9/10
28/80 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 209% of peak ($4,746 / $2,273)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
Whale
$63,648 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,881,876$-3,702Vol: $193,654
CRYPTO#121,104$58Vol: $50,639
🏛️ POLITICS#1,604,075$-443Vol: $45,942
💰 FINANCE#661,800$-1,575Vol: $44,812
📢 MENTIONS#173,299$-264Vol: $9,220
🎭 CULTURE#513,824$-1Vol: $5,542

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,943
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$63,648
Total Redeem
$107
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
366
total markets
Trades
1062B / 1385S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~85d

Periods

#2
Today
$-121
Vol: $550
Week
$-229
Vol: $4,272
Month
$-294
Vol: $11,950
All Time
$-5,943
Vol: $0

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
133W / 229L events
Realized PnL
$-5,943
Win Rate
37%
133W / 229L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$100
Avg Loss
$-71

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,690 (1.1255520801961156% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3,650
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?$1,587
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$1,452
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$550
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$470
Spurs vs. Knicks$404
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?$390
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$252
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5$243
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$210

Top Losers

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-2,974
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-2,056
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$-1,372
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?$-849
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$-764
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?$-735
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$-661
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$-372
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-355
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$-324

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.045
Sortino
-0.054
HHI
1208
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.6%
Top-5 markets
56.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 86s — normal for humanCV 3.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active2.4 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.22
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.8%
Mid (20-55c)31.3%
High (>55c)49%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 5:04:49 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/3/2026, 6:47:44 AM2 trades$3,7500 min
6/9/2026, 7:21:06 AM5 trades$3,2501 min
5/6/2026, 5:15:24 AM5 trades$3,2031 min
6/18/2026, 11:36:05 PM71 trades$3,19825 min
5/25/2026, 3:30:38 AM4 trades$3,0160 min
4/28/2026, 2:56:40 PM3 trades$2,9640 min
5/25/2026, 4:40:49 AM3 trades$2,9380 min
6/11/2026, 5:13:39 AM5 trades$2,7941 min
5/26/2026, 10:34:48 AM4 trades$2,7200 min
6/6/2026, 6:51:54 AM7 trades$2,6985 min
4/28/2026, 1:09:02 PM3 trades$2,3702 min
5/1/2026, 2:04:20 PM3 trades$2,2911 min
6/9/2026, 4:40:55 PM7 trades$2,2851 min
5/14/2026, 2:51:47 AM8 trades$2,1670 min
6/7/2026, 1:04:40 AM3 trades$2,0000 min
5/4/2026, 3:46:12 AM11 trades$1,9430 min
5/31/2026, 1:26:55 AM11 trades$1,7971 min
6/9/2026, 2:00:13 PM6 trades$1,7130 min
4/24/2026, 4:14:58 AM3 trades$1,6901 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
05-04
05-17
06-07
06-20
07-09
08-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 89 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.22/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.8 / M31.3 / H49