@James000

#3,073,94919

0xc96cb25888f25ab1929b575834a6c406234f6a98

~67d· 51 markets · 2667 tradesVol: $5,001,7452026-08-04 14:07:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (23/46)10/20
0.51x (win $320,440 / loss $623,965)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5670/15
Sortino -2.9040/10
$-0.1113 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1704 (46 markets)4/10
16/31 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 1041% of peak ($538,370 / $51,708)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 48.8 entries/market
Whale
$2,728,288 invested
High Roller
$4,172/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
📈 ECONOMICS#268$27,102Vol: $2,725,410
🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,237$-244,452Vol: $2,243,428
📢 MENTIONS#1,805$647Vol: $32,907

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-216,703
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,001,745
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
1347B / 1320S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~67d

Periods

#2
Today
$-145
Vol: $0
Week
$-762
Vol: $0
Month
$-20,098
Vol: $96,486
All Time
$-216,703
Vol: $5,001,745

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
23W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-215,905
Win Rate
50%
23W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$13,932
Avg Loss
$-27,129

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $260,974 (1.208744247236237% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$186,696
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$58,745
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$15,533
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$14,524
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$14,475
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$9,536
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$9,092
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$3,708
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1,987
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$1,219

Top Losers

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-257,735
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-242,070
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-43,120
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-39,784
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?$-15,008
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$-8,508
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-4,565
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-3,976
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-3,686
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$-1,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.132
Sortino
-0.114
HHI
1614
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.119
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.4%
Top-5 markets
74%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.2m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 139s — normal for humanCV 3.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
48.83
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.6%
Mid (20-55c)10.2%
High (>55c)82.3%

Sessions

#12
6/10/2026, 12:58:27 PM68 trades$226,93312 min
5/4/2026, 2:57:10 PM20 trades$159,1944 min
5/4/2026, 7:28:16 AM58 trades$134,4636 min
6/7/2026, 11:40:27 AM59 trades$127,26210 min
5/13/2026, 12:25:33 AM24 trades$113,4280 min
5/5/2026, 11:54:34 AM11 trades$107,9440 min
6/11/2026, 3:55:51 AM39 trades$105,4530 min
8/1/2026, 1:59:38 AM87 trades$97,1365 min
6/11/2026, 4:44:18 AM7 trades$95,6275 min
6/6/2026, 11:09:54 AM26 trades$92,2663 min
6/10/2026, 8:35:51 PM2 trades$87,9964 min
6/8/2026, 2:02:22 AM31 trades$81,85510 min
7/12/2026, 3:45:59 AM61 trades$77,7960 min
5/8/2026, 7:09:05 AM15 trades$73,2643 min
5/27/2026, 2:58:43 AM39 trades$70,2158 min
7/26/2026, 9:09:22 AM40 trades$66,8275 min
5/9/2026, 12:43:04 AM30 trades$64,8513 min
5/13/2026, 4:55:24 AM2 trades$61,7291 min
6/11/2026, 3:32:21 AM30 trades$59,4650 min
5/16/2026, 1:39:50 PM12 trades$58,1553 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-21
01-08
04-27
05-10
06-01
06-14
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 48.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.6 / M10.2 / H82.3