@JohanDON

#3,028,4490

0x091b648568ab457d0ea4a02fb7aa99faf3496396

~29d· 26 markets · 208 tradesVol: $137,5132026-08-26 09:13:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (6/23)0/20
0.16x (win $197 / loss $1,221)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.5680/15
Sortino -7.9650/10
$-0.2512 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6234 (23 markets)0/10
3/14 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 1293% of peak ($1,156 / $89)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#819,107$-1,043Vol: $68,651
🏛️ POLITICS#1,611,753$-561Vol: $65,807
📢 MENTIONS#171,098$-180Vol: $2,440
SPORTS#1,733,891$-158Vol: $615

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,942
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$137,513
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
62B / 146S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Month
$-515
Vol: $27,079
All Time
$-1,942
Vol: $137,513

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
6W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-1,942
Win Rate
26%
6W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.16x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-72

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $171 (0.08799200634547834% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran strike on Qatar today?$114
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$42
Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$15
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$11
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$5

Top Losers

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$-586
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$-130
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?$-89
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$-86
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?$-64
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$-49
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? $-46
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?$-43
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?$-34
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.432
Sortino
-0.423
HHI
451
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.504
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.2%
Top-5 markets
32.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
39.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2386s — normal for humanCV 1.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.17
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)58.1%
Mid (20-55c)24.2%
High (>55c)17.7%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 1:51:33 PM7 trades$20,1100 min
7/1/2026, 7:27:50 AM14 trades$14,1460 min
7/31/2026, 8:22:24 PM6 trades$5,8210 min
7/16/2026, 10:35:17 AM8 trades$4,8270 min
8/4/2026, 4:19:47 PM18 trades$3,8950 min
6/25/2026, 7:31:31 AM2 trades$2,8230 min
6/27/2026, 5:58:43 PM2 trades$2,8230 min
5/17/2026, 9:35:43 PM4 trades$1,6330 min
7/18/2026, 8:23:51 PM12 trades$1,5140 min
5/19/2026, 6:27:11 PM8 trades$1,4360 min
5/20/2026, 10:51:43 PM9 trades$1,3580 min
5/26/2026, 9:54:31 AM13 trades$1,2580 min
7/16/2026, 6:42:38 PM5 trades$1,2470 min
7/3/2026, 9:37:13 AM4 trades$1,0180 min
5/26/2026, 7:08:52 PM10 trades$5081 min
7/2/2026, 10:14:07 PM8 trades$4530 min
6/23/2025, 8:31:01 PM4 trades$3244 min
6/23/2025, 6:04:57 PM2 trades$1280 min
6/24/2025, 8:08:59 AM1 trades$1000 min
2/8/2026, 2:57:49 PM2 trades$890 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-09
06-23
06-25
02-07
02-19
02-28
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 375 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.17/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.1 / M24.2 / H17.7