@Jolly-Movement
#3,100,04850xd9585832c5810d964b261e7cfce782754cf9f864
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
39% (871/2249)4.4/20
0.41x (win $18,151 / loss $43,754)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.5980/15
Sortino -6.2720/10
$-0.4831 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7828 (2249 markets)0/10
20/59 profitable days (34%)1/10
Max DD 79371% of peak ($26,089 / $33)0/10
Badges
4Contrarian
70% entries < $0.55
Whale
$52,993 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3⚽ SPORTS#1,890,302$-8,410Vol: $1,293,298
🏛️ POLITICS#1,619,635$-780Vol: $607,036
₿ CRYPTO#1,688,971$-3,950Vol: $173,499
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-13,209
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,079,898
Total Redeem
$7,960
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2250
total markets
Trades
5913B / 3314S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~65d
Periods
#2Month
$97
Vol: $31,935
All Time
$-13,209
Vol: $2,079,898
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
39%
871W / 1378L events
Realized PnL
$-13,209
Win Rate
39%
871W / 1378L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-32
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,362 (0.6330446013014897% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$3,826
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$3,002
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5$1,535
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$383
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$366
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$201
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$168
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$152
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$138
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies$128
Top Losers
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$-3,708
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-2,816
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?$-2,544
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$-2,400
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-2,206
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-2,059
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?$-1,955
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)$-1,904
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,496
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?$-1,200
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.342
Sortino
-0.293
HHI
185
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.452
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.7%
Top-5 markets
22.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
37.5
Active
Markets / Day
9.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.9m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 68s — normal for humanCV 7.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock38 trades/day — high frequency9.1 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.27
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)20.5%
Mid (20-55c)49.2%
High (>55c)30.3%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 1:13:14 PM6 trades$197,5380 min
6/17/2026, 10:27:35 PM13 trades$105,0877 min
6/17/2026, 10:43:07 PM7 trades$100,0645 min
6/18/2026, 12:26:10 AM12 trades$100,0267 min
6/21/2026, 5:25:08 PM14 trades$8,9017 min
6/18/2026, 12:11:50 AM18 trades$4,2057 min
6/22/2026, 1:28:35 AM6 trades$4,1480 min
6/17/2026, 3:25:48 AM15 trades$3,81613 min
6/18/2026, 11:54:11 PM5 trades$3,2291 min
6/20/2026, 4:48:20 AM18 trades$3,06117 min
6/20/2026, 4:18:23 AM16 trades$3,0142 min
6/17/2026, 12:51:55 AM25 trades$2,93414 min
6/20/2026, 2:51:52 AM25 trades$2,71810 min
6/19/2026, 6:19:44 PM8 trades$2,6311 min
2/14/2026, 9:02:49 PM18 trades$2,40525 min
6/18/2026, 2:23:04 AM16 trades$2,3291 min
7/6/2026, 6:56:10 PM2 trades$2,0260 min
6/20/2026, 4:00:52 AM15 trades$2,0149 min
6/21/2026, 10:15:55 PM4 trades$1,9511 min
7/5/2026, 9:08:43 PM13 trades$1,8137 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-20
02-19
03-09
06-24
07-11
07-27
08-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 230 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.27/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20.5 / M49.2 / H30.3