@Jonathanfdb

#256,36165

0xe423c5d21c5091572b26a2c733ba9e2ec064908b

~18d· 33 markets · 73 tradesVol: $4,7402026-09-23 03:33:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (15/26)13.8/20
1.87x (win $117 / loss $63)13.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.49115/15
Sortino 6.22010/10
$+0.0249 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 1138 (26 markets)6.8/10
7/14 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 112% of peak ($61 / $55)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+79

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#962,265$-2Vol: $3,069
SPORTS#1,317,369$-8Vol: $1,039
🎭 CULTURE#440,510$-0Vol: $301
CRYPTO#479,120$0Vol: $156
📈 ECONOMICS#22,399$33Vol: $66

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$79
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,740
Total Redeem
$20
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
40B / 33S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-46
Vol: $449
All Time
$79
Vol: $4,740

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
15W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$79
Win Rate
58%
15W / 11L
Profit Factor
1.87x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $117 (1.4778872883497598% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?$45
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?$37
Will Cesena FC win on 2026-05-08?$35
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$0
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?$0
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March?$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 December 15-21?$0
Will Solana dip to $10 March 2-8?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 9?$0

Top Losers

Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?$-39
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$-22
Will the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$-0
Will Sassuolo win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$-0
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?$-0
Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$-0
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-0
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-0
Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the election?$-0
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.176
Sortino
0.250
HHI
377
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.044
Kelly %
53.2%
Half-Kelly
26.6%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
40.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
34s
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
18
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 1.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.85
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)17.5%
High (>55c)82.5%

Sessions

#12
9/12/2025, 3:18:11 AM8 trades$5803 min
7/31/2025, 11:23:18 AM7 trades$5652 min
7/2/2025, 6:18:23 AM7 trades$4264 min
8/24/2026, 6:56:48 AM7 trades$3642 min
9/8/2025, 2:36:26 AM3 trades$3602 min
3/5/2026, 7:49:27 AM3 trades$3400 min
11/12/2025, 8:50:48 AM3 trades$3401 min
3/24/2026, 7:49:51 AM3 trades$3000 min
5/11/2026, 11:33:35 AM8 trades$2524 min
8/8/2026, 6:52:39 AM7 trades$1781 min
8/21/2026, 8:24:12 AM4 trades$932 min
5/7/2026, 8:09:25 AM4 trades$280 min
6/24/2026, 5:45:07 AM2 trades$280 min
7/21/2026, 7:52:37 AM2 trades$260 min
4/11/2026, 6:12:15 AM2 trades$200 min
11/19/2025, 6:14:29 AM1 trades$130 min
12/8/2025, 1:03:05 PM1 trades$100 min
12/18/2025, 12:32:08 PM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-02
09-12
12-08
03-05
04-11
05-11
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 48 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M17.5 / H82.5